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AMD stock sends valuation signal for first time in 3 years
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) stock just flashed a red signal investors haven’t seen in years.For the first time in about three years, the stock’s valuation has effectively reset below recent annual figures, underscoring a clear shift in sentiment.The semiconductor giant’s price-to-earnings ratio has slipped to about 76, per GuruFocus, behind year-end readings of 77 in 2022, 278 in 2023, 120 in 2024, and 80 in 2025. That obvious break in the pattern points to investors being clearly in “show-me” mode in the AI trade, even though demand has held up remarkably well.As of March 30, 2026, AMD stock is trading around $201.99, according to Yahoo Finance.That incredible shift comes as questions start to build around execution. AMD’s latest outlook pointed to $9.8 billion in first-quarter sales, suggesting a quarter-over-quarter slowdown and raising doubts about whether it could catch up with Nvidia in AI.Speaking of Nvidia (NVDA), it has also flashed a major valuation signal I covered, trading below the S&P 500’s valuation for the first time in 13 years.At the same time, the broader investing space is changing. Tech valuations have taken a major hit as investors reassess whether the relentless AI spending will manifest into durable returns. That has made stocks like AMD a lot more sensitive to any sign of sluggishness.AMD stock returns vs. NvidiaOver the past month, AMD returned 0.89%, while Nvidia returned -5.45%.Over the past three months, AMD returned -6.05%, while Nvidia returned -12.07%.Over the past six months, AMD returned 26.67%, while Nvidia returned -5.98%.Over the past nine months, AMD returned 40.46%, while Nvidia returned 6.21%.Year to date, AMD returned -5.68%, while Nvidia returned -10.17%.Over the past year, AMD returned 89.40%, while Nvidia returned 50.37%.Over the past three years, AMD returned 109.08%, while Nvidia returned 531.97%.Over the past five years, AMD returned 160.94%, while Nvidia returned 1,208.04%.
Source: Seeking Alpha
Why AMD’s valuation looks different nowAMD’s current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is telling a much different story about the stock, Investopedia explains.Simply put, the ratio essentially tells how much investors are willing to pay for $1 of a company’s earnings. Given AMD’s current P/E ratio of around 76, that means investors are paying up $76 for every $1 AMD earns. The greater the number, the more growth and optimism the market is essentially pricing in.Related: JPMorgan delivers blunt message on interest rate cutsAMD’s current P/E ratio is comfortably below its 10-year median of 101.53, GuruFocus notes, and far below its year-end readings from 2022 through 2025. So AMD stock is trading at a much lower valuation than it did during the peak of market enthusiasm.Still, that doesn’t automatically make the stock cheap. GuruFocus shows AMD’s current P/E ratio is still significantly higher than the semiconductor industry median of 39.52. In fact, its valuation ranks worse than 71.2% of 625 companies in the industry.So AMD stock isn’t trading at its previously extreme multiple, but clearly, investors are still paying a meaningful premium for future growth.
AMD stock resets lower as valuation drops below recent annual levels for first time.White/Getty Images for Wired
Wall Street price targets for AMD stockWall Street’s consensus price target for AMD stock is $289.61, implying +43.38% upside, with a high estimate of $365 and a low estimate of $220. Wells Fargo set a $345 target, implying about 70.8% upside.UBS set a $310 target, implying about 53.5% upside.Piper Sandler set a $300 target, implying about 48.5% upside.Bank of America set a $280 target, implying about 38.6% upside.Morgan Stanley set a $255 target, implying about 26.2% upside.Goldman Sachs set a $240 target, implying about 18.8% upside.
Sources: SeekingAlpha, Benzinga, Investing.com, Barron’s, Tipranks
AMD valuation milestonesAMD broke into the $100 billion club on Aug. 5, 2020, when the stock closed at $85.31, per MarketWatch.By the end of 2021, AMD’s market value had surged to nearly $173.8 billion, making it a semiconductor heavyweight.The next big jump came at the end of 2023, when AMD wrapped up the year with a market cap of nearly $238.2 billion, as AI enthusiasm reshaped the chip market.On Feb. 29, 2024, AMD closed at above $300 billion in market value for the first time, according to Bloomberg, supercharged by an AI-fueled rally in its stock.AMD then crossed the $400 billion mark for the first time on Oct. 24, 2025, MarketWatch noted, reaching $410 billion amid investor enthusiasm for its AI story. As of March 27, 2026, AMD’s market cap was about $329.33 billion, according to Yahoo Finance. What AMD’s chart is sayingAMD’s stock technical setup looks mostly mixed at this point. It currently trades slightly above its 20-day moving average of $200.92 and its 200-day moving average of $195.16, per Barchart.com. Still, it remains behind its 50-day average of $213.92 and 100-day average of $217.72.Although the long-term trend remains intact, the stock still has a ton of work to do before there’s clarity on whether investors could say short- and medium-term momentum has really turned higher.Related: Morgan Stanley delivers stark take for gold, stock market investorsThe momentum signals underscore a similar story. AMD’s 14-day RSI is 42.2, according to Investing.com. The RSI is a simple metric that tells investors if a stock is overbought or oversold, and the current reading in the early 40s usually points to weak but not eroding momentum. Additionally, AMD’s MACD is -1.460, still leaning bearish as it compares short-term momentum with the bigger trend, underscoring the fact that the stock hasn’t fully shaken off the recent selling pressure.That said, near-term support sits in the high-$190s, Barchart.com noted, with more substantial downside support in the mid-$190s and the low-$190s if pressure builds again.On the upside, resistance begins in the low-$200s and strengthens as the stock rises toward the upper-$200s, just below $210. The more demanding ceiling sits in the low-$210s to high-$210s, where AMD will have to then reclaim its 50-day and 100-day moving averages.Related: Morgan Stanley sends clear message on semiconductor stocks after selloff
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Verizon remains a top dividend stock for passive income
Verizon Communications has quietly been rebuilding its investment case. New CEO Dan Schulman took the reins in October 2025 and wasted no time making big moves. He slashed$9 billion in combined operating and capital expenses, closed the $20 billion acquisition of Frontier Communications, and authorized a $25 billion share buyback program.That’s a lot of change in a short time. But for dividend investors, the Dow 30 stock still offers a compelling yield in 2026. A dividend stock built on 20 years of hikesVerizon (VZ) raised its dividend for the 20th straight year in January 2026. That kind of consistency is rare. Schulman called the company’s commitment to annual dividend increases “ironclad” during a Morgan Stanley investor conference in March.More on dividend stocks:UPS CFO issues stark warning to dividend investorsOracle stock dividend under threat amid massive AI pushHow much to invest in Ford stock for $1,000 in 2026 dividendsSchulman explained:”We raised our dividend again for the 20th straight year, and I don’t want to be the CEO that doesn’t do that every single year going forward. That is an ironclad commitment for us.”Chief Financial Officer Tony Skiadas echoed that sentiment at a Deutsche Bank conference, telling investors the company’s goal is to “put the Board in a position to continue to raise the dividend per share in the future.”Key dividend metrics for VZ stock:Dividend yield: ~5.6%Annualized dividend per share: $2.83Estimated dividend per share (2027): $2.87Consecutive years of dividend growth: 20Dividend payout frequency: Quarterly5-year dividend CAGR (2025–2030 estimate): ~1.9%Free cash flow (2025 actual): $20.13 billionFree cash flow guidance (2026): At least $21.5 billionFree cash flow CAGR (2025–2030 estimate): ~5.4%The annual dividend expense for Verizon stock is around $12 billion. Given its 2026 FCF estimates of $21.5 billion, the telecom giant has enough room to reinvest in growth projects, acquisitions, and lower debt levels. The yield alone puts Verizon in rare company. At roughly 5.5%, it’s well above the S&P 500 average. And unlike many high-yielders, this one is backed by serious cash generation.The cash flow story is the real edgeDividend stocks live or die by the strength of the business behind the payout. That’s where Verizon outperforms most peers.
Verizon CEO is focusing on cost cutsUdo Salters/ Getty Images
The company guided to at least $21.5 billion in free cash flow for 2026. That’s a 7%-plus increase from the $20.13 billion generated in 2025. It’s also more than enough to cover both the dividend and the new buyback program.How is Verizon getting there? The $5 billion in operating cost cuts is a big piece of it. The company trimmedroughly 13,000 jobs, reduced its contract workforce, and is decommissioning legacy copper networks. It also trimmed capital spending by about $4 billion by focusing only on its wireless and fiber broadband buildout.Skiadas explained the logic at the Barclays Communications Symposium in February. The company cut spending in areas “not aligned to growth”: things like business wireline, wholesale, and projects with “too long of a payback.”The result? Adjusted EBITDA of $50 billion in 2025, with analysts forecasting it climbing to $53 billion in 2026 and $58 billion in 2030.Growth levers that support the dividend A great dividend stock needs more than a good yield today. It needs a business that can sustain and grow that payout over time.Verizon’s two biggest growth drivers right now are wireless subscriber growth and broadband expansion.On the wireless side, the company is targeting750,000 to 1 million postpaid net additions in 2026. Related: Verizon’s $20 billion acquisition resets dividend outlookThat’s two to three times what it added in 2025. The main lever isn’t aggressive promotions but churn reduction. Schulman said reducing churn by just five basis points gets Verizon more than halfway to its net add target. A stickier customer base means more predictable revenue.On broadband, the Frontier acquisition gave Verizon over 30 million fiber-passed homes overnight. Skiadas noted that converged customers — those who bundle wireless and fiber together — see 30% lower churn than standalone wireless customers. Over time, that convergence strategy should support both revenue growth and margin expansion.Analysts estimate normalized EPS will grow from $4.71 in 2025 to $6.64 by 2030, a 7.1% compound annual growth rate. That gives Verizon the financial headroom to keep raising the dividend year after year.Buybacks add a second layer of returnIn addition to the dividend, the board authorized up to $25 billion in share repurchases over three years, with at least $3 billion targeted for 2026 alone.Fewer shares outstanding means each remaining share represents a larger slice of future earnings and cash flow. It’s a compounding effect that makes the dividend more sustainable over time. Even as Verizon raises the dollar amount of its dividend annually, the total cash spent on dividends will actually peak soon and then decline because buybacks are shrinking the share count. That dynamic strengthens the balance sheet and rewards shareholders.For investors hunting for a high-yield dividend stock with genuine staying power, Verizon’s combination of 5.6% yield, 20 years of consecutive increases, and improving free cash flow trajectory deserves serious attention.Related: Verizon adds new rules, making leaving harder for customers