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How Mortgage Points Work

February 10, 2025 Ogghy Filed Under: BUSINESS, Investopedia

Reviewed by Pamela Rodriguez
Fact checked by Suzanne Kvilhaug

What Are Mortgage Points?

Mortgage points are used to offset the costs of mortgage and you can use them in two different ways. Origination points are mortgage points used to pay the lender for the creation of the loan itself, whereas discount points are mortgage points used to buy down the interest rate of the mortgage. Learn more about what mortgage points are and how they work.

Key Takeaways

  • There are two kinds of mortgage points: origination points and discount points.
  • Buyers pay origination points to the lender as a type of fee for processing the loan.
  • Discount points are a way for buyers to lower the interest rate on the loan by paying up front.
  • Mortgage points are typically 1% of the loan amount.
  • You can use the annual percentage rate (APR) to compare the cost of loans with different points and interest rates.

How Mortgage Points Work

Mortgage points come in two types: origination points and discount points. In both cases, each point is typically equal to 1% of the total amount mortgaged. On a $300,000 home loan, for example, one point is equal to $3,000.

Both types of points are included under closing costs in the official loan estimate and closing disclosure that come from the lender.

Origination Points

Origination points compensate loan officers. Not all mortgage providers require the payment of origination points, and those that do are often willing to negotiate the fee. Origination points are not tax deductible and many lenders have shifted away from origination points, with several offering flat-fee or no-fee mortgages.

Discount Points

Discount points are prepaid interest. The purchase of each point generally lowers the interest rate on your mortgage by up to 0.25%. Most lenders provide the opportunity to purchase anywhere from a fraction of a point to three discount points.

Prior to the passage of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) in 2017, which applies to tax years 2018 to 2025, origination points were not tax deductible, but discount points could be deducted on Schedule A.

Going forward, discount points are deductible but limited to the first $750,000 of a loan. In addition, there is a higher standard deduction, so it’s advisable to check with a tax accountant to find out if you could receive tax benefits from purchasing points.

Keep in mind that when lenders advertise rates, they may show a rate that is based on the purchase of points.

Calculating Mortgage Discount Points

There are two primary factors to weigh when considering whether or not to pay for discount points.

The first factor involves the length of time that you expect to live in the house. In general, the longer you plan to stay, the bigger your savings if you purchase discount points.

The second factor to consider is whether or not you have enough money to pay for the cost of mortgage points. Many people are barely able to afford the down payment and closing costs on their home purchases, and there simply isn’t enough money left to purchase points.

For instance, on a $100,000 home, three discount points are relatively affordable at $3,000, but on a $500,000 home, three points will cost $15,000. On top of the traditional 20% down payment of $100,000 for that $500,000 home, another $15,000 may be more than the buyer can afford.

A mortgage calculator is a good resource to help you budget these costs.

Example of Paying Discount Points

Consider the following example for a 30-year loan:

  • On a $100,000 mortgage with an interest rate of 3%, your monthly payment for principal and interest would be $421 per month.
  • If you purchase three discount points, your interest rate might be 2.25%, which puts your monthly payment at $382 per month.

Purchasing the three discount points would cost you $3,000 in exchange for a savings of $39 per month. You would need to keep the house for 72 months, or six years, to break even on the point purchase. Because a 30-year loan lasts 360 months, purchasing points would be a wise move in this instance if you plan to live in your new home for a long time.

If, on the other hand, you plan to stay for only a few years, you may wish to purchase fewer points or none at all. There are numerous calculators available that can assist you in determining the appropriate amount of discount points to purchase based on the length of time you plan to own the home.

Using APR to Compare Loans

Comparing different lenders and loans with varying interest rates, lender fees, origination fees, discount points, and origination points can be very difficult. The annual percentage rate (APR) figure on each loan estimate helps make it easier for borrowers to compare loans, which is why mortgage lenders are required by law to include it on all loans.

The APR on each loan adjusts the advertised interest rate on the loan to include all discount points, fees, origination points, and any other closing costs for the loan. This metric exists to make comparison easier between loans with wildly different discount points, interest rates, and origination fees.

Are Mortgage Points Worth It?

Though money paid on discount points could be invested in the stock market to generate a higher return than the amount saved by paying for the points, the average homeowner’s fear of getting into a mortgage they can’t afford can outweigh the potential benefit they may accrue if they managed to select the right investment. In many cases, paying off the mortgage is more important.

Also, keep in mind the motivation behind purchasing a home. Though most people hope to see their residence increase in value, few people purchase their home strictly as an investment. From an investment perspective, if your home triples in value, you may be unlikely to sell it for the simple reason that you then would need to find somewhere else to live.

If your home gains in value, it is likely that most of the other homes in your area will increase in value as well. If that is the case, selling your home will give you only enough money to purchase another home for nearly the same price. Also, if you take the full 30 years to pay off your mortgage, you will likely have paid nearly triple the home’s original selling price in principal and interest costs and, therefore, you won’t make much in the way of real profit if you sell at the higher price.

How Much is One Point Worth In a Mortgage?

A mortgage point is a fee paid to the lender to lower the interest rate on a mortgage. One point is equivalent to 1% of the total loan. As an example, if your loan is for $250,000, one point is $2500.

How Much Does One Point Affect the Mortgage Payment?

One point, which is usually equivalent to one percent of the total loan amount, lowers the interest rate by about 0.25%, which might equate to several dollars per month, or more, depending on the loan size.

What Do Discount Points Cost?

Discount points cost roughly 1% of the loan amount per point. So if you had a mortgage of $350,000, one discount point would be $3,500. In return, the lender reduces the interest rate, usually by 0.25% although the amount varies.

The Bottom Line

Origination points are usually avoidable and negotiable so don’t spend too much on them. Discount points, on the other hand, can save you money over the life of the loan, but only if you can afford to buy them without lowering your down payment below 20% and having to get private mortgage insurance (PMI).

Tagged With: finance, financial, financial education, Investing, investment, Investopedia, money

Memecoin Madness Returns as Barstool Sports, BNB Chain, and an Entire African Country Dabble With Meme Tokens

February 10, 2025 Ogghy Filed Under: BUSINESS, Coindesk

Bitcoin (BTC) and crypto markets are still recovering from last week’s bloodbath, but it appears that the memecoin fever is alive and well as three big tokens were issued over the weekend.

BNB Chain-based TST token, issued as a memecoin by the blockchain’s community following a tutorial video on how to issue tokens, zoomed to a $300 million market capitalization as Binance founder Changpeng Zhao referred to the token in several X posts — with it even gaining a coveted Binance listing on Sunday.

Zhao, who stepped from a formal role at the company last year, said Sunday that he wasn’t for or against memecoins, and the category’s “fun” element makes it appealing for short-term traders.

“Things with clear tangible value are harder to speculate on. They stay around the clear value,” Zhao said. “This is indeed a challenge for RWA. Memes are fun, etc. It’s a cultural thing. I am not an expert in this area. There are plenty of die-hard defenders of memes. Don’t go against the community.”

Barstool’s Portnoy Buys “JAILSTOOL”

David Portnoy, the influential founder of Barstool Sports, jumped into the memecoin fray on Friday with a coin called “Montoya por favor,” inspired by a contestant from the Spanish reality show La Isla De Las Tentaciones.

Portnoy told his 3.5 million X followers that he was “up a billion percent” on his first foray into the meme tokens, helping the coins surge to a market capitalization of $14 million at its peak before plummeting down to a $1 million cap within a few hours.

He has now set his sights on a Josh Allen MVP coin with a playful warning, “Buy at your own risk. I just bought it. I’m gonna sell it. Don’t buy what ya can’t lose.” That coin also shot up, hitting a market cap of over $12 million, before nosediving to a capitalization under $100,000.

Market watchers on X accused him of leading his massive following into a pump-and-dump scheme. But Portnoy defended his trading spree, claiming transparency and even humorously questioning if his actions could land him in jail.

Someone then issued the JAILSTOOL token, a nod to Portnoy’s tweet…which Portnoy then purchased and promoted to his followers.

“I may dump it eventually but I’ll let all you righteous losers dump on each other first. So don’t put in more than you can lose,” he quipped.

JAILSTOOL surged from $1.2 million to over $200 million at peak, even gaining a spot listing on U.S.-based Kraken on Sunday. It trades at 8 cents in Asian afternoon hours on Monday at a $78 million market capitalization.

Suspicions Rise as Central African Republic’s President Issues a Token

Here’s where the meme frenzy gets wild — an entire African country has decided to get in on the fun as the Central African Republic apparently issued its CAR memecoin over the weekend.

CAR launched with a promise to aid in national development and to put one of the poorest countries “on the world stage,” its president said on X. The token’s market cap soared to around $527 million shortly after issuance, nearly a fourth of the country’s GDP of $2.6 billion.

“As the second president in the world to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, I have always recognized the potential of crypto and its benefits on a global scale,” Faustin-Archange Touadéra said, linking to CAR’s website.

But suspicions abound around CAR’s issuance, with the site’s domain provider taking it down late Sunday and some X users allegeding Touadéra’s video to be a deepfake.

Solana decentralized exchange Jupiter said early Monday it had reached out to CAR representations for further validity of the token and its official connection to the country.

Jupiter said it was able to verify the token’s deployers using an onchain transaction, but further confirmation and exact relation to the president’s office remain pending as of Asian afternoon hours.

Bitcoin Indicator That Signaled $70K Breakout Turns Bearish as Trump’s Trade War Rhetoric Grows

February 10, 2025 Ogghy Filed Under: BUSINESS, Coindesk

A momentum indicator that presaged bitcoin’s (BTC) post-election price surge has now turned negative, coinciding with President Donald Trump’s tariff rhetoric, which threatens to destabilize markets. Still, there’s no need to panic just yet.

That indicator is the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) histogram, which is used to gauge trend strength and changes. It’s calculated by subtracting bitcoin’s average price level during the past 26 periods (weeks in this case) from the average over the past 12 weeks.

The signal line is then calculated as a nine-week average of the MACD and the difference between the MACD and signal lines is plotted as a histogram.

The MACD on bitcoin’s weekly chart has crossed below zero, which is said to represent a bearish shift in momentum. Meanwhile, crossovers above zero indicate a bullish trend. The indicator turned positive in mid-October, strengthening the case for a rally to $100,000, as CoinDesk reported back then.

So, while the latest bearish MACD signal might alarm bulls, especially retail buyers who rely on technical analysis tools, BTC’s current price action doesn’t validate the negative reading on the indicator.

Currently, BTC remains confined within the broader range of $90K to $100K, with recent movements tightening to a range between $95K and $100K. The directionless trading diminishes the significance of the MACD’s bearish crossover.

It’s essential to remember that indicators are derived from price action, not the other way around. MACD signals need to be confirmed by price action. The indicator’s bullish signal in mid-October was backed by prices breaking out of a multi-month trading range.

Tariff threat and surging inflation expectations

While the MACD isn’t a cause for concern yet, several macro factors warrant attention as potential sources of downside volatility that could see the cryptocurrency test the long-held support near $90,000. A break below that would validate the fresh negative reading on the MACD, confirming a bearish shift in momentum.

At the top of the list is Trump’s tariff rhetoric, which, if it translates into action, could lead to higher bond yields and lower risk assets.

Trump said that on Monday, he would announce 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminium imports, which would come on top of additional metal duties, to be disclosed later this week. Trump has hinted at plans to apply higher tariffs on a wide range of goods imported from the European Union later this month, according to UBS.

The University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey released Friday showed that the tariff threat is already adversely impacting consumer expectations about price pressures in the economy. Inflation expectations for the year ahead increased to 4.3% in February from 3.3% in January, the highest reading since November 2023.

That could keep the Fed from cutting rates rapidly. “2-year inflation swaps have started to price some risk premium around tariffs. At 2.72%, they have reached new highs. The market is interpreting the Fed to be pretty much on a long pause: growth is holding up okay, and the idea is that even if inflation drops to 2% the Fed doesn’t need to be in a hurry to cut,” Alfonso Peccatiello, the author of Macro Compass, said on X.

The U.S. CPI data, or the consumer price index report for January, is scheduled to be released on Feb. 12.

Polymarket Bettors Punt $1.1B on Superbowl Results, Despite Regulatory Overhang

February 10, 2025 Ogghy Filed Under: BUSINESS, Coindesk

Polymarket bettors have put $1.1 billion in volume on the outcome of the Superbowl, which saw the Philadelphia Eagles beat out the Kansas City Chiefs 40-22, as the betting platform continues to gain steam, despite regulatory hurdles.

Polymarket has become the go to avenue for placing on-chain bets, which has brought in scrutiny from regulators. Some countries have outright banned Polymarket, while the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) wants to gain access to the platform‘s customer data.

According to crypto attorney Aaron Brogan, the argument that prediction markets, like Polymarket, are simply a Web3 version of gambling is an inaccurate characterization.

Brogan, said that unlike traditional betting platform, prediction markets make money on the transactions fees rather that the users.

Regardless of the challenges, Polymarket is thriving and bettors are gaining or losing big sums of money.

Traders go hard on sports bets

On-chain from Polymarket Analytics shows that one trader going by the handle ‘abeautifulmind’ took home a profit of over $550,000 from their bets on the Eagles. Data shows that this user has an overall profit of just over $1 million, mostly from bets on sports.

On the other side of the trade was a bettor by the name of hubertdakid, who lost $718,633 by betting against the Eagles. This trader seems to be down on their luck on Polymarket, with an overall loss of $638,177.

Other Superbowl related contracts on Polymarket included one about how many times Taylor Swift would be shown on the broadcast and another about how long the national anthem performance would be.

Overall, lifetime volume from sports related contracts on Polymarket has passed $6 billion. This is more than the volume on U.S. election markets, which came in at $5.2 billion according to Polymarket Analytics.

Gearing Ratios: What Is a Good Ratio, and How to Calculate It

February 9, 2025 Ogghy Filed Under: BUSINESS, Investopedia

Fact checked by Marcus Reeves
Reviewed by Natalya Yashina

A gearing ratio measures a company’s overall debt against its value. To stock analysts, investors, and lenders, the gearing ratio is an indicator of the company’s financial fitness. A company may be carrying too much debt or too little debt. The amount of debt that is perceived as healthy varies by industry.

Generally, a company that has a larger portion of debt in comparison to its shareholder equity has a high gearing ratio. A company that has a small proportion of debt versus equity has a low gearing ratio.

Key Takeaways

  • There are several types of net gearing ratios but all compare company equity (or capital) to company debt.
  • Net gearing is the most common type of gearing ratio and is calculated by dividing the company’s total debt by its total shareholders’ equity.
  • The optimal gearing ratio depends on the industry.

Gearing Ratios: An Overview

The gearing ratio tells you how much of a company’s operations is funded by equity and how much is funded by debt.

Lenders use gearing ratios when they’re considering making loans. Corporate managers use them to make decisions about their use of cash and leverage. Here’s how these ratios are interpreted:

  • High Gearing Ratio: The company has a larger proportion of debt versus equity
  • Low Gearing Ratio: The company has a small proportion of debt versus equity

There are several variations of the gearing ratio. They include the equity ratio, debt-to-capital ratio, debt service ratio, and net gearing ratio. Each is calculated using a different formula.

Important

High net gearing ratios can be a red flag. But they are more acceptable in certain industries. Businesses that need to invest heavily in property or manufacturing equipment often have relatively high debt.

The Most Common: Net Gearing Ratio

The net gearing ratio measures the level of a company’s overall debt compared to its value. It is the most commonly used gearing ratio in the financial markets. Most investors know it as the company’s debt-to-equity (D/E) ratio.

The D/E ratio measures how much a company is funded by debt versus how much is financed by equity. It compares a company’s total debt obligations to its shareholder equity.

The debt portion in the net gearing ratio may include the following:

  • Short-term debt
  • Long-term debt
  • Accrued debt
  • Accounts payable (AP)
  • Financing agreements
  • Leases

It’s important to compare the net gearing ratios of competing companies—that is, companies that operate within the same industry. Every industry has its own capital needs and relies on different growth rates.

How to Calculate the Net Gearing Ratio

The net gearing ratio (as a debt-to-equity ratio) is calculated by:

Net Gearing Ratio=LTD+STD+Bank OverdraftsShareholders’ Equitywhere:LTD=Long-Term DebtSTD=Short-Term Debtbegin{aligned} &text{Net Gearing Ratio} = frac { text{LTD} + text{STD} + text{Bank Overdrafts} }{ text{Shareholders’ Equity} } \ &textbf{where:} \ &text{LTD} = text{Long-Term Debt} \ &text{STD} = text{Short-Term Debt} \ end{aligned}​Net Gearing Ratio=Shareholders’ EquityLTD+STD+Bank Overdrafts​where:LTD=Long-Term DebtSTD=Short-Term Debt​

Net gearing can also be calculated by dividing the total debt by the total shareholders’ equity. The ratio, expressed as a percentage, reflects the amount of existing equity that would be required to pay off all outstanding debts.

Note

Capital gearing is a British term that refers to the amount of debt a company has relative to its equity. In the U.S., capital gearing is known as financial leverage and is synonymous with the net gearing ratio.

Good and Bad Gearing Ratios

An optimal gearing ratio is primarily determined by the individual company relative to other companies within the same industry. There are, however, a few basic rules for good and bad gearing ratios:

  • Higher Than 50%: A gearing ratio in this range indicates the company is highly leveraged. The company would be seen as being at greater financial risk because it is more susceptible to default and bankruptcy during times of lower profits or higher interest rates.
  • Between 25% and 50%: A gearing ratio within this range is typically considered optimal or normal for well-established companies.
  • Lower Than 25%: Gearing ratios that fall under this value are typically considered low-risk by both investors and lenders.

Gearing Ratios and Risk

The gearing ratio is an indicator of the financial risk associated with a company. If a company has too much debt, it has the potential to fall into financial distress. Remember: A high gearing ratio shows a high proportion of debt to equity, while a low gearing ratio shows the opposite.

Capital that is borrowed is riskier than capital from the company’s owners since creditors have to be paid back even if the business doesn’t generate income. A company with too much debt might be at risk of default or bankruptcy, especially if the loans have variable interest rates. 

On the plus side, debt helps a company expand its operations, add new products and services, and ultimately boost profits. A company that never borrows might be missing out on opportunities, especially when loan interest rates are low.

Capital-intensive companies and those with a lot of fixed assets, like industrials, are likely to have more debt versus companies with fewer fixed assets. For example, utility companies typically have high gearing ratios. This is acceptable because these companies operate as regulated monopolies in their markets, which makes their debt less risky than companies in competitive markets.

Why Are Gearing Ratios Important?

Gearing ratios indicate the degree to which a company’s operations are funded by its debt versus its equity. High ratios relative to their competitors can be a red flag while low ratios generally indicate that a company is low-risk.

What Does the Net Gearing Ratio Tell You?

The net gearing ratio is the most common gearing ratio used by analysts, lenders, and investors. Also called the debt-to-equity ratio, it measures how much of the company’s operations are funded by debt compared to its equity.

Is it Better to Have a High Gearing Ratio?

A high gearing ratio can be a blessing or a curse—depending on the company and industry. Having a high gearing ratio means that a company is using more debt to fund its operations, which may increase the financial risk. But, high ratios work well for certain companies, especially if they are in capital-intensive industries. It shows they are investing in growth.

The Bottom Line

A safe gearing ratio can vary by company and is largely determined by how a company’s debt is managed and how well the company is performing. The gearing ratio must be viewed alongside other major numbers such as earnings growth, market share, and cash flow. 

It’s also worth considering that well-established companies could pay off their debt by issuing equity if needed. In other words, having debt on the balance sheet might be a strategic business decision since it might mean less equity financing. Fewer shares outstanding can mean a higher stock price. 

Tagged With: finance, financial, financial education, Investing, investment, Investopedia, money

Preference Shares vs. Bonds: What’s the Difference?

February 9, 2025 Ogghy Filed Under: BUSINESS, Investopedia

Reviewed by Thomas Brock

Preference Shares vs. Bonds: An Overview

Although holders of preference shares and bonds are both entitled to regular distribution payments, preference shares do not have a maturity date and can continue in perpetuity. Bondholders are entitled to the receipt of regular interest rate payments, while holders of preference shares receive regular dividend payments.

Key Takeaways

  • A bond is a fixed income instrument that represents a loan made by an investor to a borrower.
  • Preference shares are shares of a company’s stock with dividends that are paid out.
  • Bonds often have a maturity date, while preference shares do not.
  • Bondholders have a higher chance of being paid in bankruptcy versus holders of preference shares.

Bonds

A bond is a fixed income instrument that represents a loan made by an investor to a borrower (typically corporate or governmental). Bondholders are creditors of the company, having loaned it money.

A bond has an end date when the principal of the loan is due to be paid to the bond owner and usually includes the terms for variable or fixed interest payments that will be made by the borrower. 

Bonds have a fixed maturity and ultimately expire, limiting the amount of interest paid out.

Bondholders, as creditors of the company, have a higher chance of being paid versus holders of preference shares, depending on the priority of the debt. Bonds may be secured by assets of the company. The principal can be paid back to the bondholder by the sale of those assets in case of a bankruptcy. Unsecured bonds are not backed by any assets of the company and have a lower likelihood of receiving any distributions.

Most bonds can be sold by the initial bondholder to other investors after they have been issued. In other words, a bond investor does not have to hold a bond all the way through to its maturity date.

Preference Shares

Holders of preference shares own a piece of the company. Preference shares, more commonly referred to as preferred stock, are shares of a company’s stock with dividends that are paid out to shareholders before common stock dividends are issued. If the company enters bankruptcy, preferred stockholders are entitled to be paid from company assets before common stockholders.

Most preference shares have a fixed dividend, while common stocks generally do not. Preferred stock shareholders also typically do not hold any voting rights, but common shareholders usually do. Unlike bond payments, which are mandatory, holders of preference shares may miss some dividend payments if the company does not make a profit. If the preference shares are cumulative, the investor is entitled to receive payment for missed dividends prior to any dividends being paid to common shareholders.

Preference shares continue as long as the company is in business, or, for redeemable stock, until the company decides to buy it back.

In the case of bankruptcy or dissolution, holders of preference shares have a higher priority over common shareholders in being paid off when the company’s assets are liquidated. As a practical matter, preference shareholders are unlikely to receive any money during a bankruptcy dissolution, as they are fairly low on the priority list for repayment.

Preference shares fall under four categories: cumulative preferred stock, non-cumulative preferred stock, participating preferred stock, and convertible preferred stock.

Note

Preference shares do not come with voting rights.

Key Differences

The main difference between preference shares and bonds is that shares represent ownership of the company, while bonds simply represent a loan obligation. If the company is dissolved, bondholders are among the first in line to get a payout of the remaining assets. Preferred shareholders are further back in line, and less likely to recoup their full investment.

There are also structural differences. A typical bond pays out a fixed coupon at regular intervals, until the maturity date when the entire principal is returned to the investor. A preferred share has no maturity date: It continues paying dividends for the lifetime of the company

What Is the Difference Between Preferred Stock and Common Stock?

Preferred shares are a type of ownership share that receives a higher dividend than common stock, although they do not confer voting rights. In the event that the company dissolves, preferred shareholders have preference over common shareholders, meaning that they are more likely to recoup part of their investment.

What Are the Downsides to Preferred Stock?

Preferred shares tend to have lower liquidity than common shares, meaning that they are harder to sell at market price. In addition, they do not confer voting rights.

How Do You Convert Preferred Stock?

Some preferred shares are convertible, meaning that they can be exchanged for common shares at a fixed price and ratio. The exact terms for conversion will be spelled out in the issuance documents for the preferred stock. If the company is successful, investors can benefit from exchanging the stability of their preferred shares for the higher gains of the common shares.

The Bottom Line

Preferred stock is a type of ownership share that comes with a fixed dividend, giving it some similarities to a bond. However, bondholders have a higher priority for repayment if the company dissolves. Preferred shareholders receive a higher dividend than owners of common stock, although they do not have voting rights.

Tagged With: finance, financial, financial education, Investing, investment, Investopedia, money

How the Great Inflation of the 1970s Happened

February 9, 2025 Ogghy Filed Under: BUSINESS, Investopedia

Reviewed by Robert C. Kelly
Fact checked by Amanda Bellucco-Chatham

It’s 1974. The inflation rate hit double digits in February of 1974 and would stay in double digits until May 1975.

Not much was looking any better. The stock market lost about a third of its value from the beginning of the decade to late 1974. In that same year, the unemployment rate was above 7%.

The easy money policies of the Federal Reserve were meant to generate full employment by the early 1970s. Instead, they caused inflation to soar.

Under new leadership, the central bank reversed its policies, raising interest rates steadily. Mortgage rates would climb to double digits by 1978 and kept climbing before peaking at 18.45% in 1981.

Key Takeaways

  • Rapid inflation occurs when the prices of goods and services suddenly rise, eroding the purchasing power of consumers.
  • The 1970s saw some of the highest rates of inflation in modern U.S. history.
  • In turn, mortgage interest rates rose to nearly 20%.
  • Fed policy, the abandonment of the gold standard, Keynesian economic policies, and market psychology all contributed to high inflation.
  • Lower inflation would return only after a tough period of tight money and recession.

The Great Inflation of the 1970s

Overall, the macroeconomic event known as the Great Inflation stretched from 1965 to 1982. That means the economic disruption started during the era of President Lyndon B. Johnson and continued through the presidencies of Richard Nixon, Gerald Ford, and Jimmy Carter.

The most painful period began in late 1972 and continued into the early 1980s.

In his book, Stocks for the Long Run: A Guide for Long-Term Growth, Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel called this time “the greatest failure of American macroeconomic policy in the postwar period.”

Spreading the Blame

The Great Inflation was variously blamed on oil price manipulation by OPEC, currency speculators, greedy businessmen, and avaricious union leaders.

However, monetary policies that financed massive federal budget deficits deserve much of the blame. As economist Milton Friedman wrote in his book, Money Mischief: Episodes in Monetary History. inflation is always “a monetary phenomenon.”

The Great Inflation and the recession that followed ruined many businesses and hurt countless individuals. Interestingly, John Connally, the Nixon-installed Treasury Secretary with no formal economics training, later declared personal bankruptcy.

Yet these unusually bad economic times were preceded by a period in which the economy boomed or appeared to boom. Many Americans were awed by the temporarily low unemployment and strong growth numbers of 1972.

In 1972, they overwhelmingly re-elected a Republican president, Richard Nixon, and a Congress controlled by Democrats.

Causes of the Great Inflation

Upon his inauguration in 1969, Nixon inherited a recession from Lyndon Johnson, who had spent generously on the social programs of the Great Society and the Vietnam War.

Despite some protests, Congress went along with Nixon and continued to fund the war and increase social welfare spending. In 1972, for example, Congress and Nixon agreed to a big expansion of Social Security—just in time for the elections.

Nixon’s Changing Viewpoint

Nixon came to office as a supposed fiscal conservative. However, he ran up the budget deficit and eventually declared that he was a Keynesian. John Maynard Keynes was an influential economist of the 1930s and 1940s who advocated countercyclical policies in hard times, running deficits in recessions to pump money into the economy.

Before Keynes, governments had met recessionary times with balanced budgets and waited for businesses to adjust or liquidate. The object was to allow market forces to bring about a recovery without government intervention.

Nixon’s other economic about-face occurred when he imposed wage and price controls in 1971. They were a short-term success politically. Later, they would fuel the fires of double-digit inflation because, once they were removed, businesses boosted prices to recover lost ground.

Nixon’s deficits also made dollar-holders abroad nervous. There was a run on the dollar, which many foreigners and Americans thought was overvalued. Soon they were proved right.

In 1971, Nixon broke the last link to the gold standard, turning the American dollar into a fiat currency. The dollar was devalued and millions of foreigners holding dollars, including oil barons in the Middle East with tens of millions of petrodollars, saw their wealth fall. 

Election Year Politics

Still, President Nixon’s primary concern was not the U.S. dollar, or deficits, or even inflation. He feared another recession.

He and others who were running for re-election wanted the economy to boom. The way to do that, Nixon reasoned, was to pressure the Fed to lower interest rates.

Nixon fired Fed chair William McChesney Martin and installed presidential counselor Arthur Burns as his successor in early 1970.

Nixon wanted cheap money. That meant low interest rates to promote growth in the short term and make the economy seem strong as voters went to cast their ballots.

Note

Richard Nixon was forced to resign from the presidency in August 1974, as a result of the infamous Watergate scandal. His successor, then-Vice President Gerald Ford, would lose the next presidential election to Democrat Jimmy Carter.

The Politics of Cheap Money

In public and private, Nixon put the pressure on Burns. William Greider, in his book, Secrets of the Temple: How the Federal Reserve Runs The Country, Nixon is quoted as saying, “We’ll take inflation if necessary, but we can’t take unemployment.”

The nation got an abundance of both.

The key money creation number, M1, calculates the total cash in circulation at a given time. It grew from $228 billion to $249 billion between December 1971 and December 1972, according to Federal Reserve Board numbers. As a matter of comparison, in Fed chair Martin’s last year, M1 grew from $198 billion to $206 billion. M2, which measures retail savings and small deposits, grew even more by the end of 1972, from $710 billion to $802 billion.

Adding to the money supply worked in the short term. Nixon carried 49 out of 50 states in the election. Democrats easily held Congress. Inflation was in the low single digits.

However, the country paid the price in higher inflation once the election year festivities ended.

In the winters of 1972 and 1973, Burns began to worry about inflation. In 1973, inflation more than doubled to 8.8%. Later in the decade, it would go to 12%. By 1980, inflation was at 14%.

Was the United States about to become another Weimar Republic experiencing the brutal effects of crippling inflation?

The Great Inflation period would finally come to an end once later Fed chair Paul Volcker pursued a bold but painful contractionary money policy to control it.

What Is Inflation?

Prices for individual products fluctuate up and down constantly, but a continuing increase in the prices of a broad group of essential goods and services results in inflation.

When inflation occurs, consumers get less for every dollar they spend. Effectively, their income has decreased.

What Was the Great Inflation of the 1970s?

The period in the 1970s and extending into the early 1980s was a time of relentless inflation. The inflation rate, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, rose to as high as 14% in 1980.

Federal Reserve policy that promoted a large increase in the money supply is considered the main reason for the Great Inflation.

How Did the Great Inflation Affect Americans?

The steady and lasting rise in prices seen during the Great Inflation created a time of tremendous financial pressure for most Americans.

People found it difficult make ends meet. They worried about depleting their savings to cover the gap between their income and their expenses. They had to make unpleasant choices about which items to buy.

The deeply unsettling effect of inflation eroded their standard of living and their confidence in the country’s leadership.

The Bottom Line

It would take another Fed chair and a brutal policy of tight money—including the acceptance of a recession—before inflation would return to low single digits.

In the meantime, workers would endure jobless numbers that exceeded 10%. Millions of Americans were suffering from day to day by the late 1970s and early 1980s.

Few remember Fed chair Burns, who in his memoirs, Reflections of an Economic Policy Maker (1969-1978), blames others for the Great Inflation without mentioning the disastrous monetary expansion. Nixon didn’t even mention this central bank episode in his memoirs. Many who remember this terrible era blame it on the Arab oil-producers for manipulating the global oil supply.

Still, The Wall Street Journal, when reviewing this period in January 1986 wrote, “OPEC got all the credit for what the U.S. had mainly done to itself.”

Tagged With: finance, financial, financial education, Investing, investment, Investopedia, money

Loan Officer vs. Mortgage Broker: What’s the Difference?

February 9, 2025 Ogghy Filed Under: BUSINESS, Investopedia

Fact checked by Skylar Clarine
Reviewed by Doretha Clemon

Terry Vine / Getty

Terry Vine / Getty

Loan Officer vs. Mortgage Broker: An Overview

Borrowers commonly have two options for securing a mortgage: a loan officer or a mortgage broker. Both prepare loan applications and process them, but their methods vary.

A loan officer works for a bank, a credit union, or a mortgage lender and generally offers only the programs and mortgage rates available from that institution. A mortgage broker works on a borrower’s behalf to find the best rate and loan from various institutions.

Key Takeaways

  • Loan officers work for mortgage lenders such as banks or other financial institutions.
  • Mortgage brokers are independent and can recommend the best fit for the borrower’s needs from many institutions.
  • A loan officer commonly works on commission.
Investopedia / Sabrina Jiang

Investopedia / Sabrina Jiang

Loan Officer

Loan officers represent the mortgage lender they work for and help borrowers apply for loans offered by the financial institution. They are knowledgeable about lending products, banking industry rules and regulations, and the required loan documentation to advise their clients.

Loan officers help guide borrowers based on their financial circumstances and assist with the mortgage process. They work with the lender’s underwriter, who reviews the applicant’s creditworthiness and ability to pay the loan. When the loan is approved, the loan officer prepares the mortgage closing documents.

Some loan officers are compensated through commissions. This commission is a prepaid charge and is often negotiable. Commission fees are usually higher for mortgage loans than other types of loans. Large banks commonly work exclusively through their loan officers, and an independent mortgage broker will not offer their products.

Important

Loan officers work for just one financial institution and can only offer loans from their employer. A borrower’s options are limited to the company offerings.

Mortgage Broker

Mortgage brokers represent more than one lender and work with a variety of financial institutions such as banks, credit unions, and mortgage lenders. A mortgage broker acts as a matchmaker to find the best mortgage product for the borrower’s financial situation and connect applicants with the right lenders.

The mortgage broker may gather paperwork from the borrower and pass it along to a mortgage lender for underwriting and approval. Some lenders work exclusively with mortgage brokers, providing borrowers access to loans that otherwise would not be available to them. Brokers may negotiate with lenders to waive application, appraisal, origination, and other fees.

The number of lenders that a broker can access is limited to the institutions that have approved their services. Mortgage brokers earn a commission from the borrower, the lender, or both. These commissions, known as origination fees, are commonly 1% to 2% of the loan amount. Mortgage brokers must be licensed and must disclose their fees upfront.

Key Differences

When borrowers work with a loan officer, they deal directly with the institution that will lend them money. When borrowers work with a mortgage broker, they work with a third party. The broker merely facilitates the process between the borrower and the lender.

Loan officers can only offer loans from their employers. Mortgage brokers deal with many lenders and may be able to find a range of options for their clients.

Whether using a broker or a loan officer, borrowers can find out what fees they’re paying on the loan estimate that they receive when applying for the mortgage, commonly found under “Origination Charges.”

What Is the Benefit of Using a Loan Officer?

There are advantages to applying directly through a loan officer. Because the loan will be considered “in-house,” borrowers may get a break on their rates and closing costs and may have access to any down payment assistance (DPA) programs for which they’re eligible.

What Is a Mortgage Loan Originator?

Mortgage brokers and loan officers are considered mortgage loan originators (MLOs) and meet strict federal requirements to help negotiate mortgage loans.

Why Use a Mortgage Broker Instead of a Bank?

A bank’s loan officers can only recommend their bank’s products. Mortgage brokers work with many lenders and might be able to find a better deal for each borrower.

The Bottom Line

Whether borrowers work with a loan officer or a mortgage broker, they should pay careful attention to the fees and commissions charged. Consumers can also research loan products before choosing a lender and representative.

Tagged With: finance, financial, financial education, Investing, investment, Investopedia, money

Stock futures fall as Trump to announce 25% tariffs on steel, aluminum imports

February 9, 2025 Ogghy Filed Under: BUSINESS, MarketWatch

President Donald Trump said Sunday he will announce 25% tariffs against all steel and aluminum imports into the U.S. on Monday.

What Type of Forex Trader Are You?

February 9, 2025 Ogghy Filed Under: BUSINESS, Investopedia

Reviewed by Samantha Silberstein

What are some things that separate a good trader from a great one? Guts, instincts, intelligence, and, most importantly, timing. Just as there are many types of traders, there is an equal number of different time frames for traders to develop their ideas and execute their strategies.

At the same time, timing also helps market warriors account for factors outside of their control. They can include position leveraging, nuances of different currency pairs, and the effects of scheduled and unscheduled news releases in the market. Timing is always a major consideration when participating in the foreign exchange world.

Want to bring your trading skills to the next level? Read on to learn more about time frames and how to use them to your advantage.

Key Takeaways

  • There are different forex trading strategies for each time horizon.
  • Day traders seek to profit from small changes in the intraday market.
  • Swing traders seek to hold a position for hours or days, anticipating a turn in the market.
  • Position traders have the most long-term outlook, and examine government decisions and interest rates to forecast price changes.
  • Forex traders should also pay attention to news and interest rates when assessing the market.

Common Trader Time Frames

In the grander scheme of things, there are plenty of names and designations that traders go by. But when taking time into consideration, traders and strategies tend to fall into three broader and more common categories: day trader, swing trader, and position trader.

1. The Day Trader

Let’s begin with what seems to be the most appealing of the three designations, the day trader. A day trader will, for a lack of a better definition, trade for the day. These are market participants that will usually avoid holding anything after the session close and will trade in a high-volume fashion.

On a typical day, this short-term trader will generally aim for a quick turnover rate on one or more trades, anywhere from 10- to 100-times the normal transaction size. This is in order to capture more profit from a rather small swing. As a result, traders who work in proprietary shops in this fashion will tend to use shorter time-frame charts, using one-, five-, or 15-minute periods. In addition, day traders tend to rely more on technical trading patterns and volatile pairs to make their profits. Although a long-term fundamental bias can be helpful, these professionals are looking for opportunities in the short term.

Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2021 Figure 1.

Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2021

Figure 1.

One such currency pair is the British pound/Japanese yen as shown in Figure 1, above. This pair is considered to be extremely volatile, and is great for short-term traders, as average hourly ranges can be as high as 100 pips. This fact overshadows the 10- to 20-pip ranges in slower moving currency pairs like the euro/U.S. dollar or euro/British pound.

2. Swing Trader

Taking advantage of a longer time frame, the swing trader will sometimes hold positions for a couple of hours—maybe even days or longer—in order to call a turn in the market. Unlike a day trader, the swing trader is looking to profit from an entry into the market, hoping the change in direction will help their position. In this respect, timing is more important in a swing trader’s strategy compared to a day trader.

However, both traders share the same preference for technical over fundamental analysis. A savvy swing trade will likely take place in a more liquid currency pair like the British pound/U.S. dollar. In the example below (Figure 2), notice how a swing trader would be able to capitalize on the double bottom that followed a precipitous drop in the GBP/USD currency pair. The entry would be placed on a test of support, helping the swing trader to capitalize on a shift in directional trend, netting a two-day profit of 1,400 pips.

Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2021 Figure 2.

Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2021

Figure 2.

3. The Position Trader

Usually the longest time frame of the three, the position trader differs mainly in their perspective of the market. Instead of monitoring short-term market movements like the day and swing style, these traders tend to look at a longer term plan. Position strategies span days, weeks, months or even years. As a result, traders will look at technical formations but will more than likely adhere strictly to longer term fundamental models and opportunities. These FX portfolio managers will analyze and consider economic models, governmental decisions and interest rates to make trading decisions. The wide array of considerations will place the position trade in any of the major currencies that are considered liquid. This includes many of the G7 currencies as well as the emerging market favorites.

Additional Considerations

With three different categories of traders, there are also several different factors within these categories that contribute to success. Just knowing the time frame isn’t enough. Every trader needs to understand some basic considerations that affect traders on an individual level.

Leverage

Widely considered a double-edged sword, leverage is a day trader’s best friend. With the relatively small fluctuations that the currency market offers, a trader without leverage is like a fisherman without a fishing pole. In other words, without the proper tools, a professional is left unable to capitalize on a given opportunity. As a result, a day trader will always consider how much leverage or risk they are willing to take on before transacting in any trade.

Similarly, a swing trader may also think about their risk parameters. Although their positions are sometimes meant for longer term fluctuations, in some situations, the swing trader will have to feel some pain before making any gain on a position. In the example below (Figure 3), notice how there are several points in the downtrend where a swing trader could have capitalized on the Australian dollar/U.S. dollar currency pair. Adding the slow stochastic oscillator, a swing strategy would have attempted to enter into the market at points surrounding each golden cross.

However, over the span of two to three days, the trader would have had to withstand some losses before the actual market turn could be called correctly. Magnify these losses with leverage and the final profit/loss would be disastrous without proper risk assessment.

Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2021 Figure 3.

Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2021

Figure 3.

Different Currency Pairs

In addition to leverage, currency pair volatility should also be considered. It’s one thing to know how much you may potentially lose per trade, but it’s just as important to know how fast your trade can lose. As a result, different time frames will call for different currency pairs. Knowing that the British pound/Japanese yen currency cross sometimes fluctuates 100 pips in an hour may be a great challenge for day traders, but it may not make sense for the swing trader who is trying to take advantage of a change in market direction. For this reason alone, swing traders will want to follow more widely recognized G7 major pairs as they tend to be more liquid than emerging market and cross currencies. For example, the euro/U.S. dollar is preferred over the Australian dollar/Japanese yen for this reason.

News Releases

Finally, traders in all three categories must always be aware of both unscheduled and scheduled news releases and how they affect the market. Whether these releases are economic announcements, central bank press conferences, or the occasional surprise rate decision, traders in all three categories will have individual adjustments to make.

Short-term traders will tend to be the most affected, as losses can be exacerbated while swing trader directional bias will be corrupted. To this effect, some in the market will prefer the comfort of being a position trader. With a longer-term perspective, and hopefully a more comprehensive portfolio, the position trader is somewhat filtered by these occurrences as they have already anticipated the temporary price disruption. As long as the price continues to conform to the longer-term view, position traders are rather shielded as they look ahead to their benchmark targets.

A great example of this can be seen on the first Friday of every month in the U.S. non-farm payrolls report. Although short-term players have to deal with choppy and rather volatile trading following each release, the longer-term position player remains relatively sheltered as long as the longer-term bias remains unchanged.

Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2021 Figure 4.

Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2021

Figure 4.

Which Time Frame Is Right?

Which time frame is right really depends on the trader. Do you thrive in volatile currency pairs? Or do you have other commitments and prefer the sheltered, long-term profitability of a position trade? Fortunately, you don’t have to be pigeon-holed into one category. Let’s take a look at how different time frames can be combined to produce a profitable market position.

Warning

Forex markets are more volatile than equities markets. This can be a potential source of profit, but it also comes with higher risks.

Like a Position Trader

As a position trader, the first thing to analyze is the economy—in this case, in the U.K. Let’s assume that given global conditions, the U.K.’s economy will continue to show weakness in line with other countries. Manufacturing is on the downtrend with industrial production as consumer sentiment and spending continue to tick lower. Worsening the situation has been the fact that policymakers continue to use benchmark interest rates to boost liquidity and consumption, which causes the currency to sell off because lower interest rates mean cheaper money.

Technically, the longer term picture also looks distressing against the U.S. dollar. Figure 5 shows two death crosses in our oscillators, combined with significant resistance that has already been tested and failed to offer a bearish signal.

Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2021 Figure 5.

Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2021

Figure 5.

Like a Day Trader

After we establish the long-term trend, which in this case would be a continued deleveraging, or sell off, of the British pound, we isolate intraday opportunities that give us the ability to sell into this trend through simple technical analysis (support and resistance). A good strategy for this would be to look for great short opportunities at the London open after the price action has ranged from the Asian session.

Although too easy to believe, this process is widely overlooked for more complex strategies. Traders tend to analyze the longer term picture without assessing their risk when entering into the market, thus taking on more losses than they should. Bringing the action to the short-term charts helps us to see not only what is happening, but also to minimize longer and unnecessary drawdowns.

How Do You Get Started Day Trading?

The first step to day trading is to learn some of the beginner day trading strategies, while acquainting yourself with the rules and regulations of the market. It also helps to try paper trading to test your knowledge of these trading strategies. When you are ready, find an appropriate trading platform and begin trading with an amount of capital that you would feel comfortable about losing.

What Are the Risks of Day Trading in the Forex Market?

Forex traders typically need to borrow large amounts of money on margin in order to make profitable trades. While the stock market has a maximum margin requirement of 50%, margins in forex markets can be as low as 1%. This means that a tiny adverse movement in the market could be enough to wipe out your entire position.

How Do Forex Traders Make Money?

Forex traders speculate on the relative prices of major global currencies with respect to one another. In addition to betting on spot rates, they can also profit from the relative interest rates of different currencies. For example, traders may sell a currency with a low interest rate to buy one with a higher interest rate, thereby profiting from the difference.

The Bottom Line

Time frames are extremely important to any trader. Whether you’re a day, swing, or even position trader, time frames are always a critical consideration in an individual’s strategy and its implementation. Given its considerations and precautions, the knowledge of time in trading and execution can help every novice trader head toward greatness.

Tagged With: finance, financial, financial education, Investing, investment, Investopedia, money

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