The bitcoin miner issued a $10 million convertible note and closed a $65 million insider-led round while racing to regain compliance with exchange rules.
BUSINESS
Global oil prices fall on de-escalation ‘vibes’, but hold above $100 on mixed signals
President Donald Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian have both suggested the conflict could end soon.
AI may be cracking this finance problem that never went away
Financial crime has long been one of the most persistent and expensive problems in banking. Despite decades of investment in compliance systems, money laundering and fraud continue evolving, often faster than the tools designed to detect them, noted Shufti.What makes the challenge more difficult today is scale. Financial systems are faster, more global, and increasingly digital. But many of the frameworks used to monitor them are still rooted in an earlier era.That gap is forcing a rethink, and artificial intelligence is beginning to reshape how institutions approach risk.A financial system criminals learned to outsmartFor years, anti-money laundering (AML) systems have relied on rule-based logic, per Fintech Global. Transactions are flagged based on thresholds, locations, or patterns associated with known risks.The problem is that those rules do not stay secret for long.Criminal networks have learned to operate just below detection thresholds, fragment transactions, and mimic legitimate behavior. Over time, systems designed to catch fraud end up generating noise instead, overwhelming compliance teams with alerts that often lead nowhere.At the same time, more sophisticated threats slip through.AI fights financial fraud: from rules to pattern recognitionArtificial intelligence is changing how financial institutions approach detection by moving beyond static rules.”The industry is at a crossroads. Digital native challengers are adopting AI first detection engines, but Tier 1 institutions can’t just rip and replace decades of infrastructure,” Brad Levy, CEO of ThetaRay, told TheStreet.That shift turns compliance into something closer to a living system. Instead of reacting to known threats, it continuously learns what normal looks like and flags what does not fit.The rise of more sophisticated financial threatsFinancial crime is becoming more complex, not less.It increasingly involves coordinated networks, cross-border activity, and in some cases, automation designed to mimic legitimate transaction flows. Confirmed money laundering cases more than doubled in the first half of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, according to BioCatch.Why these threats are harder to catchCriminal networks now use automated bots to layer transactions across borders, deliberately mimicking legitimate payment flows.Activity is often split across multiple accounts, making it invisible when viewed transaction by transaction.Deep-fake identity attempts rose 230% year-over-year in 2025, according to Shufti, giving bad actors new ways to open accounts undetected.”Financial crime today is 3D chess that can really only be played effectively with AI. We are seeing bot powered layering across borders designed to mimic legitimate transaction volumes,” Levy said.This ability to detect anomalies, rather than just known risks, is one of AI’s most important advantages. It allows institutions to surface behavior that would otherwise remain hidden.Industry shifts toward AI-driven anti-money laundering complianceThe move toward AI driven compliance is not limited to one company or approach. Across the financial system, institutions are exploring ways to use machine learning to improve detection and reduce inefficiencies.Regulatory fines for AML failures totaled approximately $1.23 billion globally in the first half of 2025, a 417% jump from the same period a year earlier, according to ComplyAdvantage. Ineffective transaction monitoring was among the most common drivers.More AI Stocks:Morgan Stanley sets jaw-dropping Micron price target after eventBank of America updates Palantir stock forecast after private meetingMorgan Stanley drops eye-popping Broadcom price targetThe pressure is growing on all sides. “In 2026, financial institutions will accelerate adoption of cloud-native, AI-driven AML and fraud solutions that can surface complex patterns,” said Ahmed Drissi, AML lead for Asia-Pacific at SAS. “Banks that migrate toward explainable, real-time analytics will gain significant compliance and risk advantages.”That growing regulatory attention highlights both the opportunity and the pressure. As financial crime becomes more technologically sophisticated, expectations around detection are rising.Institutions are not just competing on speed and cost anymore. They are also being judged on how effectively they manage risk in a more complex environment.
Experts say banks that migrate toward explainable, real-time analytics will gain an anti-money laundering compliance advantage.Sulaiman/ Getty Images
AI helps accurately monitor suspicious activityOne of the most immediate benefits of AI is its ability to reduce false positives.Traditional systems can generate massive volumes of alerts, forcing compliance teams to spend time investigating activity that turns out to be legitimate. Between 90% and 95% of alerts generated by legacy AML systems are false positives, according to research cited by Wipro, Fintech Global highlighted. This creates inefficiency and increases operational costs.AI helps narrow that focus.By improving accuracy, it allows institutions to concentrate on genuinely suspicious behavior. That shift does not just improve detection rates. It also changes how compliance teams operate, moving them away from manual review and toward higher value analysis.Fixing the customer friction created by fraud preventionThere is also a customer dimension to this shift.For years, stronger compliance has often meant more friction. Transactions get flagged unnecessarily, payments are delayed, and customers are asked to verify routine activity.In a digital-first financial system, that experience matters.With more precise detection, AI can help reduce unnecessary interruptions, allowing legitimate transactions to move more freely while still maintaining oversight. That balance has been difficult to achieve with traditional systems.The limits of financial institutions’ AI adoptionDespite the momentum, the transition is not without challenges.Large financial institutions are still dealing with legacy infrastructure, regulatory expectations, and internal complexity. Integrating AI into compliance workflows requires more than just new technology. It requires changes in how risk is assessed and managed.There is also the issue of explainability.The biggest barriers slowing AI adoptionLegacy infrastructure at large banks makes full integration slow and risky.Internal complexity requires changes in how risk is assessed, not just new technology.Regulators increasingly expect institutions to justify every decision with a clear, auditable rationale.It is not enough for a system to flag a transaction. It must also provide a clear rationale that can be reviewed and audited.This is shaping how AI systems are deployed, with a growing focus on transparency and traceability.A longstanding financial crime problem meets a new approachFinancial crime is not going away. If anything, it is becoming more sophisticated as technology lowers the barrier for bad actors.What is changing is the industry’s response.For years, compliance systems have been reactive, relying on rules that were always one step behind. AI introduces a model that can learn, adapt, and evolve alongside the threats it is meant to detect.It does not eliminate risk, and it does not replace human judgment. But it does address one of the core weaknesses that has defined financial crime compliance for decades.For the first time in a long time, the system may be starting to keep up.Related: From bulldozers to AI: Caterpillar’s history & next chapter
Nordstrom brings back fashion brand after 25-year U.S. shutdown
A brand’s success in one market can create the illusion of universal appeal. In reality, consumer resonance is often highly localized. What works in one country across pricing, positioning, and product mix does not always translate seamlessly to another.That is what makes international expansion inherently risky. Differences in consumer behavior, culture, economic conditions, and competitive dynamics all shape how a brand is perceived. Even well-established companies can struggle if they underestimate these factors, because prior success at home is no guarantee of performance abroad.This makes the latest move by Marks & Spencer particularly notable, not just as a retail expansion, but as a test of whether a legacy British brand can finally translate its appeal to U.S. consumers.Marks & Spencer returns to U.S. apparel retailMarks & Spencer has revealed a new collaboration with Nordstrom to launch a curated selection of bestselling womenswear across 30 Nordstrom stores and online, according to a company announcement.The assortment features over 60 pieces from Marks & Spencer’s core collections, marking the first time the retailer’s fashion line will be available in physical stores across the U.S.”Now is the time to build our brand awareness in the U.S. Fashion market and establish ourselves as a globally trusted brand,” said Mark Lemming, Managing Director of International at Marks & Spencer in the announcement. “We’re delighted to partner with Nordstrom, a partner who shares our values and will support us as we accelerate our growth.”Marks & Spencer’s past U.S. expansion attemptsThis is not the first time the company has tried to enter the U.S. market.Marks & Spencer initially expanded in 1988 through the acquisition of Brooks Brothers from Federated Department Stores, later launching standalone stores under its own brand, according to The Standard.However, the strategy ultimately failed. Misalignment in product assortment, sizing standards, and pricing limited its appeal to American consumers. By the late 1990s, performance had deteriorated significantly, leading to mounting losses. The company closed its U.S. stores and exited the market entirely in 2001.A more recent re-entry in a different category proved more successful. In 2022, Marks & Spencer introduced its food range through a partnership with Target, where products like its Percy Pigs gained strong traction, reportedly selling more than 30,000 bags every week, according to Marks & Spencer.
Marks & Spencer partners with Nordstrom to reenter the U.S. market.Shutterstock
Marks & Spencer’s new fashion strategy Encouraged by its success in food, Marks & Spencer is now taking a more measured, data-led approach to reintroducing fashion in the U.S.According to company data, 13% of U.S. consumers are aware of the brand’s fashion offering, with particularly strong recognition among women aged 25-34. More than 51,000 customers also shop via its U.S. website annually.Partnering with Nordstrom allows Marks & Spencer to scale efficiently by leveraging an established retail network rather than investing heavily in standalone stores. This “asset-light” wholesale model reflects a broader strategic shift toward building a global presence through scalable partnerships rather than capital-intensive expansion.The approach has already been tested internationally. In Australia, Marks & Spencer partnered with David Jones, initially launching lingerie before expanding into womenswear and menswear following strong performance.Why international brands struggle in the U.S.Marks and Spencer is far from alone in its past difficulties.Industry experts say many international brands fail in the U.S. not because of product quality, but because they underestimate how differently the market operates.Advertising and creative strategist Andrea Cerinza notes that European customers tend to be more conservative in their spending, while U.S. customers are more responsive to aspiration, speed, and convenience.”Breaking into the U.S. market isn’t just about translating your website or increasing ad spend,” said Cerinza. “It’s about translating your strategy, creatively, culturally, and emotionally.”Coverage on more retail business:Aritzia brings back iconic fashion brand after shutdownGLP-1 weight loss disrupting fashion retail demand125-year-old retail chain to close more stores in 2026Jessica Wong, founder and CEO of marketing and PR firm Valux Digital, says that global brands often hesitate to localize out of fear of diluting their identity.”Global brands do not fail because they communicate locally,” Wong said in Forbes. “They fail because they underestimate how deeply local trust systems shape perception, credibility and long-term success.”Analysts from Harvard Business Review support this view, noting that localization is no longer a surface-level adjustment. Companies need to adapt operations, supply chains, and partnerships at a structural level, even at the cost of efficiency, to compete effectively across markets.Marks & Spencer’s financial performance supports expansionThe U.S. expansion comes as Marks & Spencer shows signs of operational recovery following years of underperformance.For fiscal year 2025, the company reported:Revenue growth of 6%Operating profit increase of 22%A 5% rise in Fashion, Home & Beauty market share, reaching 10.5%At the same time, Marks & Spencer continues to streamline its store portfolio. It recorded an £84.4 million ($112.35 million) charge related to its multi-year store rotation program, which includes closures, asset impairments, and accelerated depreciation.The company plans to reduce its full-line store count from 229 to 180 by 2028, signaling a shift toward a more efficient and modern retail footprint, according to a company announcement.Nordstrom faces a challenging but evolving retail landscapeThe timing of this expansion is complex. According to McKinsey & Company’s State of Fashion 2026 Report, the global fashion industry is expected to see only low-single-digit growth amid macroeconomic instability, tariff pressures, and increasingly value-conscious consumer behavior, particularly in the U.S.Despite these challenges, some legacy retailers are adapting. As Fortune retail and leadership expert Phil Wahba noted, competitors such as Macy’s, Bloomingdale’s, Nordstrom, Belk, and Dillard’s have invested in upgrading stores, merchandising, and customer service, efforts that not only support sales but also enhance their value.These efforts are beginning to show measurable results. Nordstrom recorded a 3.3% increase in year-over-year foot traffic in the first quarter of 2025, according to Placer.ai.Still, some analysts remain cautious. Department store partnerships can provide reach, but they also limit control over brand presentation, pricing, and customer experience, factors that have historically been critical to success in the U.S. market.Marks & Spencer’s more calculated second attemptMarks & Spencer’s renewed U.S. strategy reflects a more disciplined and informed approach than its earlier expansion, but it is also fundamentally different.Rather than attempting to establish a standalone retail presence, the company is effectively distributing through established partners, seeking to mitigate the risks that led to its prior exit. However, success will depend on whether the brand can build relevance among American consumers within another retailer’s ecosystem.While the outcome remains uncertain, the combination of improved financial performance, a partnership model, and a deeper understanding of the U.S. market shows that this second attempt is designed for a very different retail landscape than previously. Related: 77-year-old jewelry giant will close 100 stores, shut 2 brands
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U.S. manufacturers see best month in 2 1/2 years, but Iran war threatens to derail progress
American manufacturing grew in March at the fastest pace since mid-2022 by one measure, but the conflict with Iran added a new level of uncertainty just as the effects of the Trump tariffs were fading.
Best Investments (And The Worst) So Far In 2026
Three months into 2026, the scorecard looks almost nothing like it did at the end of last year. Last year’s biggest winners have stumbled. Two major forces — a U.S.-Iran war that sent oil prices sharply higher, and a reversal of the AI trade that punished tech-heavy portfolios — have played a pivotal role in reshuffling nearly every asset class.
Here’s how the major asset classes have performed so far in 2026.
U.S. Stock Market
The S&P 500 is down about 5% through the end of March — a rough start after three consecutive years of double-digit gains, including +17.9% in 2025.
One way to understand what’s happening beneath the surface: In 2025, every single S&P 500 sector finished the year positive. The worst performer was Consumer Discretionary at +6%. Even Energy, which had a difficult year across the broader asset class, gained 8.7%. It was about as broad-based a rally as you’ll see.
2026 is the mirror image so far. Five of eleven sectors are in the red, and the ones that are working are almost entirely driven by either the war in the Middle East or a flight to defensive, yield-oriented names:
Energy’s +35.7% gain stands out from the rest, driven by the Iran conflict disrupting oil supply through the Strait of Hormuz. Strip that out, and the market picture is uniformly cautious — investors rotating into utilities, staples, and materials while selling the growth-heavy sectors that led in 2024 and 2025.
The Magnificent Seven (Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Tesla) span Information Technology, Communication Services, and Consumer Discretionary, which are three of the four worst-performing sectors this quarter. That explains why the MAGS ETF is down 16% while the Information Technology sector as a whole is down “only” 8.6%. The biggest names inside those sectors are getting hit harder than the sectors themselves.
The value vs. growth split tells the same story. Large-cap value is up about 3% while large-cap growth is down 10% — a 13-percentage-point gap in a single quarter.
If you want to put this quarter’s numbers in a longer context, the S&P 500 return calculator shows what the market has historically returned over multi-year periods. Short-term drawdowns like this are a normal part of investing.
International Stocks
International stocks are roughly flat on the year after a standout 2025, when developed markets gained 31.9% and emerging markets gained 33.6%. Emerging markets have a slight edge in 2026 at +1.3%, while developed international is essentially flat at -0.3%.
Both are outperforming the S&P 500 for the second consecutive year — though at much tighter margins than last year.
Bonds and Cash
Bonds have given back a small amount this year after delivering +7.3% in 2025. The Fed held rates steady in March, signaling only one cut in 2026, which has kept upward pressure on yields and modest downward pressure on bond prices. Cash is earning about 0.3% for the quarter in T-bills — modest, but the rate environment still favors high-yield savings accounts and money market funds.
REITs
Real estate investment trusts are essentially flat on the year. REITs gained just 2.3% in all of 2025, and the “higher for longer” rate environment continues to weigh on the asset class.
Precious Metals
Gold is the strongest performer among the core asset classes tracked here, up about 6.8% year-to-date after its historic 66% gain in 2025. The story in 2026 has been volatile: gold surged above $5,600 per ounce in late January before pulling back sharply in March, returning to the low $4,400s. Investors who held since January 1 are up nearly 7%.
Silver had an even wilder ride. It hit a nominal all-time high of $121.67 per ounce on January 29 — nearly double where it started the year — before crashing more than 40% in a matter of days as exchanges raised margin requirements and speculative positions unwound. It has since stabilized around $71-73 per ounce, leaving it up roughly 4-5% for the year.
For context on gold’s longer-term track record, the gold investment returns calculator shows historical performance going back decades.
Cryptocurrency
After finishing 2025 in the red, crypto has continued to struggle. Bitcoin entered 2026 around $87,000-$89,000 and is trading near $67,000-$68,000 — down roughly 25%. Ethereum has fallen back below $2,000 after starting the year at ~$3,200. Solana is down approximately 50%.
The “Bitcoin as digital gold” comparison took a beating in 2025, when gold surged 66% while Bitcoin fell 6%. In 2026, gold is up 7% while the major cryptocurrencies are deep in the red.
Commodities
Oil is the year’s biggest numerical gainer. WTI crude started the year at around $57 per barrel and is now trading above $100, driven almost entirely by the U.S.-Iran conflict, which has restricted flow through the Strait of Hormuz.
Oil was 2025’s biggest loser at -20%, and it’s 2026’s biggest gainer so far — not because of anything an investor could have anticipated, but because of an unpredictable geopolitical event. The asset class quilt illustrates this pattern going back decades. Last year’s worst performers frequently become next year’s leaders, for reasons that have nothing to do with picking the right asset class at the right time.
The Full Picture
Key Takeaways
Every sector was up in 2025. Most are down in 2026. Last year was one of the broadest rallies in recent memory — not a single S&P 500 sector finished negative. This year, five of eleven are in the red, with gains concentrated almost entirely in energy and defensive sectors.
The AI trade has reversed, at least for now. After driving enormous returns in 2024 and 2025, the Magnificent Seven are this year’s worst-performing major U.S. equity group. The sectors where they live — IT, Communication Services, Consumer Discretionary — are all down 6-10%.
Gold is the strongest core asset class this quarter. After a 66% gain in 2025, it’s up another 6.8% in the first three months of 2026 — though that headline number hides a wild January spike and a painful March correction.
Diversification worked this quarter. A broadly diversified investor was largely insulated from both the tech selloff and crypto losses, while capturing some gains in gold and defensive sectors. The range from +44% oil to -50% Solana shows just how much it matters not to concentrate in any single asset class.
Last year’s winners are rarely this year’s winners. The asset class quilt makes this point visually across more than two decades of data. Predicting which asset class will lead in any given year is extraordinarily difficult.
Final Thoughts
The start of 2026 is a good reminder of how quickly the script can flip. Last year’s winners are lagging, and the biggest gains are coming from places few people were betting on.
That’s exactly why trying to time markets rarely works. A diversified portfolio didn’t avoid volatility this quarter, but it helped soften the extremes.
The main takeaway: Stay diversified, keep costs low and focus on the long term. Short-term surprises are inevitable, but a disciplined approach is what carries you through them.
Note: All returns are approximate and based on data available as of March 31, 2026. S&P 500, sector, Small Cap, International, Emerging Markets, REITs, Bonds, Cash, and Gold figures are based on index data. Value/growth, Nasdaq-100, MAGS, and cryptocurrency figures reflect ETF and spot price returns. Oil reflects WTI spot price. Returns include dividends where applicable.
The post Best Investments (And The Worst) So Far In 2026 appeared first on Clark Howard.
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