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How Property Tax Rates Shape the Cheapest Places to Live in Texas

October 5, 2026 MMN Editor Filed Under: Addicted2Success, SUCCESS

A cheaper house is not a cheaper life. If you are moving for the work, or buying because the rent finally annoyed you, two Texas towns can show you the same three-bedroom and cost hundreds a month apart. The gap is usually the tax roll, not the listing photo. The notes below are the hour of math worth doing before you sign, including the mistakes that only show up the following January.
A $185,000 house in two different Texas towns can cost you $340 a month apart. Same square footage. Same three-bedroom layout. Same sunset over the same flat horizon. The difference lives almost entirely in the tax roll, and most buyers never look there until the bill shows up the following January.
I’ve watched friends move to what looked like the bargain of the decade, only to get wrecked by an appraisal district that valued their new home $60,000 above what they paid for it. So here’s the deal: this piece walks you through what actually drives affordability in Texas, which types of cities tend to stay cheap and why, and how to run the numbers yourself before you sign anything. No fluff, no realtor cheerleading. Just the math, plus the mistakes I’d avoid if I were buying again.
The list price is the smallest number on the page
Almost everyone starts their search on Zillow, sorts by price, and picks a favorite. That’s the wrong first move. The mortgage payment is fixed by the loan terms, but the escrow portion, which covers property taxes and insurance, is the line item that moves the most from city to city.
Think about what an extra 0.5% in combined tax rate does over ten years. On a $250,000 home, that’s roughly $12,500 in additional payments, money that never builds equity and never comes back. Buyers who skip this step often discover the gap only after closing, when the first full escrow analysis lands and their payment jumps.
There’s also no state income tax in Texas, which matters here. According to the State of Texas, the state doesn’t levy a personal income tax, so local governments lean on property taxes and sales taxes to fund roads, schools, and emergency services. That structure is exactly why two neighboring towns can carry very different rates.
What actually keeps a Texas town cheap
Affordability isn’t luck. It comes from a handful of structural conditions, and when you know them, you can predict which markets will stay reasonable and which are about to climb.

Room to build. When there’s plenty of undeveloped land and zoning that allows new subdivisions, supply keeps pace with demand and prices stay grounded.
Stable or declining tax bases. Cities without a booming commercial sector often hold rates steady out of necessity. That cuts both ways, but it can keep your escrow predictable.
Lower utility and fuel costs. Texas has a deregulated electricity market, and in many smaller cities, power and water run well below national averages.
Job markets that aren’t overheating. A town with steady, modest employment growth rarely sees the bidding wars that spike home values.

Notice what’s not on that list: cheap sticker prices. A town with $120,000 homes and a punishing tax rate can cost more per year than one with $180,000 homes and a mild one. I’d take the second town every single time, and I don’t think it’s close.
Where the numbers tend to land
If you look at long-running patterns, the affordable tier of Texas tends to cluster in specific regions. The Rio Grande Valley, the Panhandle, and parts of West Texas and the Coastal Bend consistently show home values well below the state median. Cities in those areas typically share a few traits: smaller job markets, older housing stock, and less in-migration pressure.
Sit down and compare those cities against statewide averages. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, median home values and household incomes vary dramatically across Texas metros, and the gap between the priciest and most affordable markets is wide. That gap is your opportunity, if you’re willing to trade some conveniences for a smaller payment.
What you get in exchange for the lower number: fewer restaurant options, longer drives to a real airport, and a slower pace. Some people love it. Others move back within two years. Be honest with yourself about which camp you’re in before you commit, because relocation regret is expensive.
Run this five-step check before you make an offer
This is the part I wish someone had handed me years ago. It takes about an hour per city and it will save you thousands.

Pull the actual tax rate, not the estimate. County appraisal district websites publish the adopted rate for every taxing unit that touches a property, including the city, county, school district, and any special districts. Add them all up. The listing agent’s estimate often skips one or two.
Check the homestead exemption rules. Texas offers a general homestead exemption on school taxes, and many local entities add their own. A town with generous local exemptions can beat a town with a lower headline rate.
Compare the appraisal history, not just the tax rate. Look at how valuations in that neighborhood moved over the past five years. Rapid increases signal a district that’s aggressive about reassessment.
Add insurance and utilities. Wind and hail coverage in coastal or storm-prone areas can run several times what it costs inland. Get a real quote before you fall in love with a house.
Stress tests the payment. Assume your appraisal comes in 10% above your purchase price, because it sometimes does, and see whether the number still works. If it doesn’t, keep looking.

The full picture of what a move really costs, including the tax side, is worth studying before you narrow your list, and the analysis behind the cheapest place to live often comes down to how aggressively each county values property rather than the sticker price itself.
Watch what your county does after you buy
The work doesn’t stop at closing. Texas appraisal districts reassess annually, and your notice arrives in the spring. A valuation that jumps faster than the market is a signal worth acting on, because an inflated assessment compounds every year you own the home.
The Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts publishes guidance on how property values are determined and what options homeowners have when they disagree with an assessment. Read it before you need it. Deadlines for filing a protest are strict, and they don’t care that you were busy that month.
The same habit shows up in getting the money right before a number becomes a bill.
Here’s my honest read: most people overpay on taxes because they never question the number. They assume the district is right. Districts are working from mass appraisal models, not a walkthrough of your kitchen, and those models get things wrong. Cracks in the foundation, a busy road behind the fence, a roof that needs replacing. None of that shows up in a formula.
Pick the town, then defend the number
Cheap places to live in Texas share a pattern you can spot from your laptop: land to build on, moderate rates, and appraisals that don’t sprint ahead of reality. Find those three, and your monthly payment behaves itself.
So before you tour a single house, spend an evening with the appraisal district sites for your top three towns. Add up every taxing unit. Check the exemptions. Run the stress test. It’s the least glamorous homework in real estate, and it’s the one that keeps your escrow from surprising you every March. Which town on your list have you actually verified?
The post How Property Tax Rates Shape the Cheapest Places to Live in Texas appeared first on Addicted 2 Success.

CAPE 35th Anniversary Gala Raises Program Funds And Celebrates API Entertainment

October 5, 2026 MMN Editor Filed Under: Forbes, SUCCESS

CAPE celebrated its 35th Anniversary in LA to honor API leaders who have shaped the entertainment industry over the years, as well as emerging talent.

5 Ways AI And Digital Technologies Can Create Real-World Value In Healthcare

October 5, 2026 MMN Editor Filed Under: Forbes, SUCCESS

AI and digital tools simplify healthcare decisions, reduce administrative work and improve information sharing, helping people navigate care with greater ease.

Bill Ackman reveals a Buffett-style shift at Howard Hughes

October 5, 2026 MMN Editor Filed Under: SUCCESS, The Street

For years, Bill Ackman has discussed creating a contemporary Berkshire Hathaway.

Investors now have a better understanding of how Howard Hughes Holdings (HHH) may achieve this.

Howard Hughes intends to include outside investors in real estate projects that it has traditionally funded mostly with its own resources, Ackman told Bloomberg.

The change could reduce Howard Hughes’ own equity commitment to parts of its real-estate portfolio by as much as 80%, Ackman said.

By the end of the next year, he hopes to have freed up between $2 and $3 billion in cash, which he would then put back into Vantage, the specialized insurance and reinsurance business that Howard Hughes purchased in June.

That fits with what Howard Hughes told shareholders ahead of its Sept. 30 annual meeting: The company wants to “significantly reduce” the capital intensity of Howard Hughes Communities and increase capital available for Vantage. Howard Hughes Holdings Inc.

Howard Hughes acquired acquired Vantage for around $2.1 billion on June 4, turning what had previously been mostly a real estate business into a holding firm with two significant operational platforms.

Ackman’s next strategy is to alter the way those two companies supply one another.

Ackman wants Howard Hughes to use outside capital

In the past, Howard Hughes’ real estate company has functioned differently from that of many major investment managers.

Ackman told Bloomberg that instead of bringing in institutional investors for specific initiatives, the business has often used its own stock to fund developments.

He now wants to alter that.

Instead of financing every project solely from their own balance sheets, Ackman cited companies like Blackstone and Brookfield as instances of real estate managers that invest alongside outside capital.

Read now: Ackman’s $1 billion Netflix return has a remarkable twist

Howard Hughes plans to maintain significant control while attracting outside investment. That might accomplish two things.

First, it may lower the amount of money Howard Hughes needs to fund both current and future projects.

Second, Howard Hughes may collect asset-management fees and “promotes,” which is the word used in the business to describe the additional portion of a project’s earnings that a manager is entitled to if investors meet certain return levels.

Ackman contends that this might lead to increased returns on Howard Hughes’ own capital investments.

This is not a completely novel approach.

On Howard Hughes’ second-quarter earnings call obtained by The Motley Fool, Ackman said that rather than just needing more stock from Howard Hughes, future incremental capital will probably come from current assets, outside partners, and third-party capital. Additionally, management said that over a five-year period, the real estate business might naturally generate between $2.5 billion and $3 billion in surplus free cash flow.

The scope of the shift that Ackman is now outlining is novel.

A very capital-intensive corporation may become more akin to an asset-management model by reducing its equity commitment to certain real estate assets by as much as 80%.

There would then be another place for that cash to go.

Vantage gives Howard Hughes its Buffett-style engine

Ackman made the inspiration explicit.

“We’re taking a page from Mr. Buffett,” Ackman told Bloomberg.

One of Berkshire Hathaway’s most significant sources of investable cash, according to Warren Buffett, was insurance operations.

Before many claims are finally settled, insurance firms receive premiums. Insurance “float” is the term used to describe the funds maintained between those two occurrences.

The money is neither risk-free nor free capital as a result. In order to pay policyholder claims, insurers must have sufficient liquid assets on hand.

However, while the core insurance company continues to generate premiums, a well-managed insurer may invest a portion of its cash.

Vantage should have a comparable function at Howard Hughes, according to Ackman.

More Warren Buffett:

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In June, Howard Hughes paid almost $2.1 billion to purchase Vantage. Pershing Square now manages the insurer’s investment portfolio, so Howard Hughes does not have to pay an extra investment-management charge.

After the purchase, the business swiftly liquidated longer-term fixed-income assets and moved a large portion of the portfolio into short-term U.S. Treasuries, Ackman told Bloomberg.

Common stocks are progressively receiving the remaining part.

Shortly after the purchase, over 60% of Vantage’s portfolio was in short-term Treasuries, while almost one-third had already been invested in stocks, according to Howard Hughes management’s second-quarter report. Afterward, that equity allocation rose to almost 40%.

Ackman said the longer-term structure could allow roughly 40% to 45% of Vantage’s investment assets to sit in common stocks while maintaining comparatively low insurance leverage.

The concept is simple: The funds required to satisfy insurance commitments should be kept in very low-risk assets. Pershing Square should then invest the leftover funds in businesses that it believes have the potential to grow over time.

Howard Hughes is becoming a different company

The most important thing for investors is that Howard Hughes no longer resembles the business it was a few years ago.

Real estate continues to be its primary industry. In regions like Nevada, Texas, and Hawaii, Howard Hughes Communities owns profitable assets and creates master-planned communities.

However, HHH now has a second operating platform with completely different economics thanks to the Vantage purchase.

Howard Hughes had over $2.65 billion in cash and cash equivalents at the end of the second quarter, including Vantage’s cash. The insurance division generated $97.2 million in net earned premiums in the brief period between its June 4 purchase and the end of the quarter.

In regulatory filings, the corporation has also made the strategy change clear.

Currently, Howard Hughes characterizes itself as a holding company that operates a specialist insurance and reinsurance subsidiary in addition to a large-scale real estate platform. SEC

Adjusting the balance between them appears to be the next step.

These days, real estate absorbs a lot of equity.

While Howard Hughes maintains significant ownership and may benefit from asset-management economics, Ackman wants outside investors to bear a larger portion of that burden.

This might enable HHH to support Vantage with more funds without issuing a lot of new shares.

Another aspect of the Berkshire analogy that Ackman highlighted in the interview is avoiding needless share issuance. Due in part to the internal capital produced by its operational companies and the relatively limited number of shares it held, Berkshire generated huge value for its shareholders.

Howard Hughes could use a similar compounding strategy, according to Ackman.

As previously reported by TheStreet, Ackman has defined Howard Hughes as the vehicle he plans to transform into a contemporary Berkshire Hathaway. That analogy became more concrete with the purchase of Vantage.

It may become even more crucial with this new real estate approach.

Bill Ackman reveals a $3 billion shift at Howard Hughes.Bloomberg / Getty Images

Ackman’s Howard Hughes plan now faces an execution test

On paper, the method is quite appealing.

In addition to bringing institutional partners into its projects and shifting billions of dollars toward an insurance platform that Ackman thinks will compound capital at greater rates, Howard Hughes might lessen the amount of wealth tied up in real estate.

However, none of that money has yet to be released automatically.

Howard Hughes must reach mutually agreeable values, frameworks, and return expectations in order to attract outside investors.

Timing is also important.

Ackman said that releasing between $2 and $3 billion was a goal rather than money that was already on Howard Hughes’ balance sheet.

In more circumspect language, Howard Hughes has said that it plans to raise Vantage’s cash availability and drastically lower the capital intensity of its real estate division. SEC

Vantage with its own dangers.

Disciplined underwriting is essential to the profitability of insurance, and investing more in equities than in short-term Treasuries increases market volatility. By keeping Vantage comparatively lightly financed, Ackman is attempting to mitigate some of that risk.

For Howard Hughes stockholders, this transaction means that the next year will be crucial.

By purchasing Vantage, the business has already accomplished the first significant step. It must now demonstrate that it can change its real estate business without compromising the economics that once made those assets desirable.

Ackman’s Berkshire parallel will become less theoretical if Howard Hughes is able to effectively entice partners into its real estate portfolio, release billions of dollars of its own stock, and redeploy that money at favorable rates.

Howard Hughes will continue to rely much more on its conventional capital-intensive real estate business if it is unable to do so.

The blueprint is becoming clearer.

The next step is execution.

Related: Berkshire investors brace for a harsh dividend reality

Walmart has a 4-person rocking patio set with a large coffee table for $129

October 5, 2026 MMN Editor Filed Under: SUCCESS, The Street

TheStreet aims to feature only the best products and services. If you buy something via one of our links, we may earn a commission.

Why we love this deal

An outdoor seating area can be a multi-purpose space year round. Sit outdoors with your morning coffee, catch up with friends, or enjoy an evening by the campfire — whatever you love to do, a put-together outdoor area allows you to use more of your space and enjoy more experiences with friends. A patio set that includes multiple seats and a table has room for a group of friends and family makes it easy to relax and chat without having to worry about the details. 

The ​​Aiho Rocking Wicker 4-Piece Patio Set offers seating for four, and a coffee table to set drinks, snack plates, a book, a cup of coffee and more. Use it by yourself to relax or hangout with friends on the weekends for just $129. Shoppers save 28% on this set at Walmart.

Aiho Rocking Wicker 4-Piece Patio Set, $129 (was $180) at Walmart

Courtesy of Walmart

Shop at Walmart

Why do shoppers love it?

The seating comes with three-inch-thick patio cushions, offering a more comfortable place to hang out. The set is made from all-weather PE rattan wicker that requires little care and holds up to daily use. The cushions have zippers, allowing the covers, which are machine washable, to be removed for cleaning. The four-piece set features two armchairs that measure 22.8 inches wide, 25.6 inches deep, and 28.7 inches tall, a loveseat that measures 54 inches wide, 23.5 inches deep, and 30.5 inches tall, and a glass-top coffee table that measures 17.5 inches deep and 29.5 inches wide, offering plenty of room for friends to set drinks and other items, all of which can easily be cleaned off with a damp cloth or hose. 

Related: Walmart is selling a $360 3-piece swivel rocking chair patio set for 68% off

The galvanized steel frame with the anti-rust spray and water-resistant coating makes this set super easy. It can be left out on the patio or used inside, and the items are light enough to move around as needed, making it a versatile option. The rocking chairs feature anti-slip strips that prevent the chairs from moving around and scuffing the floors as you rock, and the armrests are wide and flat, offering a comfortable place to relax. Putting this set together is easy, and it includes all the necessary accessories.

Details to know

Sizes: The two armchairs that measure 22.8 inches wide, 25.6 inches deep, and 28.7 inches tall, a loveseat that measures 54 inches wide, 23.5 inches deep, and 30.5 inches tall.

Table: The glass-top coffee table is large enough to fit drinks, plates, books, a Bluetooth speaker, and more.

Materials: The all-weather PE rattan, washable cushioning, and steel frames make this set sturdy and convenient.

“​​It’s a very nice set,” one person said. “The material is nice and smooth, super easy to assemble by myself. The cushions are nice and firm. It’s a great value.”Another reviewer wrote, “For the price, it’s a very cute, sleek, simple set. You can’t beat it.”

Shop more deals

Total 3-Piece Rocking Patio Set, $104 (was $165) at Walmart

Aiho 4-Piece Rocker All-Weather Set, $149 (was $200) at Walmart

Costway 3-Piece Rattan Patio Set, $87 (was $169) at Walmart

The ​​Aiho Rocking Wicker 4-Piece Patio Set is a versatile option for any outdoor or indoor space. It works as a sunroom set, can withstand outdoor weather and use, and is easy to keep clean, all for just $129. This is a great deal for a four-piece set! Shoppers save $51 at Walmart.

Microsoft’s blazing stock comeback isn’t even close to being over, analyst says

October 5, 2026 MMN Editor Filed Under: MarketWatch, SUCCESS

Microsoft looks like a winning play in an environment where investors are looking for safer bets on the AI trend, according to Melius Research.

New Ken Paxton Leaked Audio Says Washington Runs His Campaign: ‘I Don’t Control Messaging’

October 5, 2026 MMN Editor Filed Under: Forbes, SUCCESS

Paxton was caught on tape in audio leaked last week saying the GOP’s midterm campaign has hurt his poll numbers.

Karoline Leavitt Joins Fox News: What To Know

October 5, 2026 MMN Editor Filed Under: Forbes, SUCCESS

Leavitt, 29, has worked in conservative politics her entire career.

Walmart’s $340 heavy-duty walk-in greenhouse with enhanced heat retention is 50% off

October 5, 2026 MMN Editor Filed Under: SUCCESS, The Street

TheStreet aims to feature only the best products and services. If you buy something via one of our links, we may earn a commission.

Why we love this deal

I’ll take chilly temperatures over the sweltering heat any day, but the same can’t be said for the outdoor plants. If you enjoy gardening or tending flower bushes in your spare time, colder weather can quickly shrivel the foliage in your yard and put an end to this enjoyable hobby — unless you have a greenhouse. A greenhouse traps the heat inside its clear panelled walls, creating a warm environment for your plants, whether that’s herbs, veggies, or houseplants, throughout the year. 

If you’ve ever been interested in adding a greenhouse to your outdoor space, there’s no better time to invest. The top-rated Wukhg 6-by-4-Foot Walk-in Greenhouse has a massive markdown of 50% off during Walmart Deals, bringing the total cost to under $175. The heavy-duty greenhouse has a footprint that’s large enough to walk inside, but it comes in several shapes and sizes that have similar discounts for those who prefer something bigger or smaller for their yard.

Wukhg 6-by-4-Foot Walk-in Greenhouse, $170 (was $340) at Walmart

Courtesy of Walmart

Shop at Walmart

Why do shoppers love it?

Measuring 66.9 inches long, 44.7 inches wide, and 76.8 inches tall, this greenhouse has a spacious 6-by-4-foot frame. It stands over six feet tall at its highest point, so most people can walk comfortably without bending down to get inside. Since it’s so roomy, it has space for multiple plant stands and shelves. You could even fit a smaller armchair inside if you want to relax and spend time with your plants. One shopper wrote, “I live in zone 3, and a greenhouse is a must if you want vegetables. This is a great price, and it fits nicely in my backyard.”

Related: Amazon is selling a $70 waterproof pop-up canopy that’s ‘easy to set up’

The greenhouse has a heavy-duty frame that can withstand whatever weather comes its way. The UV-resistant panels are made from durable polycarbonate, which is virtually unbreakable, so if a pebble or branch hits the panes, you don’t have to worry about it shattering. For high winds and stormy days, the reinforced aluminum frame is stable and sturdy. The rugged design also has thoughtful touches, like ventilation and adjustable windows, so you can have extra airflow when you want to feel the breeze. 

Details to know 

Dimensions: The greenhouse measures 66.9 inches long, 44.7 inches wide, and 76.8 inches tall.

Frame material: Aluminum.

Extras: The greenhouse comes with a complimentary hygrometer and thermometer to better monitor your plants.

Is assembly required?: Yes.

Assembling this large greenhouse will take a bit of effort, but it has an enhanced quick-connect frame that’s said to reduce assembly times by 30%. Once you’ve completed it, according to shoppers, “The greenhouse house is very sturdy.” The same reviewer wrote, “I can’t wait to start using my new greenhouse and see how well it handles the weather here in Oklahoma.”

Shop more deals

Easmvetaln 8-by-12-Foot Greenhouse Kit, $462 (was $540) at Walmart

Sanerto 6-by-6-Foot Outdoor Walk-in Greenhouse, $216 (was $440) at Walmart

GimmyFive 6-by-3-Foot Polycarbonate Walk-In Greenhouse, $208 (was $260) at Walmart

The spacious Wukhg 6-by-4-Foot Walk-in Greenhouse is a practical backyard investment, and at $170 with half off, it’s a great time to add it to your outdoor space.

Morgan Stanley revisits Micron stock price target amid stellar growth

October 5, 2026 MMN Editor Filed Under: SUCCESS, The Street

For decades, memory chips followed a painful script. 

Companies expanded capacity amid rising demand, translating into higher margins. A few years later, slowing demand meant an oversupply of products, which drove profits down. 

Artificial intelligence may be tearing up that script.

And one of Wall Street’s most closely followed chip analysts just weighed in on whether Micron’s remarkable run has room left.

Why Micron stock rides the AI memory boom

Every AI model needs a ton of memory driven by bigger models, longer conversations, and a widening user base. 

Micron (MU) Chairman and CEO Sanjay Mehrotra put it plainly on the company’s Sept. 30 earnings call. AI platforms deliver more value with more memory and faster memory.

That demand has turned Micron into a cash machine. Fiscal 2026 revenue reached a record $133.2 billion, up 256% from the prior year, CFO Mark Murphy said on the call. 

Also Read: A chipmaker’s boom is quietly raising the price of your electronics

Gross margin expanded to 81.1%, a 40-point jump, while earnings per share soared 811% to $75.52. The fiscal fourth quarter, which ended in August, was even stronger:

Revenue: A record $54.2 billion, up 379% from a year earlier and the sixth straight quarterly record

DRAM revenue: A record $39.8 billion, or 73% of total sales

Data center SSD revenue: Nearly $10 billion, more than 10 times the level a year earlier

Gross margin: 87%, up 2.1 percentage points from the prior quarter

Free cash flow: $33.2 billion

Micron expects fiscal first quarter revenue of $61.5 billion and earnings of $38.15 per share.

The forecast came in well above what Wall Street analysts expected, which was $57.4 billion in revenue and $35.47 per share, according to a Morgan Stanley research report shared with me.

Morgan Stanley holds its Micron stock price target

Morgan Stanley analyst Joseph Moore kept an “Overweight” rating and a $1,200 price target on Micron in an Oct. 1 research note titled “Micron makes the case that it’s better for longer.”

At the time of writing, MU stock trades at $1,074, so the target implies about 10% upside.  

The firm did reset its numbers, though.

Morgan Stanley lifted its fiscal 2027 earnings estimate to $182.52 per share from $168.52. Its revenue forecast climbed to $281 billion from $266.9 billion.

More Micron:

Michael Burry increases his bet against popular chip giant

Bank of America doubles down on Micron stock after AI bombshell

Micron stock jumps as investors look beyond GPUs in AI chip trade

“We said in our preview and in recent notes that the debate has shifted from ‘how good can it get’ to ‘how long it can stay good,’” Moore wrote.

Here’s the twist. Micron’s beats are getting smaller. Over the prior three quarters, it topped consensus earnings estimates by 20% to 40%. This time, the beat was 5% and guided 6% above consensus.

Moore doesn’t see that as a red flag. He thinks it may be “the new normal as Micron’s visibility improves.”

Why Micron’s supply crunch matters

Building memory capacity takes years, clean rooms take a long time to construct, and production ramps slowly, even after the first wafers roll out.

Mehrotra offered the most striking comment of the call. “Even with additional industry DRAM clean room space plans with robust demand trends, including new upside requests from customers, we do not have line of sight to when supply and demand will return to balance.”

Customers are acting on that fear. Micron has signed 26 strategic customer agreements, known as SCAs. These are multiyear take-or-pay deals that lock in supply. 

Related: Micron’s memory boom faces a new test

Customers have committed $32 billion, mostly cash deposits. Mehrotra said more than 75% of Micron’s 2027 output is already spoken for.

Moore called the longer contracts “a testament to the customer anxieties about securing DRAM even 5 years from now.”

He added that, on Morgan Stanley’s new estimates, Micron will earn close to half its current $1.23 trillion market value by the end of 2028.

Murphy said Micron plans to return 100% of its excess cash to shareholders over time, with a step up starting Dec. 9.

Micron CEO Sanjay Mehrotra is bullish on chip demand.ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS / Getty Images

What could cool the Micron stock price

The rally hasn’t been linear. Moore said investors trimmed bullish forecasts in July for a few reasons.

A trillion-dollar memory market can’t keep raising prices at this pace forever. Long-term contracts include price ceilings. And AI customers are learning to do more with less memory.

The once popular $300 earnings call now looks less likely, Moore said. Morgan Stanley sees about $200 for calendar 2027 and calls that conservative.

The firm’s bull case puts the stock at $1,650. Its bear case, where memory slides into a downturn in 2027, sits at $675.

Two catalysts remain. Repricing of high bandwidth memory, or HBM, could add roughly $9 to quarterly earnings per share, Moore estimated. A larger buyback authorization is also coming.

For a business famous for boom and bust, “better for longer” might be the most bullish phrase of all.

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