Building a sustainable business isn’t the same as a conventional startup. Here’s what I learned while building mine.
Meta’s Muse Glimmer Courts Users As Big Tech And Governments Shape AI
Meta’s Muse Glimmer courts users with local AI control, challenging institutional power. As the debate heats up, controllable on-device AI may become more prevalent.
CoreWeave’s stock soars as earnings show major AI momentum
The AI cloud provider topped revenue and earnings expectations, with its CEO cheering “an important inflection point.”
I found a $100 bill in the communal washer at my Airbnb. What should I do?
“The landlord has not been here in months, so I assume it was a previous tenant.”
E-commerce giant cuts 12% workforce despite improving sales
Etsy has spent the past few years trying to revive growth after the pandemic-era online shopping boom faded.Some of those efforts appear to be working, but the company is still making another sizable reduction to its workforce.Etsy is eliminating approximately 220 jobs, or about 12% of its workforce, as part of a restructuring announced alongside its second-quarter results.Most of the changes will be concentrated in Product & Engineering. After the restructuring, Etsy expects to employ approximately 1,600 people.Etsy cuts roughly 220 jobsCEO Kruti Patel Goyal said Etsy is restructuring its teams to create fewer organizational silos and flatter groups capable of handling broader, more complex problems.“First, our goal wasn’t to cut costs. Cost savings are a consequence of these changes, but they are not the objective,” said Goyal.She said the company is making the changes during a period of stronger momentum so it can move faster and concentrate investment in capabilities it sees as important for future growth.Etsy expects to record roughly $35 million in restructuring charges, primarily related to severance, employee benefits, and other costs. The plan is expected to be substantially completed by the end of the third quarter.Peter Banko, a veteran health system CEO and organizational transformation expert, said: “Restructuring before a company reaches a crisis can give management more room to act deliberately.”“There is never a wrong time to do the right thing,” Banko told TheStreet. “It is bold and admirable to see a company like Etsy undertake a major restructuring when it is not in crisis.”Banko also pointed to Etsy’s severance package as an important part of how the company is handling the reductions.“How you treat people leaving your company is more important than how you treat people on the way in,” he said.Affected employees will receive at least 16 weeks of severance pay, with additional compensation based on tenure, along with continued health care support for up to 12 months for U.S. employees and other benefits.
Etsy announces layoffs with Q2 earnings.Shutterstock
Etsy layoffs come as sales improveThe timing stands out because Etsy’s core marketplace is showing signs of recovery.Second-quarter Etsy marketplace gross merchandise sales reached $2.6 billion, up 7.5% from a year earlier.Revenue totaled $668 million, rising 9.3% for the standalone Etsy marketplace, while adjusted EBITDA reached $195 million with a 29.2% margin.Etsy also raised its full-year outlook, now expecting mid-single-digit growth in marketplace gross merchandise sales (GMS) and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 29% to 30%.While Goyal said reducing costs was not the objective, CFO Lanny Baker acknowledged that the restructuring will lower near-term operating costs and that the expected benefit has already been incorporated into Etsy’s higher margin outlook.Etsy’s restructuring also comes shortly after another major strategic shift. On July 30, the company completed the sale of fashion resale marketplace Depop to eBay for approximately $1.4 billion in cash. The deal was originally announced at a $1.2 billion purchase price, but the final proceeds included about $200 million in net purchase-price adjustments and interest. Etsy said the divestiture would allow it to sharpen its focus on its core marketplace.Etsy acquired Depop for about $1.6 billion in 2021. The company also announced a new $2 billion share repurchase authorization alongside its second-quarter results, saying that proceeds from Depop would allow it to accelerate stock buybacks.Etsy says layoffs were not driven by AIEtsy explicitly told employees that artificial intelligence did not drive the reductions.The company said its goal is to combine employees with new technology rather than replace workers with it, even as AI changes the skills and capabilities it needs. Etsy plans to deepen expertise across product, engineering, and customer operations, with particular emphasis on machine-learning skills.TheStreet has previously reported on Etsy’s broader push into AI-powered shopping and product discovery.This is also not Etsy’s first major workforce reduction in recent years.In December 2023, the company announced plans to eliminate approximately 225 jobs, or about 11% of its core marketplace workforce.However, that restructuring came under different circumstances. Etsy said at the time that gross merchandise sales had remained largely flat while employee expenses continued to rise, and it explicitly tied the move to efforts to reduce operating costs.The latest cuts come as marketplace growth is improving, making Etsy’s decision to reshape its workforce, despite stronger financial performance, notably different from its previous restructuring.Related: Grocery giant rethinks supply chain plans as store closures mount
“Underweight tech” — here’s what Carter Worth says to buy instead
Transcript:Caroline Woods:We focused a lot on the fundamentals lately. So let’s take a look at the charts with Carter Worth, CEO and founder of Worth Charting. Carter, great to have you here at The Desk.Carter Worth:Thank you for having me here at the desk.Caroline Woods:All right, so let’s get into the charts. We have the S&P 500 hovering near a record high. And on the surface, the market looks pretty calm. But you look under the surface right when you look under it. What do you see?Carter Worth:All sorts of opportunities. But let maybe let’s start with the market. And then we can go underneath the sequencing of a pretty important sell off. We sold off January to the March 30th low due to news. I guess you’d call us around. And then we had an incredible April May rally, 20% in the S&P 30 in the night, and we’ve been dead flat since.Carter Worth:Yes, we made a slight new high, but that sequence of of an important 10% selloff, a ricochet that recouped all the loss. And then you trade in a tight range. The temptation is to think that it’s going to have a big next directional move, the quiet, tight range that we’re in. It’s the tightest. We’ve been about five and a half, 6% range.Carter Worth:There’s only been 5 or 6 other instances that are this tight over a two, two and a half month period going back to 1950. So this is a very quiescent despite under the surface, to your question, a lot of volatility at the stock level. The aggregate the S&P 500 is quite dull. Has no character. And I think that continues continues.Caroline Woods:So what breaks us out of a quiet tight range. Does that mean that as we think about where the market goes from here, we continue going nowhere. Well, so.Carter Worth:And that’s interesting. Even though under the surface it’s hyper rotation. So it’s highly volatile. But there’s no there’s no real variance that’s that’s in. So think about the volatility that we’ve seen on semi’s coming off 3040 in some cases 50%. And yet it’s coming to the fore to shore up the market because it’s just punching air as has been banks.Carter Worth:Right. Broker dealers like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley or deep sort of out of the money struggling software coming to life. And so we’re industrials or health care, which is at a 15 year relative lower. The S&P has been a real favorably. And so this hyper rotation is this. Well, and it’s the human condition. Let’s play semis when they’re gross.Carter Worth:Oh now the crash oil went from 50 to 120 a barrel and then it crash gold was love. Now you can’t get anybody talk about precious metals drops 34. So hyper rotation asset class wise bitcoin what have you or mag seven it doesn’t matter. And yet the or whole the S&P the aggregate is flat and I think you’re going to see more.Carter Worth:The temptation is always look for direction. Sometimes it’s directionless at at the macro level rates don’t seem to move. The market right is higher for longer has disappeared from the vernacular. You don’t hear it anymore. And yet we’ve never crossed over 5% of the ten year yield. Not once. One time intraday was October 23rd, 2023. Almost three years ago we got slightly above 5% and here we are three years later.Caroline Woods:Still flat when an index is flat. But we’re seeing some of these individual stocks or even sectors making these huge moves. What does that tell you about the health of the market then?Carter Worth:Well to some extent the market is almost irrelevant is I would say, and there’s an old sort of off you sort of overused phrase, you know, a stock pickers market. People use that for a reason. This is what that is, right? Where correlations are sort of low right in the highest correlations. When you know, stock market crashes, everything goes to one, right?Carter Worth:Everybody sells everything right. But right now correlations are low. And so that is a real opportunity to either find great winners or to mess it up okay.Caroline Woods:So talk to us about how you’re finding some of these great winners, given some of the sell offs that we’ve been seeing, but then also the fact that, sure, maybe you don’t necessarily think that it means we’ll move higher from.Carter Worth:Here, right? So if you think about, of all the factors that have ever been tested, relative strength, momentum, these are the most, sort of efficacious. They come back in all test through time as, as the ones to favor and so on, a week over week, month over month basis. What is exhibiting good relative strength in a period where the equity market is dead flat?Carter Worth:Well, there’s certain industrials that have been real laggards that are excellent here, showing all the characters that I look for, for, introducing starting along or having too long. So for instance 3 a.m. a fantastic instance or Boeing that’s just a name to and that kind of thing. There’s opportunities with in health care obviously biotechs sort of through the roof has been very strong.Carter Worth:But they’re laggards like Russell Myer just starting to carve out a bottom slowly, gradually deliberately bottoming curing healing after a lot of pain.Caroline Woods:We have seen software names rebounding as well. They’re well off their lows but still a very beaten down area of the market. Do you think that the worst is behind us on that front and where are the opportunities there? If so, sure.Carter Worth:So if you look at the let’s take Microsoft, right. The biggest of all Microsoft has just undergone one of its. There’s only one other instance in the history of the stock that it had, 30% move in about 2 or 3 weeks. And that happened at fairly precise intermediate lows in 52, a close that sets the low by my work for Microsoft, which in turn add Palantir into that.Carter Worth:It’s right. That sets the lows. I think the lows are good lows. So this move off of those lows, you can use iGTV or some other aggregate to measure, software. But the question is, do they have a lot of upside after this fairly impetuous, impulsive bounce, i.e. Microsoft is one of the biggest bounces in the record on a short term basis.Carter Worth:What I would look for within software are laggards. Things like, Rover, for instance. Fantastic gradual bearish to bullish reversal. Similar to the circumstance where industrials are making new highs for things like Boeing and three, are coming to life.Caroline Woods:How do you know if the comeback is real though versus a head fake?Carter Worth:You can’t. Nobody does. That’s I mean, you know, this is not annuities work right. Got to got an eight year bets and then live with them.Caroline Woods:But if a stock is down 20% from its highs, how do you tell the difference between a bargain and a broken.Carter Worth:Sure. And that’s again we’re looking for that sequence of a protracted decline that then stock starts to stop going down, which is what basing is all about. And then starts to exhibit week over week, relative strength. That’s impressive. But again, valuation is nothing to do with that because that’s one of the worst timing tools there is.Carter Worth:Right. We know and that there is a 100% correlation between earnings per share and price per share on a long term basis three years, five years, 20 years. But there’s no relationship at all. Three months, six months, 12 months. Hence, the semiconductor can go up three x and then drop 50%. Well, their earnings didn’t do that right. There is no relationship between earnings and share price this month, next month, three, six, nine months.Caroline Woods:But on the flip side then when a stock hits new highs, is that something an investor should fear or that they should buy into?Carter Worth:It’s both. It depends on the circumstance. Is it parabolic or is it a gradual, orderly, 45 degree higher. Higher. Ever higher. North by northeast. Gentle. You respect that. That is, intact. Uptrend. Stay long, be long. But something that gets parabolic where it starts to almost, well look like a straight up line. It’s not in a chart.Carter Worth:It’s not going off to the right each day. You you you shy away from that. Now can you time up. We all try. But look what happened to the cost. Me again. Look, we have the semis in general. Look what happened to gold. Look what happened. Oil. Look what happened to Bitcoin. When things get, over embraced, over love, it’s usually right to take the road.Caroline Woods:Less travel. Give us an example of a chart that has gone parabolic that you would stay away from, and an example of one that has, you know, been this orderly increase that you still think is sure.Carter Worth:Let’s take the latter for something like, Bank of New York. Now, it’s a very steady business trust. Right. And custody bank. But that’s an orderly stay long be like my, my work, so might say different. Almost all the parabolic stocks, have already succumbed, so there’s nothing that’s quite still parabolic. Maybe maybe del it might, reduce that if one had del that hasn’t really come in at all.Carter Worth:And it’s quite extended.Caroline Woods:We’ve seen some huge moves in names like Amazon and Microsoft recently actually. You take a look at those charts, which I can bring up right now, but you actually see that huge gap like where that’s actually jumped. Do you chase that momentum or do you wait for it to come back to you?Carter Worth:So if you think about what causes a gap, right. And so here we are in the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. It would be that the specialist would be. 934 942. They hadn’t open the stock. They couldn’t match the book. Now we don’t get delayed. Opens right right away. The computers match it and you gap up 4%, 6%, whatever it might be.Carter Worth:On the first day of a gap up, it’s always it’s always news related. FDA approval could be 40% earnings beat could be ten. But typically after you gap up it’s a rerating based on fundamentals. Right. Something good has been said. And there’s momentum drift. But we’re past that now with Microsoft. We’ve had the initial gap and then we’ve had a second gap.Carter Worth:So you don’t have price discovery after one day of a gap or 2 or 3 even. But after 15, 18, 20 sessions, you do have price discovery. For instance, we would fade Microsoft here, fairly aggressively.Caroline Woods:Because.Carter Worth:Because again, we’ve had price growth gaps up. Why new news. It gaps up because the denominator changed. They reported good results. And what happens is it’s now cheaper. People rush into the stock. What we that wasn’t a day ago. That wasn’t four days ago. That’s 1618 days ago. You again have price coverage. People have had a chance now to exit shorts to embrace new.Carter Worth:Long as the committee has met, we should probably put some Microsoft into the. Once you’ve had enough shares change hands that it’s now at a level where again, we would fade it, pretty aggressively.Caroline Woods:Would you fade Amazon or would you add.Carter Worth:I’d add to Amazon. Amazon’s line is extended. I mean it’s it’s a totally different circumstance on a chart okay.Caroline Woods:So for the everyday retail investor who might be tuning in right here, and this sounds a lot like trading to me and I’m a buy and hold kind of person. What’s the takeaway for them as they think about what opportunities to add to here where the market goes from here?Carter Worth:Right. And, well, I mean, if you’re if you’re a trader, it’s to trade the first. The first thing I would say, and it’s the only thing really to say, is you have to know who you are in the market. If you trade for an hour or two, then don’t ever get off that right. If you’re buying hold, don’t get off that.Carter Worth:Stick with your with your knitting. As the expression goes, stay in your lane. But that’s where it goes wrong. If if you’re playing for intermediate moves 2 to 3, 2 to 4 month moves, which were, I believe, real alphas generated, then stick to that. Don’t if it goes wrong, you know, be disciplined with the stop. Don’t.Carter Worth:If it goes well, I think I’ll stay longer. Stay, stay, stay the course. Trust your process, but don’t change your process.Caroline Woods:I should note this is not an ETF spotlight, but you do have an ETF. And I want to mention the worth ETF w r t h. It’s basically built for this kind of market that we’ve been talking about right. The big moves in individual stocks constant rotation and volatility. Tell us how does your strategy actually take advantage of that.Carter Worth:Right. So it’s a fairly straightforward approach. We sell premium. We’re in the business of selling out of the money calls and out of the money puts strangling a stock. The risks with that is one can say well your naked stock could $100. Stock as an example could go to 150. You sold the 120 calls and the 80 puts were waiting for decay.Carter Worth:We’re waiting to stay in a range for a very short period of time. But the we mitigate the risk of a runaway is that we do it after companies reported earnings. That’s very important. The biggest one day mover of stocks outside force measure something that’s out of nowhere. The chairman’s been indicted or my gosh, the FDA approval did not come through.Carter Worth:And it’s all it is that but an individual operating business and industrial financial healthcare stock the biggest one day movers earnings earnings are very hard to predict. That’s why we get the gaps right. So that’s particularly poor at it. So if you only sell after a stock is gapped up or gapped down by 10% or more and then play for vol crush.Carter Worth:This eliminates the risk of having an earnings surprise. Then they can call put. And if you do it enough out of the money 10% or more. After a 10% move, you need a lot of momentum. You have to make that wrong on either side. And so we’re in the vol crush business. We we sell premium and we wait for decay.Carter Worth:We wait, we sell bananas, we don’t own. And then we wait for the spots to start to appear. And then all of a sudden the bananas are black. Worthless. That’s what we.Caroline Woods:Want. What names are on your radar as we think about the the companies that still are yet to report earnings this season? Well, obviously Nvidia is a big one.Carter Worth:That’s a good one. And so for instance, the temptation is and this is to say well we think who’s way well this great team of PhDs in neuroscience is the number one I rank. We think that Nvidia is going to be good. That’s and we’re recommending it to you or someone a trader the better play a lot of astute sort of meta neutral dollar neutral long short funds don’t do the earnings gap because they know how bad it could be.Carter Worth:If you get it wrong. It’s just sometimes a coin flip. Wait for the movie Nvidia down or up and then strangle it. But last.Caroline Woods:Week versus Pro.Carter Worth:Well it’s what it’s doing is it’s taking advantage of after something is rerated. Both bulls and bears believe even more in what they. So that hundred dollar stock that drops to 80 the bull say this is this is way overdone. I got a buy I got it, I got buy the dip and the bear say we’ve been waiting for this.Carter Worth:It’s not down from 180. It’s going a 40. So you get there’s still premium out of the money calls out of the money puts. And then we’re waiting for vol crush. I would point out that of course, we know that 75% of all short term out of the money options expire worthless. And that’s without regard for how much out of the money if you put it out more than 10% either side and add other criteria, no bio difference, you can move those odds into the low 90% that you will get expiration.Caroline Woods:So basically, you don’t have a list that you can give us or consumers you’re expecting.Carter Worth:Oh, well, when you’re talking about earnings, we will be very much looking forward to strangling. And very if we get a big enough move up or down, we don’t care about that. And so in that sense, if you think about any investment that anyone has ever come to anyone with, hey, invest in this play on Broadway as an angel, do this real estate deal, buy this, not go into this one.Carter Worth:They’re saying we think we know the direction. This place is worth more. This bar is going to be worth more. This real estate venture. We’re saying we don’t care about direction after a stock or most assets have been rerated aggressively higher or lower in a short period of time, they consolidate. Think about our natural lineage. Right. It’s after exerting yourself in the gym.Carter Worth:What do you do? You know, you’re just exerting yourself in the library. Six sometimes you stay there. Your eyes, you got to take a rest. You walk around. But we play that quieter. So it’s one of the rare moments where we’re saying, we’re betting that this will go sideways. No one does that. They are betting by it here.Carter Worth:It’ll go up, sell it here, it’ll go down. We’re saying it just did a big up or down. It’s likely to be quiescent for the next 1520 sessions.Caroline Woods:So you don’t care about the market direction. But I’m still I’m going to pin you down and try to get a sense of where you think this market’s going. Yeah. Just in terms of when you take a step back and look at the broader S&P 500 and take a look at that chart, is S&P 8000 likely by year end?Carter Worth:You know, that’s very small. Those are small numbers right? I mean I think the and not to not express but this is the way to answer the question is that the principle is the parts compose the whole. The whole comprises the parts. We study the whole by figuring out the parts. Let’s start with the biggest part of all semi’s, if you can figure that out, or then tech in general, that’s 30% of the whole the S&P.Carter Worth:So semi’s, after a sequence of a great run up to three years and then a crash of sorts, we think that will be very arrangement. In fact, we would go so far to say that we think the highs are in for the year in service. So a lot of people are playing for big up, and a lot of they’re saying this is just the beginning.Carter Worth:Where do you see what happens. So there’s unimportant service. We don’t think, semis are a place to be. Right. And think of it that we think software has already bounced so much. Now that’s now it comes 30% of the market right there. Right, because of tech. So the question is, do you go all the way to underweight tech all towards getting to the answer for the market.Carter Worth:We think you underweight tech. Well between now and the end of the year. And overweight industrials for instance overweight health care and so and then how does that all net out of the market. One say well you’re underweight tank and tech’s 30%. Are you saying the market’s kind of dead. Fine. We think again that you’re not looking at great big runaway moves from here for the S&P.Carter Worth:And that it’s asymmetrical. There’s more downside risk than there is upside potential. So between now and you’re.Caroline Woods:So underweight in tech overweight industrials and healthcare. Yeah. What about some of the other. What about energy for example. Still the best performing overweight here.Carter Worth:So that was a huge winner right. Outperforming everything. And we know why energy was dead flat for almost four years. If you look at the XLE for instance. And then it had a one of its biggest breakout type moves on record, then we get a major give back. But notice how well the stocks are acting even as oil has come in.Carter Worth:We think there’s great value, not from a value point of view. Couldn’t just be valuation, but there’s great value in owning energy as overweight.Caroline Woods:Okay. What else would you underweight here?Carter Worth:Like staples? I just think there’s low energy there. They’re always sort of dull, but they have, Well, here’s another way to look at it. If you look at the relationship between the Russell 1000 value versus the Russell 1000 growth value is from the March 31st all equities global low on March 30th right here in the US. And then the run up cents and the RV Russell 1000 value.Carter Worth:And RL you either have the same percent gain since the March 30th long. And yet the beta of Russell 1000 values 0.71. The beta of Russell 1000 growth is 1.3. So if you do the same performance and your beta is almost half of the other on a risk adjusted basis, you’re up almost double the performance of the latter.Carter Worth:So value is very, very stretched. Now what can say give you like energy within value. Yes. But we don’t like staples versus small caps. International fine small caps.Caroline Woods:So it’s still a diversified approach. Oh it’s not. Yeah. Tech finally just to wrap it up and then we’ll get to our rapid fire rounds, you know, for, for our viewers who might be sitting in the S&P 500, you know, who might just have broad index exposure, who say, wait a minute, tech’s not going to go anywhere.Caroline Woods:What does that mean for the S&P? Obviously it’s a big part of that. What’s what’s the takeaway for that for.Carter Worth:Them is the way you started. The people that are sitting in it, they’re buying hold anyway. So just keep sitting.Caroline Woods:Because eventually it will go up.Carter Worth:Markets go up 775% of the time. There are more razors being consumed in the future than more babies. Yeah, the broad thrust of success of humanity, of America, of the S&P. Sure. But if they’re just sitting in, it keeps sitting.Caroline Woods:And what would make you overweight tech again?Carter Worth:That’s interesting. It would be the semis truly putting in a bottom that’s enduring right now. After that run up in that collapse, they look to be sort of dull here like Grangemouth and not making new lows. And then a pulling in and some of the overdone some to, to fall within within software. But once they’ve shot the moon like match up pulling in and the ones that are still coming to life that are sort of developmental open, starting to continue to improve.Caroline Woods:What’s a tech chart that still looks strong to you that might buck that? The sideways trend.Carter Worth:You mean up and well, again, if you had to be bias, you had to be directional. I think it video, which is at a four year relative low or something like that. The software at the same is at the peak. I think you play that long. If you want to be directional, we would prefer to wait for the play right and strangle.Caroline Woods:Okay. All right. A good time to pivot to our rapid fire round of this or that. This is your first time playing. Quick questions quick answers. No hedging. You ready.Carter Worth:I don’t.Caroline Woods:Go all right. Here we go. Rally healthy or unstable.Carter Worth:The current rally I would say I’ll put it on stable category.Caroline Woods:Volatility opportunity or warning.Carter Worth:Always an opportunity because of long short.Caroline Woods:Market leadership broadening or narrowing.Carter Worth:It has brought.Caroline Woods:Stretched winners keep running or come back to earth.Carter Worth:They’ve already all come back to Earth.Caroline Woods:One name that’s still overstretched. No one that’s run far that you’ve still bet on.Carter Worth:Back in New York, the NY.Caroline Woods:Tech firm here software semis.Carter Worth:Software.Caroline Woods:But really neither because they’re really great. We should say, Oracle, Adobe or Salesforce. Salesforce Mega cap, tech chaser. Wait.Carter Worth:The whole thing. Chaser. Wait, wait.Caroline Woods:Meg seven with the healthiest chart.Carter Worth:Now is within Meg seven. Amazon Meg seven.Caroline Woods:Name with the weakest chart. Microsoft next 10% move in the S&P 500. Up or down? Down. Better opportunity buying breakouts or buying pullbacks.Carter Worth:Buying breakouts.Caroline Woods:Better market. Tell S&P 500 or S&P equal weight like that.Carter Worth:That’s you know that the S&P wait has outperformed the actual weights since inception. Always go with the equal.Caroline Woods:Most overbought of being part of the entire market right now.Carter Worth:Yeah there’s nothing overbought. Well let’s say energy sort of refiners and in certain insurance stocks travelers all state.Caroline Woods:Most oversold part of the market.Carter Worth:We like we think utilities have come down to where they should bounce.Caroline Woods:Unpopular opinion chart that you hate right now.Carter Worth:Tesla.Caroline Woods:One word to describe this market.Carter Worth:Quiescence surprisingly.Caroline Woods:Stocks by year end higher or lower from here.Carter Worth:Lower.Caroline Woods:That’s Carter we’re really appreciate it. Thank you so much for shedding some light on on your ETF and charts and your insights. That’s Carter Worth, CEO and founder of Worth Charting. If you enjoyed this street talk, check out our full interview with Michael Landsberg. He explains how to actually diversify your portfolio.
Agentic AI is advancing faster than enterprises can absorb it
Agentic AI is everywhere in the enterprise conversation right now. Vendors are promising systems that do not just assist humans but execute decisions, manage workflows, and coordinate transactions across entire organizations without being asked. The pitch is compelling. The reality is considerably more complicated.The gap between where agentic AI is being sold and where it is actually being deployed is one of the defining tensions in enterprise technology in 2026. And it is wider than most buyers realize.Why B2B is harder than it looks for AI agentsConsumer AI applications have a relatively simple job. They deal with individual users, standard interfaces, and relatively predictable inputs. B2B commerce is a different environment entirely.Pricing is often negotiated customer by customer. Workflows vary across business units and geographies. Approvals span multiple layers of decision-makers who each have different authority levels. Supply chains involve dozens of third-party systems that were not designed to talk to each other, let alone to an AI agent trying to coordinate across all of them simultaneously.”B2B leaders are hungry for AI, but they’re not looking to hand over all the keys just yet,” Jary Carter, co-founder and CRO of OroCommerce, told TheStreet. “When you dig into their real-world operations, the demand isn’t for complete autonomy. Most of them want AI to make their people faster and smarter, not to replace the judgment calls that define how they do business.” Carter has spent more than a decade building enterprise commerce software for manufacturers, distributors, and wholesalers, and his company works with organizations ranging from mid-market to Fortune 500 scale.More AI:Nvidia just made a move Wall Street wasn’t ready forMicrosoft just took sides in AI policy fightOpenAI just disclosed something genuinely alarmingIn B2B commerce, the relationship between buyer and seller is often the product itself. A longtime purchasing manager at a regional distributor does not just want the right price, they want to know someone is paying attention to their account. Delegating that to a system that operates probabilistically, without human accountability, is a risk many B2B leaders are not willing to take. At least not yet.”The concern I hear most often is not ‘can AI do this?’ — it is ‘what happens if AI is wrong?'” Carter said. “B2B retention is built on trust, and trust is built on accuracy.”The infrastructure gap nobody is talking aboutMuch of the excitement around agentic AI assumes enterprises are ready to plug intelligent systems into clean, standardized environments. They are not.”Most enterprises are still dealing with fragmented data, legacy infrastructure, and highly customized workflows that were never designed for autonomous execution,” Carter told TheStreet. “Even with rock-solid data infrastructure, B2B organizations are cautious about fully autonomous, agentic AI for a reason. The technology is powerful, but it doesn’t always produce perfectly predictable outcomes, and in B2B, the stakes are too high for even a small number of errors to exist”.This reality shapes how enterprises are actively deploying the technology. Fully agentic systems demand perfectly unified data pipelines and rigidly standardized decision trees. In contrast, most B2B organizations operate on a complex, decades-old patchwork of ERPs, CRMs, and custom integrations. That is exactly why B2B leaders are actively betting on augmentation over full autonomy. AI can surface insights, support decisions, and streamline tasks. It does not independently run core commerce operations at any meaningful scale.The numbers support this. According to Gartner’s 2026 Hype Cycle for Agentic AI, only 17% of organizations have deployed AI agents to date, yet more than 60% expect to do so within two years. Gartner also predicts over 40% of agentic AI projects will be canceled by the end of 2027 due to escalating costs, unclear business value, or inadequate risk controls, according to a Gartner. The gap between ambition and execution is not just real. It is already producing casualties.The five stages most companies never finishAgentic AI adoption is best understood as a progression. At the most basic level, enterprises rely on rule-based automation for repetitive tasks like order processing. The next stage introduces AI-assisted decision-making, recommending pricing adjustments or inventory replenishment. Beyond that is contextual intelligence, where AI adapts based on historical behavior and customer signals. The fourth stage is semi-autonomous execution within defined constraints. The fifth is full end-to-end autonomy.Most B2B organizations today operate between stage two and stage three. Three barriers consistently block further progress. Data fragmentation means AI cannot build consistent context across disconnected systems. Governance questions emerge the moment AI starts influencing consequential decisions. And organizational readiness is often the most overlooked obstacle. “The leap from automation to autonomy requires trust, and trust comes from consistency, auditability, and control,” Carter told TheStreet.
The honest conclusion from the people closest to enterprise AI deployment is that agentic AI is a destination most organizations are not yet structurally equipped to reachTatiana/Getty Images
Where AI is actually delivering value todayDespite the gap between vision and reality, AI is having a measurable impact in specific, well-defined areas of B2B commerce. Intelligent order management is one of the strongest current use cases. AI validates orders, identifies inconsistencies, and coordinates across backend systems to reduce friction in complex transactions. One OroCommerce client reduced order processing time from 30 minutes to under two minutes by deploying AI document processing on purchase order intake alone, according to The AI Journal.Sales enablement is another area of active adoption. AI tools assist sales teams by generating quotes, recommending pricing strategies, and identifying cross-sell opportunities based on historical patterns. Customer service is also evolving beyond simple chatbots into systems capable of resolving complex queries by accessing backend systems in real time.Looking ahead, these systems are expected to become more proactive, anticipating reorder patterns, flagging supply chain risks, and suggesting adjustments before issues surface. But Carter is direct about the direction of that evolution. “The most successful implementations will be those where AI agents and human expertise are tightly integrated, each reinforcing the other rather than competing,” he told TheStreet.Key context on agentic AI adoption in enterprise B2B:Share of organizations with fully autonomous AI deployment: approximately 4%, according to McKinseyGartner 2026 finding: only 17% of organizations have deployed AI agents, yet 60%+ plan to within two years; over 40% of agentic AI projects expected to be canceled by 2027, according to GartnerOroCommerce client order processing improvement: from 30 minutes to under two minutes using AI purchase order processing, according to The AI JournalOroCommerce enterprise client retention rate: 95%, with 67% of new customers since 2024 coming from companies with $500 million to $10 billion in revenueTop barrier to agentic AI adoption in enterprise: data fragmentation, governance accountability, and organizational readiness, consistently cited across B2B deployments, according to OroCommerce Building the foundation before chasing the visionThe honest conclusion from the people closest to enterprise AI deployment is that agentic AI is a destination most organizations are not yet structurally equipped to reach. The technology is advancing faster than enterprise infrastructure, governance frameworks, and organizational culture can absorb.The companies that will benefit most are not those chasing full autonomy the fastest. They are those doing the less glamorous work of unifying data, modernizing infrastructure, and building the accountability structures needed to give AI systems meaningful operational authority safely.For the vendors selling fully autonomous AI agents today, the gap between the pitch and what most buyers can actually absorb remains one of the least discussed risks in the market. That gap will not close on the vendor’s timeline. It will close on the enterprise’s.Related: Microsoft makes a controversial decision that changes its AI story
Torey Lovullo Deserves Shot To Be Arizona Diamondbacks Forever Manager
The D-backs have to make a decision about Torey Lovullo’s future as manager. With 728 wins, he has the most in the club’s history as a manager.
The Beginner’s Guide To Entrepreneurship
The “beginner’s mind” is an invitation to foster a mindset of curiosity and bring eagerness and openness into our entrepreneurship.
‘Reacher’ Season 4 Release Schedule Lays Out New Mission For Ritchson Series
“Reacher” Season 4, starring Alan Ritchson as author Lee Child’s literary creation Jack Reacher, is back this week with new episodes featuring the lone wolf hero.