Funds that invest in privately held infrastructure like toll roads and data centers held $31.7 billion in assets as of mid-2026, and investors may be tempted to dive in. Here are three factors they should consider first:The direct infrastructure category includes a diverse set of assets, each with different risks and rewards.Since most of these funds are relatively new (16 of 22 vehicles launched between 2023 and 2025), they haven’t dealt with significant redemption requests.Although borrowing at the fund level isn’t widely used in direct infrastructure at the moment, it’s something investors should watch.2026 Direct Infrastructure LandscapeLet’s dig into each of those critical variables.Navigating the Infrastructure MenuA diverse group of assets is rolled up under the infrastructure umbrella, but the risks associated with those assets differ. The asset class is most often sliced into four subsectors—core, core plus, value added, and opportunistic—with the risk of loss increasing as one moves from core to opportunistic. Investors and financial advisors should thus weigh the risk/reward profiles of each and their portfolio needs before making an allocation decision.Core assets are established, operational assets with regulated cash flows whose returns are typically income-based. Examples include toll roads, airports, and water systems.Core-plus assets are also operational but carry additional risks relating to growth, expansion, or recontracting, which introduces capital appreciation into their expected returns. Some examples are fiber networks and contracted storage facilities.Value-added assets can have substantial development risk relating to platform buildouts, turnarounds, or operational improvement projects; accordingly, they have greater capital appreciation potential. Data center development is a timely example, and one that has grown in prominence amid the artificial intelligence buildout.Opportunistic assets have private equitylike returns in exchange for risks relating to construction, merchants, or politics. Examples include early-stage buildouts for fiber, data center, and AI-driven power and cooling projects.Fundraising data from the past two decades show that each bucket made up a substantial portion of private fund infrastructure allocations, accounting for anywhere between 15% (core plus) and 33% (core) of assets.The Liquidity Test: Understanding Limits and ProrationsThe lack of seasoning on these direct infrastructure vehicles means that their investors have yet to face true liquidity tests. Such tests have already played out in nontraded REITs in 2023 and in private credit this year.As Morningstar has documented, semiliquid funds intentionally limit how much money investors can redeem to harvest an illiquidity premium. As a result, the amount each investor receives back is a function of how much other investors asked for in aggregate during a given redemption window, which typically occurs quarterly. In periods of stress and negative headlines, redemption requests can exceed the limit.If that happens, managers may choose to redeem an additional 2 percentage points beyond the stated limit during a given redemption window, such as increasing a 5% tender offer to 7%. They are not obligated to exercise that discretion, however, and investors should not expect they will do so. When requests exceed a fund’s tender-offer limit, the manager prorates each investor’s redemption request; that is, investors only get back a proportional amount of what they asked for.Broad-based inflows have so far prevented such a scenario from unfolding across most of the largest direct infrastructure strategies.Across the three largest direct infrastructure strategies, only Brookfield Infrastructure Income has redeemed more than 1.0% of outstanding shares during a single quarter thus far. Brookfield, however, reported that more than 90% of the shares it repurchased in the last two quarters of 2025 were repurchased by a Brookfield-managed fund, suggesting third-party redemption pressures have been negligible, as they have been for both KKR and Blackstone’s semiliquid offerings.An Area to Watch: LeverageFund-level financial leverage is not currently a popular strategy across direct infrastructure managers—just five of 22 strategies reported nonzero outstanding fund-level borrowings in their most recent public filings.While leverage can enhance returns (or detract from them when the cost of leverage is greater than unleveraged returns), it can also help finance new asset acquisitions or allow a fund to meet share repurchase requests without selling assets. The presence alone of permanent financial leverage isn’t good or bad, but it should at the very least be considered alongside other potentially distinguishing characteristics, like liquidity terms (redemption amounts and cadences) and fund expenses.The greenness of many of these strategies makes the trajectory of permanent fund-level leverage across the category an area to monitor. More than half the peer group reported net asset values of less than $500 million as of the most recent filings. As a larger portion of the category achieves scale, it is possible that more managers will employ permanent fund-level leverage.
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JetBlue CEO says creditors are wrong about restructuring
When a company’s senior creditors engage a restructuring adviser, the bond market reads it as a warning.
For JetBlue Airways (JBLU), a Wall Street Journal report that a group of senior creditors had hired restructuring adviser PJT Partners sent shares to a new low and put the airline’s balance sheet under a public spotlight it did not welcome.
The stock recovered sharply. JetBlue rose nearly 19% in early trading after its third-quarter earnings report, even though the company posted a wider quarterly loss. Investors chose to focus on management’s fourth-quarter outlook and a stated target for reaching profitability by 2028.
Chief Executive Joanna Geraghty did not sidestep the creditor issue. “We have no intention, no plans to file for bankruptcy. We are not engaged with any restructuring company,” she told CNBC.
She described a “fundamental disconnect between the narrative in the bond market and what our financial results actually demonstrate.”
Why JetBlue’s Q3 loss was wider
JetBlue posted a net loss of $257 million for the three months ended Sept. 30. A year earlier the loss was $143 million. The airline’s fuel bill climbed 61% to $868 million, accounting for most of the wider shortfall.
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The balance sheet tells a different story than the income statement. JetBlue ended the quarter with $2.2 billion in liquidity. Its unencumbered asset base, collateral the company could draw on in a financing, stood at $7 billion, including $2.8 billion in aircraft and engines. Those are the figures management pointed to when arguing the restructuring concern does not match the operating reality.
Revenue per available seat mile (RASM), a standard measure of how efficiently an airline converts capacity into revenue, is expected to rise as much as 22% in the fourth quarter from a year earlier. That would bring the full-year increase to between 13.5% and 14.5%. The fourth-quarter guidance was the number investors reacted to most.
Average fares backed up the revenue outlook. JetBlue’s average fare in the third quarter rose more than 19% from a year earlier to $245.11, up from $205.67. The company said travel demand has held firm even at higher price points.
JetBlue’s case for $1 EPS by 2028
Chief Financial Officer Ursula Hurley said the company has sufficient liquidity and financing options to reach its 2028 targets. She put those targets at a minimum of $1 in earnings per share and positive free cash flow by that year.
“JetBlue believes it has the liquidity and financing options to build a strong bridge to at least $1 in earnings per share and positive free cash flow in 2028,” Hurley said.
JetBlue has not posted an annual profit since 2019. Getting from the current loss position to the 2028 target requires the company to sustain higher fares, expand premium revenue, hold down costs and reduce debt, in a sequence that leaves little room for one of those to slip.
A new domestic first-class section recently went on sale as part of the premium push. The product is designed to attract higher-spending travelers and lift unit revenue above what a coach-only cabin can generate. That move places JetBlue alongside a broader industry trend toward premium differentiation, though the airline is doing it with a more constrained balance sheet than its larger competitors.
JetBlue carried $8.4 billion in total debt as of Sept. 30. That number, alongside the fuel cost jump, is the source of the creditor concern Geraghty pushed back against.NurPhoto / Getty Images
The risks that haven’t gone away
JetBlue carried $8.4 billion in total debt as of Sept. 30. That number, alongside the fuel cost jump, is the source of the creditor concern Geraghty pushed back against. Servicing that debt while the company is still posting net losses narrows the margin for operational setbacks.
Higher jet fuel costs have affected the whole industry. JetBlue is more exposed than most of its competitors. Delta (DAL), American, and United carry a wider mix of revenue sources and deeper cash reserves. A fuel spike that a larger carrier absorbs in a quarter can push JetBlue’s 2028 results well below what management has projected.
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The strategic setbacks of recent years compounded the debt burden. JetBlue’s attempted acquisition of Spirit Airlines was blocked by a federal judge. A regional partnership with American Airlines (AAL) was also blocked by regulators.
JetBlue now has the Blue Sky partnership with United Airlines (UAL), but neither deal replaced what a Spirit combination would have provided: a lower cost structure and more domestic capacity at competitive price points.
The company has said it is not pursuing another large acquisition. That means the internal turnaround is the full plan. RASM growth, cost control, debt reduction and premium-seat adoption all have to move in the right direction at the same time.
A deterioration in any one of those would put the 2028 timeline under renewed pressure.
How JetBlue proves the CEO right
Fourth-quarter RASM is the first test. Geraghty and Hurley pointed to the up-to-22% increase as evidence the revenue picture is improving. If the actual result comes in below that range, the creditor narrative will return. If it lands at or above guidance, it starts to support the argument that the bond market is reading the company’s situation incorrectly.
Fuel costs in the fourth quarter will run alongside the revenue question. The 61% increase in Q3 was the main reason the net loss widened from a year earlier. A sustained rise in jet fuel prices could offset fourth-quarter revenue gains and push the result below what management has projected.
Debt reduction is the longer test. At $8.4 billion in total obligations, JetBlue needs to generate consistent positive cash flow before it can begin to bring that figure down. The 2028 free-cash-flow target is the starting point for that process, not the end of it. Investors watching the stock from here need to track whether the company’s cash position is improving each quarter, not just whether earnings guidance is being met.
The stock climbed nearly 19% after the report. Geraghty’s case for the company’s health centers on the Q4 revenue guidance and the $7 billion in unencumbered assets she cited on the earnings call. Those numbers get tested when the fourth-quarter report comes out.
Related: JetBlue creditors hire bankruptcy advisers as debt concerns grow
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Microsoft names the hackers who slipped in through a backup app
Every business owner keeps a mental list of the keys that matter. The bank login, the payroll account, the alarm code for the front door.
What rarely makes that list are the apps your IT provider plugged into your company email years ago. They don’t log in like a person or get a text code. They just run in the background.
Most small companies outsource IT to managed service providers, or MSPs, which wire backup and security tools straight into each client’s Microsoft 365 account.
Each tool holds standing permission to read and write your data with no person signing in, according to Help Net Security. For you, that’s convenience. For a hacker, it’s a skeleton key.
Last week, one of those keys was stolen. Attackers took a credential for ConnectWise Cloud Backup, a tool many MSPs use to back up clients’ email and files, and used it to walk into company accounts one after another.
If your IT is outsourced, this story deserves ten minutes of your week.
Hackers exploited ConnectWise credentials to breach Microsoft 365 accounts, exposing businesses to lasting security risks and financial losses.SOPA Images / Getty Images
What happened in the ConnectWise breach
On Oct. 15, someone using the backup app’s identity started requesting access to customer accounts from a hosting-provider address, according to BleepingComputer. ConnectWise, which bought SkyKick in September 2024, disclosed the problem the next day, Techzine reported.
Huntress, a security firm that watches over small businesses, saw sign-in attempts from the attackers’ address on about 1,000 Microsoft accounts, and around 300 of them succeeded, according to Security Affairs.
ConnectWise disabled seven application identities on Oct. 17 and took Cloud Backup offline. It later suspended its SaaS Security and Cloud Management services too, Dark Reading reported.
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On Oct. 21, Microsoft named a culprit. It said Storm-0940, a China-state-aligned group active since 2021, used an AI-driven hacking tool called ARTEX to hit more than 2,250 accounts at a pace of 2,900 sign-in attempts per minute, according to CSO Online.
In several cases, the group went from picking a target to privileged access in under three hours, Microsoft wrote in its report, as quoted by Security Affairs. Most attempts failed. The ones that landed moved fast.
Why a stolen key can cost you real money
A backup tool has to see everything it protects. The compromised app could reach mailboxes, OneDrive and SharePoint files, Teams chats and the company directory, according to Cybernews.
Email is where small business money usually disappears. Business email compromise cost U.S. victims just over $3 billion in 2025, according to an analysis of FBI data cited by Insurance Business.
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The FBI logged 24,768 of those complaints [VERIFY vs IC3 2025 report]. By my math, that’s roughly $123,000 lost per reported case.
The scheme is simple. A crook sitting in your mailbox studies how you bill, then emails a customer a real-looking invoice with new bank details, or asks your bookkeeper to update a vendor’s account. With a hijacked account, the email really does come from you.
For a company with 20 employees, one diverted payment of that size can mean a missed payroll or a drained credit line. That’s the dollar stake behind a story that sounds technical.
Here’s what researchers found inside affected accounts:
In about 50 accounts Huntress monitors, ConnectWise management apps gave themselves directory roles, mostly Exchange Administrator, according to BleepingComputer.
In at least one, a ConnectWise Teams app made itself a global administrator and, within about five minutes, added new credentials to two other trusted apps, Help Net Security reported.
After getting in, the attackers changed app credentials and tried to alter privileged roles, Microsoft said, according to The Hacker News.
Switching off the app doesn’t lock every door
ConnectWise says its stored backup archives remain encrypted and isolated, with no sign they were touched, according to Dark Reading. The company has also said it can’t see inside customer accounts, so it can’t tell whether any one business was hit, a separate Dark Reading report noted.
That leaves the cleanup to you and your provider. Microsoft warned that the attackers’ changes “can remain active as a backdoor” even after the original app is fixed, according to CSO Online.
Here’s the detail I’d flag for every owner: you may be exposed even if you stopped using SkyKick years ago. ConnectWise told partners to check accounts with dormant SkyKick connections, according to Techzine, because the permission stays in place until someone removes it.
Huntress also told administrators to disable the ConnectWise apps rather than delete them, and to check every app for credentials added since Oct. 13, iTnews reported.
Three questions to ask your IT provider this week
I asked Elli Shlomo, head of security research at Guardz, a cybersecurity company that sells to MSPs, what an owner with no security staff should actually do. He boiled it down to three questions.
“First: ‘Was the ConnectWise Cloud Backup app connected to our Microsoft 365, is it disabled now, and did you check the sign-in logs for activity that didn’t come from the vendor?’” Shlomo said.
“Second: ‘What changed while it was connected?’” he said. “In some tenants the app gave itself administrator rights and added new credentials to other apps, so you want a check for new admin roles, new app secrets and new mailbox forwarding rules, not just a password reset.”
His third question looks past this one vendor. “Third: ‘Which other vendor apps hold this kind of access to our email and files, and when were they last reviewed?’ A good provider has already done all three and can show you the evidence,” Shlomo said.
That last line is the real test. If your provider can’t hand you a written answer, you’ve learned something about who’s guarding your accounts.
Ransomware crews now hunt for company backups
On Oct. 20, the FBI, the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) and international partners warned that SafePay, one of 2026’s most active ransomware crews, has hit about 600 victims since August 2024, according to HSToday.
SafePay operators shut off a built-in Windows snapshot service and reset network storage drives holding backups to factory settings. In some cases they deleted every network-attached backup before negotiations began, GBHackers reported.
The agencies’ fix is familiar advice with new urgency. Keep backups that are offline, encrypted and impossible to alter, and regularly test that you can restore from them, according to HSToday.
There’s a practical gap to close, too. ConnectWise Cloud Backup has been paused since Oct. 17, so ask your provider whether your email has been backed up since then and when restores return].
This breach will fade from the headlines. The permissions it exposed won’t, unless someone goes looking for them.
Ten minutes and three questions this week could spare you a six-figure invoice scam later. For the business you’ve spent years building, that’s cheap insurance.
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