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Berkshire Hathaway Just Used a Warren Buffett Deepfake to Warn About AI
When the first question directed at Greg Abel, Berkshire Hathaway’s new CEO, at the company’s annual shareholder meeting Saturday came from “Warren from Omaha,” it seemed like a tongue-in-cheek sendup highlighting how Warren Buffett, the investing legend who led the conglomerate for six decades, continued to have an indelible impact even without day-to-day leadership.
But this was more than just an inside corporate joke.
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Abel told the audience that the stunt, which included video of Buffett appearing at a microphone wearing a dark suit, did not involve the participation of the former CEO (who was legitimately in the audience). Rather, it was a deepfake — a technologically-generated avatar that looked and sounded like Buffett — created to illustrate the cybersecurity risks made possible by recent advances in artificial intelligence.
“Here’s the interesting thing: That was done with zero input from Warren. We were able to obtain that with information that’s out there and replicate those actions and that voice,” Abel told the crowd.
Deepfake Warren Buffett mimicked the real Oracle of Omaha’s tone of voice and cadence, and threw in a couple of realistic-sounding details, like being 95 years old and having a fondness for Cherry Coke.
While Berkshire Hathaway is a company with a $1 trillion market cap and $400 billion in cash on hand, the threat of AI-augmented cybersecurity breaches is a greater risk than market volatility. Abel said the company is taking the dangers seriously.
“The reality is that’s what we’re dealing with when we think about Berkshire and how we have to protect it every day,” he told shareholders.
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Buffett himself had raised the specter of technology advancing to the point where deepfakes became sophisticated enough to fool even astute observers — himself included — earlier. At Berkshire’s 2024 meeting, he spoke of an encounter with a deepfake video of himself that was realistic enough for him to understand how someone could be tricked into sending money to a scammer.
While he acknowledged that AI could be beneficial, he expressed considerable wariness around how it could be exploited by cybercriminals.
AI makes it easier for crooks to impersonate people via voice cloning and videos created with publicly available data, like the kind Berkshire used to create its deepfake Buffett. According to one estimate, the number of AI-facilitated scams exploded by more than 1,200% in 2025 alone.
“I do think, as someone who doesn’t understand a damn thing about it, it has enormous potential for good and enormous potential for harm,” Buffett said last year.
Adam Patti, CEO of VistaShares, says it’s a good sign that Abel is attuned to the risks as well as the potential AI poses for Berkshire’s various businesses.
“The deepfake is one little output of what’s coming,” he tells Money. “It’s a global arms race… I think we’re really going into uncharted territory, and that is a major risk for the world. We need to be able to identify what’s real and what’s not.”
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Compass Point took a more cautious stance, reiterating a Neutral rating and $36 target, saying much of the expected growth is already priced in, though it acknowledged potential upside.
Onsemi CEO issues bold 2-word message after earnings
Onsemi (ON) stock initially fell 5% after Q1 earnings before recovering slightly, but the reaction may have missed the bigger shift underway.AI data center power saw strong growth, margins kept rebuilding through mix and factory discipline, and automotive showed signs of healthier demand. More importantly, CEO Hassane El-Khoury delivered a clear two-word message on the call, suggesting this quarter may mark the start of a renewed growth story.AI power is becoming ON’s new growth engineON Semiconductor’s first quarter reframed the company’s growth story. AI data center power shifted from a future opportunity to a visible driver, right as management called Q1 the cycle trough. CEO Hassane El-Khoury described Q1 as the business’s “inflection point” on the earnings call, citing the company’s AI data center growth and gross margin expansion.Revenue came in at $1.513 billion, representing only 4.7% year-over-year growth, but the bigger shift came from AI data center revenue, which rose more than 30% sequentially (quarterly) and more than 100% from a year earlier. Management also said orders are improving and lead-time demand is shortening, which points to shipments tracking current consumption more closely.That matters because demand tied to active deployment carries more weight than revenue lifted by inventory refill. It gives ON a firmer base for growth and reduces reliance on a broad rebound in automotive and industrial demand.AI power infrastructure rewards performance, efficiency, and supply assurance, which supports stronger positioning and better pricing power.The company set Q2 revenue guidance for $1.535-$1.635 billion. The bigger test is whether AI can sustain this pace. If it does, ON might start to look less like a cyclical recovery story and more like a power content business with durable demand.Margin gains are becoming the earnings storyON’s first-quarter report also showed that earnings recovery is gaining traction before revenue fully rebounds.The company posted a non-GAAP gross margin of 38.5% and a non-GAAP operating margin of 19.1%. Gross margin expanded for a third straight quarter, even with only modest sales growth. Management credited higher utilization, tighter product mix, Fab Right manufacturing savings, and the exit of lower-value revenue. Management said gross margin should expand sequentially through the rest of 2026, while Q2 gross margin guidance stands at 38.0% to 40.0%. Trending Stock News:JPMorgan resets Bloom Energy stock price targetCorning stock falls as its story gets more complicatedQualcomm adds $15B in market value on bold outlookON is improving the quality of its revenue base and lowering the cost of producing it. As the company removes lower-return business and shifts toward higher-value power products, future growth should deliver stronger incremental profit.The company also repurchased $346 million of stock in Q1, adding another layer to the earnings-per-share growth story. Together, margin expansion and buybacks give ON a path to rebuild earnings power ahead of a full demand recovery.Auto growth signals inventory correction is easingA big shift this quarter came from automotive, where ON returned to year-over-year growth after seven straight quarters of decline.Automotive revenue reached $797 million, up nearly 5% from a year earlier. That turnaround matters because this segment made 51% of the company’s 2025 revenue, and automotive remains ON’s largest end market.
ON returned to year-over-year growth in autos for the first time in 7 quarters.fotograzia via Getty Images
As long as automotive contracts, growth in areas such as AI power mainly offsets weakness elsewhere. Once automotive holds steady, those newer businesses can start adding to company-wide growth. CEO El-Khoury said the company is shipping “closer to natural demand” rather than into excess customer inventory, a comment that gives the automotive improvement more credibility.Another quarter of positive automotive growth in Q2 would strengthen the view that the inventory correction is easing.What could go right for onsemiAI data center demand ramps further, reducing reliance on autos and improving mix toward higher-value content.Fab Right savings deepen, lifting incremental margins so earnings can outpace revenue recovery.Lower-value product exits continue, improving portfolio quality and profit per dollar of sales.Automotive demand normalizes, removing the biggest drag and allowing newer growth areas to show through.Shorter lead times align shipments with real demand, improving visibility and lowering inventory risk.What could break onsemi’s thesisAI infrastructure spending slows, leaving ON tied to a weaker auto and industrial cycle.Automotive restocking fades, reopening declines in the company’s largest segment.Factory utilization slips, reversing gross margin gains and delaying earnings recovery.Portfolio pruning outpaces premium product growth, creating a near-term revenue gap.Order patterns remain inconsistent, signaling customers are still managing inventory cautiously.Key takeaways for ON SemiconductorON’s quarter marked a genuine shift in the story. AI data center power emerged as a meaningful growth engine just as management pointed to a business low point, giving the company a path to grow even if automotive and industrial demand recover unevenly.The earnings setup also improved. Manufacturing savings, tighter mix, and share repurchases strengthened per-share profit potential, while renewed automotive growth helped stabilize the company’s largest business. The next phase comes down to execution. If AI scales, margins hold, and autos stay stable, ON could see structurally stronger earnings.Related: UPS CEO sends strong 2-word message on margin outlook
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8 Things You Need to Know Before Buying a Nontraded BDC
Business-development companies were late bloomers that didn’t really begin to mature until they were nearly 40 years old. Conceived as a tool to spur US economic growth, they have been around since Congress passed the Small Business Investment Incentive Act of 1980, thereby amending the Investment Company Act of 1940 and allowing for the new structure. But they didn’t really take off until Congress passed the Small Business Credit Availability Act in 2018, freeing BDCs to boost their yields with more financial leverage.The first incarnation of BDCs shared some features with closed-end funds, coming to market with a fixed number of shares to trade among investors on an exchange. The second BDC design echoed a “continuously offered closed-end fund” innovation from the 1990s: So-called nontraded, or unlisted, BDCs came on the scene in 2009, allowing investors to buy shares and request repurchases on a limited but periodic basis. The number of shares, in other words, was no longer fixed, allowing asset managers to sell them continuously.That timing wasn’t a coincidence. Regulatory changes following the 2008 financial crisis made investing in loans to smaller companies less appealing to banks. That opened a crack in the marketplace for nonbank financial companies to fill by selling BDCs to investors and using their assets to extend loans that would have been the province of banks in the precrisis era. Those loans are comparatively small and often held to maturity, which made selling BDCs in a nontraded structure a no-brainer. They still impose significant limits on large, unexpected outflows but allow asset managers to sell as many new shares as often as possible. Picking up the ability to use more leverage in 2018, however, led to massive growth.BDCs’ similarity to other 1940 Act-sanctioned investments only goes so far, and their differences have the potential to generate higher returns—and much more risk. It’s worth keeping an eye on some of the most important distinctions. Here are eight of them:A Very Narrow UniverseUnlisted, or nontraded, BDCs do share some features with other regulated investment vehicles, but they also have a very unusual regulatory restriction: They are required to hold at least 70% of their assets in US companies that aren’t listed on a national securities exchange, or if they are, only those with market caps below $250 million; they can invest in distressed, or bankrupt companies, too. That means their primary hunting grounds are so-called middle-market borrowers. Depending on whom you ask, they can be companies with anywhere from $25 million to $500 million in EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization; a commonly used measuring stick for heavily leveraged borrowers). A lot of them tend to cluster somewhere in the $50 million to $150 million EBITDA range, and while there are no rules about where to invest in a company’s capital structure, most nontraded BDCs have a little equity exposure but primarily invest in debt.BDCs Focus on Private, Direct Lending Private loans are generally arranged by nonbank financial companies (including many that run BDCs) directly with borrowers, and there’s usually very little publicly available information about them. That means asset managers do all the legwork of sourcing, due diligence, structuring, and other things normally the province of investment banks. That work is all the more important given that they rarely sell those loans once they’re in portfolios, and there aren’t many other outside indicators of how risky they are. That, and the fact that many BDC managers view their work as proprietary, means many guard their portfolio information. On the other hand, more than a third of the assets held in Morningstar’s direct-lending categories are in companies held by five or more distinct funds, and that’s a conservative estimate given the vagaries of investment structures. Private doesn’t always mean exclusive. Either way, the exclusive nature of the sector still means BDCs can also be much harder for outsiders to analyze and monitor. You’re Shopping in the Scratch-and-Dent AisleThe private credit industry touts its role as a savior of middle-market lending that banks gave up following onerous post-2008 financial crisis regulations. What they don’t say is that banks gave up on the most indebted slice of that universe—perhaps 25% to 35% of middle-market companies. In other words, these are leveraged companies that, other than their middling size, share as much in common with high-yield bond and leveraged bank-loan borrowers. A lot of private credit marketing also emphasizes deals with big, higher-quality companies that choose to borrow in private markets for strategic reasons or convenience and are willing to pay higher yields than they would in public markets. But big, highly rated borrowers are at the edges—below-investment-grade quality middle-market loans are the core.It’s a Private Equity World, You’re Just Lending to ItPrivate equity firms “sponsor” companies in their portfolios, which make up the bulk of private credit borrowers. The private credit investing titans view that as a virtue because those sponsors usually have more external resources or financing options to invest in their companies, rescue them if they run into trouble, or reinvent their businesses. There are plenty of reasons for skepticism about the motives and practices of private equity managers, but most private credit shops cut their teeth building private equity businesses first. They’re true believers.Buying Shares May Be Easier Than Selling ThemThe big-name nontraded BDCs will allow you to buy shares monthly, but many offer to repurchase shares only once per quarter—typically 5% of the portfolio each time, with flexibility to redeem as much as 7% should they choose. If investors request more than that, the company may prorate their repurchases so that everyone who asked gets some back, but not everything they asked for. Unlike interval funds, BDCs aren’t technically obliged to buy shares back, either, and can halt redemptions completely if they believe that forcing the fund to come up with cash will hurt the portfolio.Your Asset Manager Decides What Your Investment Is Worth Most use third-party pricing services to validate marks on their private loans, but there’s room for disagreement. Without comparable public trades to use as a proxy, they rely on so-called unobservable inputs not derived from market activity or corroborated by other means. That’s a labor-intensive accounting exercise of judgment; prices are usually estimated once per month, and they tend not to move much. You can tell how prevalent the practice is in your own BDC from regulatory filings reporting how much of the portfolio is classified as Level 3 for accounting purposes. That designation doesn’t mean something is illiquid, but there’s usually a very strong correlation. Leverage Is the Coin of the Realm BDCs don’t usually focus on it in their marketing, but to make their payouts attractive, most BDCs borrow against their portfolios to invest additional money (conceptually, like margin borrowing). As long as the cost of that borrowing is less than the income they bring in from the loans, they can bump up a BDC’s dividends to shareholders. It’s a very alluring strategy, especially when investing in high-yielding, floating-rate loans. Their high yields make it possible to earn plenty of income above and beyond borrowing costs, and the interest rates for that borrowing are tied to the same floating-rate benchmarks the portfolio’s loans use. So even if fixed-rate bond market yields are bouncing around, loan rates reset quickly—effectively neutralizing interest rate risk—in tandem with the cost of the portfolio’s financial leverage.You’ll Pay for the Privilege of Investing in OneThe reality won’t be as bad as the sticker shock you’ll get from their headline expense ratios, because those include the borrowing costs of using leverage. When short-term interest rates are high, that can drive those headline numbers up a lot. Even after stripping out leverage costs, your adjusted expense ratio will still be large. In part, that’s because nearly every nontraded BDC charges a 1.25% management fee, plus “incentive” fees that are linked to how much income and capital gains a portfolio generates. A prototypical BDC might charge 12.5% of its income (using a complex hurdle rate calculation that mitigates your fees if interest rates are extremely low), so when you strip out the cost of leverage, your price tag will still look more like 3% to 4%. Your manager will argue that’s a bargain given the resources, time, and effort they put in. A higher expense hurdle means a lot more to an income-focused fund with comparatively modest return expectations, though. Incentive fees for debt portfolios also encourage managers to take on a lot more risk in exchange for incrementally larger yields.
There’s a Big Retirement Problem. Vanguard Takes a Step Toward Solving It
Ivanna Hampton: Vanguard is evolving as it grows bigger while keeping its investor-first reputation intact. Investing Insights recently examined the 2026 outlook for the large asset manager in a two-part series. I spoke with Dan Sotiroff on April 8, 2026. Here’s what the Vanguard analyst and associate director of US passive strategies research for Morningstar had to say about the firm.Hampton: Vanguard has recently partnered with TIAA to launch a target-date fund series with guaranteed income. Can you talk about that?Sotiroff: The guaranteed income is really coming by way of an annuity, which is sort of an insurance contract that gives you this regular payment. I think most people are kind of familiar with the concept. What this would look like is there’s an option for investors in a target-date fund to annuitize some or all of that target-date fund’s assets when they get to retirement. It’s new to Vanguard, I should say, but not really new to target-date funds. Some of their competitors have solutions like this already out there with varying degrees of flexibility. Safe to say it’s pretty cheap, Vanguard being Vanguard. So, why do this? I think it’s kind of a smaller step toward that bigger question of how to turn an investment portfolio into a paycheck, which is a really, really difficult question to answer for a lot of people.I don’t know if there’s a great answer. It’s one of the hardest problems in finance to solve because everybody’s a little bit different. Everybody has different savings, different life goals, et cetera. It’s tough, but it’s kind of a baby step. It’s a small step toward trying to solve that problem. The other thing I’ll say is this would be a new target-date series. It doesn’t sound like Vanguard is going to mess with its current target-date series. It’s very successful. It’s got hundreds of billions of dollars in it, so I don’t think they want to do too much with that there. It’s working very well for the people that are in it. The other thing here is I’m under the impression that this is going to be available as a collective investment trust, or a CIT. It’s not going to be in mutual fund format, so that limits it to large 401(k) plans, that type of thing, which is really where it should be used, I think. That’s just some of the additional details around there that we’ve learned.Hampton: Now, Vanguard’s also collaborating with Wellington and Blackstone to combine public and private assets into multi-asset investments. What do you make of this, and does this fit in Vanguard’s mission?Sotiroff: Vanguard’s role so far has been pretty passive, to pardon the pun. The fund is actually going to be managed by Wellington, at least talking about the WVB All Markets Fund. It’s basically supplying the publicly traded stocks and bonds to this multi-asset portfolio that’s also going to hold some private equity and some private credit. I think the fees came out on those. I don’t have them readily available off the top of my head. It’s also hard to compare fees because each one of these types of funds that comes out is slightly different in terms of what it’s doing and the asset exposure that it has. It’s hard to compare apples to apples and say one is cheaper than the other, but I think your other question is fair. Does this fit with Vanguard’s mission?This one I’m OK with because again, it’s a Wellington fund. They’re not really doing a whole lot in private assets. I think the bigger picture here is that it sort of opens the door for Vanguard to maybe start exploring private assets. There’s problems that come with that. I think private investments have gotten a bad rap, and rightfully so, because the fees are high and they’re very complicated. We’re trying to figure out some of the fee structure and these things, and it’s very difficult to do. I think Jack Shannon has written on that. Bryan Armour, I sit next to him; he rants about it every once in a while. There are also a lot of questionable practices about how the assets in these things are valued. There are a lot of question marks about how these funds are just way too stable given what they hold. There are a lot of things there.Now that said, there’s a lot of room for disruption. There’s a lot of just bad practices going on in that side of the industry. I think that’s potentially an opportunity for Vanguard if it chooses to get in there. Some of those problems are really difficult to solve, and they’re really thorny, but if they could figure that out and give investors who actually want that type of exposure a better, cheaper, more cost-effective ride, that could potentially fit into their mission. Now, this isn’t going to be for everybody. It’s not something that I think is going to fit into everybody’s portfolio, but we’ll see. I don’t want to be rushing to judgments here. We still have to kind of see what they come out with. We know they’re working on some things in the background, so I’ll save my judgments for when we learn more.