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The IRS processed roughly 266 million tax returns during fiscal year 2024, and not every one of those returns passed through the system cleanly.More than half a million were pulled aside for a closer look, resulting in billions of dollars in recommended additional taxes owed to Uncle Sam. If you filed a return recently, you are probably wondering right now whether yours could land on the wrong side of that selection process.Your odds are low on paper, but certain red flags on your return could change those odds faster than you realize right now. The real question you should be asking yourself is not whether audits happen, but whether your return has the kind of profile that attracts one.Here is what the latest IRS data reveal about who gets audited, what triggers that scrutiny, and exactly how you should prepare yourself.How the IRS decides which returns get flaggedThe IRS does not select most returns at random, and the agency has become far more sophisticated about identifying which ones deserve scrutiny. Every return you file gets scored by the Discriminant Function System (DIF), a computerized scoring model that compares your return against statistical norms for your income bracket.Returns that deviate significantly from what the IRS expects for someone in your income range, occupation, and location get higher DIF scores automatically. The algorithm also cross-references your reported income against third-party documents including W-2s, 1099s, and K-1s filed by employers and financial institutions.A Government Accountability Office report confirmed that the IRS is increasingly using machine learning models to identify returns with the highest likelihood of containing errors. But a human IRS employee still reviews your return and makes the final decision about whether to move forward with a full examination.Audit rates vary significantly depending on your income levelOut of the 266 million returns the IRS processed, only 505,514 were audited in fiscal year 2024, according to the IRS Data Book. That works out to roughly 0.19% of all returns filed, or fewer than two out of every one thousand returns submitted to the agency.But that average hides enormous variation once you break the numbers down by income, and some taxpayers face dramatically higher audit rates. Taxpayers reporting total positive income of $10 million or more faced an 11% audit rate for tax year 2019, the most recent year fully measured.Related: IRS issues harsh warning about AI and taxesAudit rates by income bracket (IRS fiscal year 2024):Under $25,000: Approximately three to four audits per 1,000 returns filed, driven largely by Earned Income Tax Credit claims$25,000 to $49,999: Approximately two audits per 1,000 returns filed, one of the lowest audit rates across all income brackets$50,000 to $499,999: Approximately one audit per 1,000 returns filed, the lowest overall examination rate for individual taxpayers nationwide$500,000 to $999,999: Approximately six audits per 1,000 returns, a noticeable jump from the rates faced by middle-income filers$1 million to $5 million: Approximately 11 audits per 1,000 returns, reflecting the IRS enforcement priority on high-income earners directly$5 million to $10 million: A 3.1% audit rate, or 31 audits per 1,000 returns filed, according to the latest IRS data$10 million and above: An 11% examination rate, the highest audit coverage among all individual income categories tracked by the agencyThe IRS has committed to not raising audit rates above historical levels for taxpayers earning under $400,000 annually under current enforcement guidelines. However, Congressional budget proposals and IRS workforce reductions may further shift how the agency allocates its limited enforcement resources going forward.5 red flags that could draw the IRS directly to your returnThe IRS does not publish an official list of audit triggers, but tax professionals and IRS data consistently point to the same recurring patterns. You should understand each of these red flags because even one of them on your return can significantly increase your chances of being selected.Red flag #1: Unreported income or mismatched third-party documentsEvery W-2, 1099-NEC, 1099-K, and 1099-B filed by employers, brokers, and payment platforms gets matched against the income you report on your return. If the IRS system detects a discrepancy between what third parties reported and what you claimed, your return gets flagged automatically for review.Red flag #2: Deductions that are disproportionately large relative to incomeClaiming $30,000 in charitable deductions on $75,000 of income will almost certainly attract IRS attention because that ratio falls far outside statistical norms. The DIF scoring system compares your deductions against averages for taxpayers with similar incomes, and significant deviations raise your score immediately.Red flag #3; Repeated Schedule C losses from self-employment activityIf your business consistently generates losses that offset your W-2 income year after year, the IRS may question whether you operate a real business. The agency could reclassify your activity as a hobby, which eliminates your ability to deduct those losses against your other earned income entirely.Red flag #4: Excessive home office deductions without proper documentationDavid Perez, an IRS enrolled agent and CEO of Tax Maverick, told U.S. News that many taxpayers overestimate this deduction and claim far too much. Your home office must be used exclusively and regularly for business purposes, and the IRS has specific square footage and usage rules you must follow.Red flag #5: Unreported cryptocurrency and digital asset transactionsStarting with 2025 transactions, crypto brokers must report proceeds to the IRS on the new Form 1099-DA, dramatically increasing the agency’s visibility. If you sold, traded, or received digital assets as income and failed to report those transactions accurately, the IRS matching system will catch it.

Cryptocurrency transactions are now easier for the IRS to track, making accurate reporting more important than ever before for taxpayers.fizkes/Shutterstock

What happens when you receive an IRS audit letter?If the IRS selects your return for examination, you will find out through a physical letter delivered by the United States Postal Service to your address. You will never receive a phone call, email, or text message from the IRS about an audit, and anyone who contacts you that way is likely a scammer.You can verify any letter you receive by checking the IRS notice lookup page using the CP or LTR number printed on the upper right corner of the document you received.Most audits are handled entirely through the mailIn fiscal year 2024, 77.9% of all IRS audits were correspondence audits conducted entirely by mail, according to the IRS Data Book (Publication 55-B). These mail-based audits typically ask you to provide additional documentation supporting specific items on your return, such as deductions or income amounts.More Personal Finance:Why selling a home to your child for a dollar can backfireElon Musk says ‘universal high income’ is comingFTC, 21 states sue Uber over ‘shady’ subscription billingThe remaining 22.1% of audits were conducted in person, either at an IRS office, your tax professional’s office, or at your home or business. You have the right to request an in-person audit if the complexity of your situation makes a mail-based review impractical for your circumstances.How to prepare yourself if the IRS selects your returnThe IRS will tell you exactly what documents it needs to conduct your audit, so you will not be left guessing about what to gather together. Your audit letter will include a specific list of records the agency wants to review, and you should start assembling those documents immediately.Related: The IRS Says Tax Refunds are Up 10%Records you should have ready:Receipts for any deductions you claimed, with notes explaining what each expense was for and how it relates to your returnW-2s, 1099s, and K-1s from employers, brokers, and partnerships that document all income sources you reported on your filed returnBank statements and canceled checks that show the dates, amounts, and recipients of payments you deducted from your taxable incomeMileage logs, travel records, and business expense documentation organized by trip, date, and clearly stated business purpose for each itemLegal documents, loan agreements, and property records that support any claims related to interest deductions or real estate transactions reportedThe IRS recommends organizing your documents by year and transaction type and including a summary page listing everything you are submitting. Do not send original documents by mail under any circumstances, and always request delivery confirmation to prove the IRS received your package.Consider hiring a tax professional for representationYou have the legal right to represent yourself during an IRS audit, but a qualified tax professional can often navigate the process more efficiently. Enrolled agents, certified public accountants, and tax attorneys are all authorized to represent you before the IRS during an audit examination proceeding.Three realistic outcomes after the IRS completes your auditAfter the IRS finishes reviewing your documents, the agency will send you a letter with a report explaining the findings and any proposed changes. Your audit will end in one of three ways, and each outcome requires a different response from you depending on whether you agree with the results.No change to your return: The IRS found that everything you reported was accurate and properly supported by documentation, and your case is closed with no adjustments.You agree with the proposed changes: The IRS identified adjustments to your return, and you understand and accept them, so you follow the payment or refund instructions included.You disagree with the proposed changes: You can request a conference with an IRS manager or file a formal appeal through the IRS Alternative Dispute Resolution program within 30 days.Ignoring an audit letter does not make the process go away, and the IRS will simply complete the audit using whatever information it already has. That almost always results in changes that are less favorable to you, because the agency will not give you the benefit of the doubt without documentation.Steps you can take now to reduce your tax audit riskYou cannot eliminate audit risk entirely, but you can take specific practical steps that significantly reduce the likelihood that your return will be selected. The best defense against an IRS audit starts long before you file, and it begins with accurate record-keeping throughout the entire calendar year.Report every source of income accurately, including freelance payments, side hustles, investment gains, and any income from digital asset transactions reported.Keep all receipts, invoices, and bank statements that support your deductions, and organize them by category so they are ready if needed.Avoid using suspiciously round numbers for deductions, because claiming exactly $10,000 or $15,000 in expenses raises red flags in the DIF scoring system.File your return electronically with direct deposit, which reduces processing errors and provides faster confirmation that the IRS received your filing.Reconcile all third-party income documents against your return before filing, and make sure every W-2, 1099, and K-1 matches what you reported.Consult a qualified tax professional if your return involves self-employment income, rental properties, foreign accounts, or large itemized deduction claims seriously.The IRS generally has three years from your filing date to initiate an audit, but that window extends to six years if substantial underreporting is found. You should keep all records used to prepare your return for at least three years, and hold onto investment-related documents for up to seven full years.Related: How to boost your tax refund​

Looking for help with today’s New York Times Pips? We’ll walk you through today’s puzzle and help you match dominoes to tiles.

U.S. stock-index futures fell on Sunday, as new threats of escalation from both President Donald Trump and Iran threatened to intensify the conflict roiling the Persian Gulf region.

Every online shopper has faced the Amazon conundrum. After 10 minutes of scrolling, you find the perfect item that meets all of your needs and looks amazing. You even check the reviews to make sure that the community is satisfied with their purchase. But when you receive the item, it somehow just doesn’t look like it did online and doesn’t perform the way you expected. (Wired, by the way, offers helpful tips on spotting fake reviews.)As frustrating as that situation is for an off-brand video game controller or a $45 stainless steel cooking pan, one can imagine how frustrating it must be to spend tens of thousands on an electric vehicle when its driving range is more than 50 miles lower per charge than advertised.But every once in a while, our online shopping targets perform even better than we expected, and some vehicles exceed their EPA-estimated driving range. The federal government heavily regulates motor vehicle fuel efficiency standards. For electric vehicles, the Environmental Protection Agency range is the official estimate of an EV’s driving distance on a single charge. The EPA estimates that a gallon of gasoline has the energy equivalent of 33.7 kilowatt-hours of electricity.In other words, a plug-in that uses 33.7 kilowatt-hours to drive 100 miles will use the energy equivalent of one gallon of gasoline. Or at least that is supposed to be the standard. According to a new Consumer Reports study, many EVs perform much worse on the highway than their advertised EPA ranges would suggest. But many vehicles also overperform EPA estimates, giving owners an extra 10 or 20 miles beyond the expected range. The EPA says its tests take charging losses into consideration, as a small amount of energy is lost through energy conversion and heat. But some of the real-world results in the Consumer Reports study can’t be explained away by spillage.The discrepancy isn’t unexpected, since the EPA conducts its tests in a laboratory using a standardized mix of highway and city driving, while Consumer Reports uses real-world highway range, explained Consumer Reports Director of Auto Test Development Alex Knizek.Still, he recognized that this presents an unfair conundrum for car buyers. “When comparing cars, buyers need to know what range they are getting for their money,” says Knizek. “If you run out of charge on the highway, you may need to be towed, which could be both inconvenient and costly.”What is Consumer Reports?Founded in 1936 by a group of workers fired from a product-testing firm called Consumers’ Research, Consumer Reports is a multifaceted nonprofit organization that aims to educate consumers about products and help them make informed purchasing decisions.It does this by purchasing and testing products directly, administering detailed surveys to its members about the products they own and use, and investigating the veracity of manufacturers’ claims.Consumer Reports at a glanceFounded: 1936 (as Consumers Union by former employees of Consumers’ Research, fired after they attempted to unionize)Headquartered: Yonkers, NYLeadership: Marta Tellado, president and CEOEmployees: Approx. 500 to 600Members: At least 6 millionMission statement: “Consumer Reports is an independent, nonprofit member organization that works side by side with consumers for truth, transparency, and fairness in the marketplace.”Consumer Reports’ slogan, “Smarter choices for a better world,” captures the organization’s purpose. CR aims to educate and inform the public by providing objective information about popular products, helping consumers make “smarter choices” when purchasing major items.More from Consumer ReportsConsumer Reports names 5 more vehicles with the lowest hidden feesConsumer Reports names 5 vehicles with the lowest hidden feesConsumer Reports warns of 5 vehicles with the most expensive hidden feesConsumer Reports calls the EPA’s miles-per-gallon-equivalent calculations “outdated” and its methods unrealistic. “That’s why we purchase our vehicles like a consumer would and drive them at highway speeds like a consumer would on a road trip,” said Jake Fisher, senior director of CR’s Auto Test Center. For this report, Consumer Reports put the EVs through a highway-speed range test, driving fully charged vehicles at a steady speed of 70 mph until they ran out of charge. Even if the vehicle’s display indicated zero miles of range, the testers didn’t stop driving until the car came to a stop. Consumer Reports EVs that underperform their EPA rangeHyundai Ioniq 5N

Hyundai

Model: 2025 Hyundai Ioniq 5N, AWD, 21-inch wheelsEPA Range: 221 milesConsumer Reports Highway Range: 236 miles (+15 miles difference)Mini Countryman SE

BMW Group

Model: 2025 Mini Countyman SE All4 AWD, 18-inch wheelsEPA Range: 212 milesConsumer Reports Highway Range: 237 (+25 miles)Mercedes-Benz EQE SUV

Mercedes-Benz

Model: 2023 Mercedes-Benz EQE SUV 350 4Matic, AWD, 20-inch wheelsEPA Range: 253 milesConsumer Reports Highway Range: 284 miles (+31 miles)BMW i5

BMW

Model: 2023 BMW i5, M60, AWD, 20-inch wheelsEPA Range: 250 milesConsumer Reports Highway Range: 295 miles (+45 miles)BMW i4

BMW

Model: 2023 BMW i4 M50, AWD, 19-inch wheelsEPA Range: 267 milesConsumer Reports Highway Range: 318 miles (+51 miles)Related: Consumer Reports warns of 5 vehicles with most expensive hidden fees

Some stock market oversold signals are flashing, encouraging the buy-the-dip crowd, but not every indicator is saying it’s time to buy, and that may give investors enough reason for caution.After notching three consecutive years of double-digit gains, worries that prices had moved too far too fast, increasing the risk of a reckoning for the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and technology-heavy Nasdaq, look prescient so far in 2026.Technology stocks were the first to crack, losing ground since September. Other sectors, including energy, healthcare, and industrials initially picked up the slack, propping up the major indexes. However, the Iran War has sent Treasury yields surging, derailing those baskets and causing the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq to break through closely watched 200-dma trend lines. The small cap Russell 2000 is similarly threatening to join them.“Since 1950, when the S&P 500 closes above this trendline the annualized return is 21.1%. When it closes beneath? -22.2%. Proving once again that bad things tend to happen beneath this trendline,” noted Carson Group’s popular market strategist Ryan Detrick on X.That’s a troubling development, but some technical sentiment measures, including the relative strength index, may suggest that stocks are due for a bounce – at least short term. Whether such a bounce would be long lasting like last year’s April recovery from near-bear-market lows remains to be seen. The situation isn’t nearly as clear now as last year, though.Buy the dip or sell the rip?Typically, investors view selloffs as buy opportunities, allowing those who missed the move to pick up shares, helping stocks bounce when they test critical support lines like the 200-dma.However, buy-the-dip bounces like that typically work best early on in a bull market move, not after big and longer term moves that have reduced available cash on the sidelines.Arguably, most of Main Street has already used prior retreats to move money into the markets, including into assets like gold and silver.The temptation to buy into a sell-off is also reduced by the fact that bonds offer better returns than a few months ago. For instance, the 10-year Treasury Note yield is nearly 4.4% and the 2-year Treasury bill yield is 3.91%, up from about 3.4% in late February.More Wall Street:Morgan Stanley has a stark message for investors in Palantir stocksMarket tumble sends investors scrambling: Here’s what to do nowJ.P. Morgan pushes back on Fed’s 2026 rate-cut forecastThat doesn’t mean stocks won’t bounce, but it may mean that the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq are in what I like to call “prove it” territory, rather than this being an all-in moment like last April.Many investors bought assets at higher prices, including stocks, gold and silver, and they more likely to press the sell button on rallies, creating a weight of overhead supply that could make a buy-dip rally short-lived as would be sellers “sell-the-rip.”Given that backdrop, there’s little incentive to risk, as gray-haired traders on Wall Street like to say, catching a falling knife. At least, not until the indexes recapture and retest the 200-dma successfully.

TradingView.

After all, mid-term election years are prone to pain.  On average, the S&P 500 experiences an average drop of 17.5% at some point before the election during mid-term years, a much larger drawdown than the other three years of the Presidential cycle.A trust, but verify marketI’ve seen plenty of drops like this over my 30 years and there are always good arguments for more losses or for stocks to bottom. Everyone has an opinion, but for my money I like to consider data rather than opinions.There are a few specific things I like to see to suggest that the odds favor an oversold market worthy of taking on the risk of buying:A put/call ratio above 1.20: Options trading rises with volatility, and when investors rush to buy puts to hedge positions or capitalize on weakness, it can signal we’re nearly ready for a rally.A greed/fear ratio at “extreme fear”: Humans are emotional and sentiment drives our desire to buy and sell. When CNN’s Fear & Greed Index flashes extreme fear, it suggests people have already run for the hills, leaving few left to sell.AAII’s bull/bear ratio tilts significantly bearish: Another sentiment indicator, I like to see the six-month forward expectation from traders responding to AAII’s survey decisively in the bearish camp.A volatility index north of 30: A reading of the VIX above 25 is solid, but 30 is even better (and spikes to 40 or more are even more intriguing). Volatility is a great tool for determining when things become overdone.A relative strength index below 25: Again, below 30 is solid, but below 25 is better (and below 20 can suggest a back-up-the-truck moment). When RSI, which measures overbought and oversold by tracking trading over the past 14 sessions, gets that low, it usually means a rally is likely.So where do we stand currently?The CBOE total put/call ratio is 1.01.CNN’s Fear/Greed Index is at “extreme fear.”AAII’s Sentiment Survey shows 52% of respondents are bearish six months out, putting it “above its historical average of 31.0% for the sixth consecutive week,” according to AAII.The volatility Index (VIX) is currently at 26.78, according to MarketWatch.The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA), S&P 500 (SPY), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) RSIs are 25.11, 29.63, 35.2, and 32.97, respectively, using exchange traded funds as proxy.Overall, there’s mounting evidence we’re “getting there” regarding oversold, and that’s undeniably compelling, particularly given the old Wall Street adage, “buy on the sound of cannons, sell on the sound of trumpets.”“Now might be a good time to consider putting some cash to work for those willing to take on more risk and inclined to “buy to the sound of cannons,” noted long-time fund manager Dan Niles on X.Still, not every measure is as stretched as it could get.As a result, investors may want to take a ‘trust but verify’ approach to buying weakness. Being willing to miss “nailing the bottom” by testing the water slowly may be wisest.Related: JPMorgan resets S&P 500 price target for rest of 2026

President Trump signed an executive order asking FCC chairman Brendan Carr to see if it can prevent other broadcasters from airing sports opposite the Army-Navy game

Chappell Roan was accused of telling her security guard to scold a young fan, sparking a response from the pop star and igniting a ridiculous meme on social media.

Not long ago, the idea of being a “generalist” in the workplace had a mixed reputation. The stereotype was the “jack of all trades” who could dabble in many disciplines but was a “master of none.” And for years, that was more or less true. Most people simply didn’t have access to the expertise required to do highly cross-functional work. If you needed a new graphic, you waited for a designer. If you needed to change a contract, you waited for legal. In smaller organizations and startups, this waiting game was typically replaced with inaction or improvization — often with questionable results.AI is changing this faster than any technology shift I’ve seen. It’s allowing people to succeed at tasks beyond their normal area of expertise.Anthropic found that AI is “enabling engineers to become more full-stack in their work,” meaning they’re able to make competent decisions across a much wider range of interconnected technologies. A direct consequence of this is tasks that would have been left aside due to lack of time or expertise are now being accomplished (27% of AI-assisted work per Anthropic’s study).

This shift is closely mirroring the effects of past revolutionary technologies. The invention of the automobile or the computer did not bring us a wealth of leisure time — it mainly led us to start doing work that could not be done before.With AI as a guide, anyone can now expand their skillsets and augment their expertise to accomplish more. This fundamentally changes what people can do, who can do it, how teams operate, and what leaders should expect. Well, not so fast. The AI advances have been incredible, and if 2025 may not have fully delivered its promise of bringing AI agents to the workforce, there’s no reason to doubt it’s well on its way. But for now, it’s not perfect. If to err is human, to trust AI not to err is foolish.One of the biggest challenges of working with AI is identifying hallucinations. The term was coined, I assume, not as a cute way to refer to factual errors, but as quite an apt way of describing the conviction that AI exhibits in its erroneous answers. We humans have a clear bias toward confident people, which probably explains the number of smart people getting burned after taking ChatGPT at face value. And if experts can get fooled by an overconfident AI, how can generalists hope to harness the power of AI without making the same mistake? Citizen guardrails give way to vibe freedomIt’s tempting to compare today’s AI vibe coding wave to the rise of low- and no-code tools. No-code tools gave users freedom to build custom software tailored to their needs. However, the comparison doesn’t quite hold. The so-called “citizen developers” could only operate inside the boundaries the tool allowed. These tight constraints were limiting, but they had the benefit of saving the users from themselves — preventing anything catastrophic.AI removes those boundaries almost entirely, and with great freedom comes responsibilities that most people aren’t quite prepared for. The first stage of ‘vibe freedom’ is one of unbridled optimism encouraged by a sycophantic AI. “You’re absolutely correct!” The dreaded report that would have taken all night looks better than anything you could have done yourself and only took a few minutes.

The next stage comes almost by surprise — there’s something that’s not quite right. You start doubting the accuracy of the work — you review and then wonder if it wouldn’t have been quicker to just do it yourself in the first place.Then comes bargaining and acceptance. You argue with the AI, you’re led down confusing paths, but slowly you start developing an understanding — a mental model of the AI mind. You learn to recognize the confidently incorrect, you learn to push back and cross-check, you learn to trust and verify. The generalist becomes the trust layerThis is a skill that can be learned, and it can only be learned on the job, through regular practice. This doesn’t require deep specialization, but it does require awareness. Curiosity becomes essential. So does the willingness to learn quickly, think critically, spot inconsistencies, and to rely on judgment rather than treating AI as infallible.That’s the new job of the generalist: Not to be an expert in everything, but to understand the AI mind enough to catch when something is off, and to defer to a true specialist when the stakes are high. The generalist becomes the human trust layer sitting between the AI’s output and the organization’s standards. They decide what passes and what gets a second opinion.That said, this only works if the generalist clears a minimum bar of fluency. There’s a big difference between “broadly informed” and “confidently unaware.” AI makes that gap easier to miss.Impact on teams and hiringClearly, specialists will not be replaced by AI anytime soon. Their work remains critical. It will evolve to  become more strategic.What AI changes is everything around the edges. Roles that felt important but were hard to fill, tasks that sat in limbo because no expert was available, backlogs created by waiting for highly skilled people to review simple work. Now, a generalist can get much farther on their own, and specialists can focus on the hardest problems. We’re already starting to see an impact in the hiring landscape. Companies are looking to bring on individuals who are comfortable navigating AI. People who embrace it and use it to take on projects outside of their comfort zone.Performance expectations will shift too. Many leaders are already looking less at productivity alone, and more at how effectively someone uses AI. We see token usage not as a measure of cost, but as an indicator of AI adoption, and perhaps optimistically, as a proxy for productivity.   Making vibe work viableUse AI to enhance work, not to wing it: You will get burned letting AI loose. It requires guidance and oversight.Learn when to trust and when to verify: Build an understanding of the AI mind so you can exercise good judgement on the work produced. When in doubt or when the stakes are high, defer to specialists.Set clear organizational standards: AI thrives on context and humans, too. Invest in documentation of processes, procedures, and best practices.Keep humans in the loop: AI shouldn’t remove oversight. It should make oversight easier.Without these factors, AI work stays in the “vibe” stage. With them, it becomes something the business can actually rely on.Return of the generalistThe emerging, AI-empowered generalist is defined by curiosity, adaptability, and the ability to evaluate the work AI produces. They can span multiple functions, not because they’re experts in each one, but because AI gives them access to specialist-level expertise. Most importantly, this new generation of generalists knows when and how to apply their human judgment and critical thinking. That’s the real determining factor for turning vibes into something reliable, sustainable, and viable in the long run.Cedric Savarese is founder and CEO of FormAssembly.

An ad under Walton’s name ran in Sunday’s print edition of the New York Times.