MMN Editor

Seven Toss-Ups, A Decoy Candidate, & A 1AM Finish: Your Election Night Survival Guide

The House is done. Or at least the market thinks so.Going into tonight, Polymarket traders give Democrats a 96% chance of taking the House and 74% for the Senate, the highest Democratic Senate odds since the market opened, and as of 7:17am ET this morning the Democratic sweep contract was trading at 77%. Which is why Goldman, in its “Midterms Preview” email this morning (available to pro subs), says the only part of tonight that can really surprise anyone is the upper chamber:A Democratic House looks largely priced, with the Senate representing the main source of election related surprise. With sentiment, positioning and leverage already significantly lower following recent derisking, the bigger question for markets may be whether the election acts as a clearing event and supports a broader rerisking in equities.In other words, everyone is watching the House count, and the money is riding on the Senate. Regular readers know we’ve been tracking the blue-wave odds since they were a coin flip, from our warning back in May that electric bills could be the 2026 election shocker to JPMorgan’s “Democrat Factor” soaring 20% as Wall Street priced a sweep. Below is everything you need for tonight: the math, the clock, the polling trap and what each outcome means for markets.The Math: Four Seats, Seven Coin FlipsRepublicans hold the Senate 53-47. Democrats need a net gain of four; a gain of three produces a 50-50 chamber, which stays Republican thanks to JD Vance’s tie-breaking vote. That means Democrats have to hold Georgia, Michigan and New Hampshire, and then flip four of the GOP-held seats in North Carolina, Ohio, Texas, Alaska, Maine, Kansas, Iowa, Nebraska and South Carolina.Cook Political Report rates seven races as pure toss-ups: Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio and Texas, with Georgia and North Carolina leaning Democratic. The final New York Times/Siena polls had Democrats leading in Michigan, Texas, Kansas, Maine and Ohio, holding an edge in Alaska and effectively tied in Iowa, which on paper is a comfortable majority.Here is how that looks in Goldman’s chart of polling margins against market-implied odds, from the bank’s chief US political economist Alec Phillips (chart source GS GIR, Kalshi):Three things jump out. Democrats lead in every Republican-held race to the left of the line, but outside of North Carolina, none of those leads is bigger than about 3 points. Maine, Kansas and Iowa sit right on top of the tie line. And the market is giving Democrats more credit in Texas and Alaska than their polling margins alone would justify.Which brings us to the problem.Why The Polls May Be Flattering Democrats (Again)Goldman’s Phillips and Abhay Duggirala have been waving this flag for weeks. In Republican-leaning states, GOP Senate candidates have beaten their final polling margins by an average of 3 points since 2002, and in competitive races over that stretch, candidates leading by 2.5 points or less won only 60% of the time. Among Republican-held seats, Democrats currently lead by more than that 3-point cushion only in North Carolina.The desk’s translation this morning:The Senate remains much closer, however, with recent election cycles showing polling errors have tended to underestimate Republican performance in Republican leaning states. As a result, the larger market reaction may come from a divided Congress outcome, which appears less fully reflected in current pricing.The polls aren’t the only problem. As we noted last month, Phillips found that in the five previous midterms going back to 2002, prediction markets “have tended to overstate the challenging party’s sweep odds at this point in the cycle.” Apply the historical fade to today’s 75% and a sweep is still the favorite, just by a lot less than the Kalshi billboards in New York suggests.Put differently, the House is a lock, the Senate is (roughly) a 60/40 dressed up as a 75/25. Which makes the order in which the states report tonight unusually important.The Clock: What Closes When (All Times ET)Polls close in waves from 6pm to 1am Eastern. Here is where each key Senate race sits on the clock, against the latest odds:6:00pm – Indiana, Kentucky (most of each). No marquee statewide races, but Decision Desk HQ flags Hamilton County, IN (Victoria Spartz’s IN-5, which Trump won 52-46) as an early read on suburban swing.7:00pm – Georgia, South Carolina, Virginia, Vermont, most of Florida and New Hampshire. Democrats are clearly favored to hold Georgia and New Hampshire. The sleeper is South Carolina, where appointed Sen. Darline Graham is only a slight favorite over Democrat Annie Andrews (Kalshi: 67/33), and who joked she’ll “choke Lindsey” in heaven for leaving her in a tied race. Florida counts fastest of any state; watch Osceola County for the Latino swing. VA-2 is a must-win House seat for Democrats.7:30pm – North Carolina, Ohio, West Virginia. Roy Cooper vs. Michael Whatley in NC is Democrats’ likeliest flip (Cabarrus County near 50-50 means a good night for Cooper). Ohio is the first real toss-up of the night: Sherrod Brown vs. appointed Sen. Jon Husted (Brown 71% on Kalshi), plus the Ramaswamy vs. Acton governor’s race. If Brown wins, the Senate path opens; if he loses early, the 75% sweep odds will not survive the hour.8:00pm – Maine, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, rest of Florida and New Hampshire, most of Texas, Kansas and Michigan. Susan Collins vs. Troy Jackson in Maine (Jackson 73%), but Maine is about the slowest-counting state in the country and may need a ranked-choice runoff (more below). House battlegrounds in PA (including Fitzpatrick’s PA-1) and NJ-7. In Texas, keep an eye on Collin County: a 50-50 or bluer result is “probably a necessary condition” for a Democrat to carry the state, per DDHQ.9:00pm – The big hour: Texas, Michigan, Kansas, Iowa, Nebraska finish; New York, Minnesota, Arizona and Wisconsin close. Talarico vs. Paxton (Talarico 74%, the most traded race of the cycle), El-Sayed vs. Rogers in Michigan (El-Sayed ~78%, recovering after Democrat Haley Stevens endorsed Rogers on Sunday), Hamilton vs. Marshall in Kansas (Hamilton 63%, up 22 points in a week), Turek vs. Hinson in Iowa (52/48, the true coin flip), and independent Dan Osborn vs. Pete Ricketts in Nebraska. Dubuque County, IA is the tell for white working-class voters. By roughly 10pm, we should know whether Democrats have a real path.10:00pm – Nevada, Montana, Utah. Gov. Joe Lombardo vs. Aaron Ford is a toss-up; MT-1 is an open toss-up House seat.11:00pm – California, Oregon, Washington, Idaho. Democrats are favored to flip all five GOP-held California seats they targeted in redistricting, but California counts mail ballots received through Nov. 10, so don’t expect final House numbers for days.Midnight/1:00am – Hawaii and Alaska. Dan Sullivan vs. Mary Peltola (and the other Dan Sullivan). The last poll closes in the Aleutians at 1am. The counting may take a lot longer.Don’t Hold Your Breath: Maine, Alaska And The LawyersGoldman’s FX strategist Stuart Jenkins, in the bank’s GS Morning note (available to pro subs), sums up the timing problem:We should get a sense of the degree of the polling error pretty early on, but it can take days or even weeks, especially on the Senate, to get an official result.Two of the seats Democrats need are the likeliest to drag:Maine uses ranked-choice voting for federal races, municipalities have two days to report official counts, and per Secretary of State Shenna Bellows the state has historically known the ranked-choice outcome the week after the election. A runoff has to be certified by Dec. 18.Alaska accepts ballots mailed from outside the US for 15 days after Election Day, and close races there have a long history of taking all 15. On top of that, the DOJ has sued to block certification if Peltola wins while “decoy” candidate Daniel J. Sullivan remains on the ballot, and as Jonathan Turley wrote in “Alaska’s Decoy Scandal Brings Back The Usual Suspects”, “this scandal will not end on Tuesday.”So if the Senate comes down to 50 seats plus Alaska, Wall Street could be trading a binary outcome against a federal lawsuit into Thanksgiving. Nothing says “clearing event” like a recount in the Kenai Peninsula.Meanwhile Goldman’s Rich Privorotsky has a simpler cheat sheet:The clearing of the political event should be important. The S&P has been higher in the 12 months following all 19 midterms since 1950 … no guarantees but gridlock has generally been seen as supportive for equities, although AI and data center restrictions remain an important risk to watch… The first hurdle is avoiding an extreme midterm outcome … Texas will be important to watch.Texas matters twice: the Senate seat, and a governor’s race where, as we detailed earlier today in “These Are The States Where Tuesday’s Midterms Can Pull The Plug On Data Centers”, Democrat Gina Hinojosa wants an emergency moratorium on a 474 GW interconnection queue.What Markets Are Pricing: Gridlock Good, Sweep… Less SoThe consensus playbook, laid out in “Wall Street’s Midterm Cheat Sheet” yesterday, comes from JPMorgan’s Market Intel desk: a 66% Blue Wave sees the S&P anywhere from down 25bp to up 50bp, a 26% split Congress sends it up 0.5% to 1%, and a 7% Red Wave gets +1% to +1.25%. Translation: the likeliest outcome is the worst one for stocks, though nobody expects a crash on the night. Not everyone is that relaxed: BofA’s Michael Hartnett, as we noted last month, sees a Democratic sweep as “big risk-off”, with stocks skidding more than 10%, and we tweeted his sweep-odds chart on Sunday.JPMorgan’s Midterm scenario cheat sheet https://t.co/MLOhixqsnX pic.twitter.com/RzigN4PX2x— zerohedge (@zerohedge) November 3, 2026
The bond view is more muted. Mizuho’s Evelyne Gomez-Liechti estimates a sweep adds about 2bps to 10-year yields (4.91% this morning) while a split Congress takes off about 3bps, but warns against “chasing” the gridlock-means-austerity narrative:Trump’s willingness to make deals could still see higher defense spending alongside some dilution of planned Medicaid cuts, leaving the underlying fiscal trajectory little changed.Rate-insensitive maybe… but not stupid. Goldman agrees on tariffs at least: any Democratic rollbacks on Canada would be more than offset by new White House tariffs, for a net ~2ppt increase in the effective tariff rate after the election. And the first real fight is the Dec. 11 funding deadline, not AI.For those who want to trade it, Goldman’s baskets team’s top sweep idea, which we laid out on Sunday, is long ACA beneficiaries (GSHLCACA), which has tracked the Kalshi sweep odds almost tick-for-tick since summer… until the last two weeks, when the basket rolled over even as the odds kept climbing (chart source Bloomberg, GS):Either the basket knows something the prediction markets don’t, or it’s a cheap entry. Our money is on the former.As for the longer view, JPM is as bullish as ever:JPM is bullish on midterms: “SPX has been up a year after every midterm election since 1950 with an average gain of around 15%. The worst one-year forward return came after the 1986 midterms but this, of course, had more to do with the 1987 crash rather than anything going on in…— zerohedge (@zerohedge) November 2, 2026The Night Turns On Texas At 9pm… Or Maybe On Alaska In Two WeeksGoldman’s desk puts the real question for markets simply: whether tonight “acts as a clearing event and supports a broader rerisking in equities.” With sentiment, positioning and leverage already washed out after last week’s tech rout, it might, if the result is clean.We’re not so sure it will be. The House is a lock. But the Senate majority runs through four GOP-held states where Democrats lead by less than the 3 points Republicans have historically gained on their final polls, two states that count for days or weeks, and one that comes with its own federal lawsuit. So our take: the Democratic sweep is still the most likely single outcome, but the 75% price tag is too rich, and the likeliest surprise is a 50-50 or 51-49 Senate that nobody can call until Alaska finishes counting. The prediction markets have long since made up their minds:Prediction markets have seen enough— zerohedge (@zerohedge) October 30, 2026Then again, prediction markets were also pretty sure about the last red wave. We’ll be updating this post through the night; first stop, Ohio at 7:30pm.Much more in Goldman’s “Midterms Preview” as well as Alec Phillips’ midterm preview, all available to pro subs.
Tyler Durden
Tue, 11/03/2026 – 13:45

Former Rep. Justin Amash — who announced on Monday that he did not vote for Abdul El-Sayed or former Rep. Mike Rogers in Michigan’s U.S. Senate race — said he thinks El-Sayed would “be far less dangerous in practice than Rogers.”Rogers, a Republican candidate endorsed by President Donald Trump, is facing Democratic candidate El-Sayed in the widely-watched Senate contest.”It goes without saying that I have major disagreements with both Mike Rogers and Abdul El-Sayed, and neither one particularly likes me,” Amash wrote in a thread on X. “I also don’t vote for ‘the lesser of two evils.’ I believe you should support a candidate only if you truly want the person to hold that office. I’ve already voted, and consistent with the above principle, I didn’t vote for Rogers or El-Sayed. But I do know which one would be more dangerous in the U.S. Senate — and it’s not even close.”ELECTION DAY 2026: VOTERS CAST BALLOTS WITH CONTROL OF CONGRESS ON THE LINEAmash pointed to Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., as a political figure who resembles El-Sayed. Sanders has supported El-Sayed in the Senate race.”To assess who is the greater threat to American freedom, let’s take a look at my time in Congress with Rogers and Bernie Sanders, who shares many of El-Sayed’s views and can serve as his stand-in,” Amash wrote. “Several of Sanders’s key proposals, in my opinion, would be exceptionally bad for our country. But given the structure of our government, he’s in no position to get those ideas enacted and enforced.”In contrast, Rogers is extraordinarily bad on all the issues on which an individual member of Congress may be the deciding vote. Again, these are issues like war powers, surveillance, privacy, the freedom of speech, criminal justice, and government oversight and accountability,” he asserted. “In this world — the real world, not the imaginary one that partisan pundits on the right and left live in — Rogers poses a far greater threat to individual liberty and the Constitution than Sanders. Moreover, it’s not just that Rogers is awful here; it’s that Sanders is actually much better on these issues than the median member of Congress.”MICHIGAN VOTERS MAKE SURPRISING CROSS-PARTY CHOICES AS ROGERS, EL-SAYED RACE REACHES FINAL HOURSAmash asserted that between Rogers and El-Sayed, the Democratic candidate would be “less dangerous.””I think it’s fair to view El-Sayed as someone who mostly will follow in Sanders’s footsteps on policy and therefore will be far less dangerous in practice than Rogers,” Amash wrote, adding in parentheses, “(Again, El-Sayed as a senator will do many things that are bad. The question addressed at length is not whether he’s good but simply whether he’s better on the whole than Rogers.)”The Rogers and the El-Sayed campaigns did not immediately respond to Fox News Digital’s requests for comment on Tuesday.MICHIGAN VOTERS WEIGH IN AFTER DEM REP HALEY STEVENS ENDORSES GOP CANDIDATEAmash, who served in the U.S. House of Representatives from early 2011 until early 2021, voted to impeach President Donald Trump in late 2019. While he served most of his congressional tenure as a Republican, Amash switched to Independent in 2019 and then to Libertarian in 2020.He lost the 2024 GOP Michigan U.S. Senate primary to Rogers.Rogers went on to lose the general election that year to Democrat Elissa Slotkin, who was a House lawmaker at the time.Rep. Haley Stevens, D-Mich., who lost the Democratic Senate primary to El-Sayed this year, shook up the 2026 general election when she endorsed Rogers on Sunday.

In a surprising turn of events, Florida State recently fired its embattled head coach, Mike Norvell, after a 3-5 start to the season.While his record would indicate it was long past time for him to hit the road, the shocking part of it all is the fact that FSU was willing to pay his exorbitant buyout, which is reported to be around $50 million when all is said and done.This means one of the premiere coaching jobs in college football has suddenly, and perhaps unexpectedly, come open, and the Seminoles will be in the market for a new head coach in the coming months.COLLEGE FOOTBALL COACHING CAROUSEL COULD EXPLODE AS LINCOLN RILEY AND DEION SANDERS FACE MOUNTING PRESSUREMany expect the Noles to take a swing at a big, currently established head coaching name, but recent history shows that may not be the smartest play.Some programs think they need to make a big splash hire, when in actuality, the best candidates are often the ones hiding in plain sight.Take the Kentucky Wildcats, for example.They fired Mark Stoops after a 13-year stint in Lexington, and instead of parking a Brinks truck in front of a seasoned veteran, they handed the keys to Oregon offensive coordinator Will Stein.The results speak for themselves, as the Wildcats lead the SEC eight games into the season.FORMER NFL QB PHILIP RIVERS HAS BECOME A SERIOUS OPTION FOR NC STATE OPENING AMID COLLEGE FOOTBALL CAROUSELAll that is to say, who will be the next hot-shot coordinator to take a job like Florida State and become the greatest thing since sliced bread?One man who has a few names on his list is college football analyst Brooks Austin.Austin watches hours of tape a week and identifies the best units across the country, and when I asked him about who the next big name will be when scouring the coordinator ranks, he had more than a few options.”I’ve always studied Buster Faulkner at Florida and loved what he’s done,” Austin says. “I loved what he did at at Georgia Tech.”While Faulkner was one of the hottest coordinator names in the country heading into October, the months of spooks and scares certainly did a number on the Gators’ OC and his reputation among elite playcallers, something Austin admits.”I think Buster… he’s kind of gotten tipped off lately in, in this league. People are kind of figuring out what it is he’s doing.”A name that might be flying under the radar but needs some more attention is Utah offensive coordinator Kevin McGiven.”I watched what Utah does, and I’m like, ‘This is fun, man,'” he says with a smile. “This is fun, that you’re getting to a different play in a different way every single time you do it.”In his first year in Salt Lake City, McGiven has the Utes scoring nearly 39 points per game, and doing so with an innovative two-quarterback system.Austin admits that, while he likes what he’s seeing from Utah and McGiven, there is a chance if it doesn’t work right away in one of the “big boy leagues,” it could fall apart quickly due to the impatience of SEC fans.”If an SEC school hired Kevin McGiven, and it didn’t work out in like the first six weeks, are they gonna sit there and go, ‘why did we hire this high school offense,'” asks Austin.SIGN UP FOR THE DAILY OUTKICK NEWSLETTER”If you do that, and you hire that at a bigger like like blue blood program, and it doesn’t work, people are gonna be like, ‘well, duh, he runs a high school offense?'”For all the talk of the offensive side of the ball, there are a few defensive coordinators who have also caught Austin’s eye.”Glenn Schumann at Georgia, he’s always been a guy that is like really, really smart, and is just such a great teacher of concepts, and is still really young.”Another one who fits the mold of young, innovative DC is Bryant Haines at Indiana, whom Austin calls “a lunatic” (that’s a positive trait for a defensive coordinator, by the way).One more name Austin mentioned is a guy who is flying way under the radar given his current employer, and that is Louisiana Tech DC Luke Olson.”(Olson) is like 33 (or) 34 years old, and he is highly, highly respected,” he mentions “Like when (offenses) go to face this guy, they’re like, ‘We got a tough one this week.'””Luke Olson’s a dude.”Suffice to say, there are a lot of brilliant football minds in the college game right now, and although Florida State may go in a different direction, they can’t go wrong taking a look at some of these names.If the Seminoles want a “dude” at head coach, they know where to look.

Fulton County, Georgia, voters are receiving fake text messages about their polling places changing locations.
The text messages were not sent by Fulton County, the county announced.
Alert Fulton County voters: Verify your polling place on the Georgia Secretary of State’s “My Voter Page” or call (404) 612-7020.

Some Fulton County voters have reported receiving text messages regarding polling place changes. These text messages were not sent by Fulton County. Voters should verify their polling place on the Georgia My Voter page or call 404-612-7020. https://t.co/ngAHgYA6eR
— FultonCountyGeorgia (@FultonInfo) November 3, 2026

Not only are Fulton County voters receiving fake text messages that are confusing the public, Fulton County is also experiencing issues with it ballot scanners.
Of course.
As TGP’s Cassandra MacDonald reported earlier Tuesday, Fulton County Elections Director Nadine Williams notified the Georgia Secretary of State that two ballot scanners failed during early voting, leaving 1,069 ballots unread on their original machines.
Williams is asking the county election board to approve a modified counting process at tonight’s 6:30 p.m. meeting.
In a November 3 memo, Williams detailed a power loss at one site that left a memory card unusable and a persistent paper-jam error at another.
According to the memo, the first failure occurred on October 21 at the Mechanicsville Library early-voting site, where a scanner lost power after 361 ballots had already been scanned.

The post HERE WE GO: Fulton County, Georgia Voters Receiving FAKE Text Messages About Their Polling Places Changing Locations appeared first on The Gateway Pundit.

Michigan Democrats went on CNN and told the leftist channel that they voted for Mike Rogers today. Wow!
Oh boy.
This could be a rough day for Michigan Democrats including radical Abdul El-Sayed and wacky Jocelyn Benson.
The Gateway Pundit reported earlier about traditionally Democrat neighborhoods with rows of “Democrat for Mike Rogers” signs in their yards.

I live in a very liberal southeastern MI neighborhood.
I am shocked by the number of @DemsForMike (Democrats for Mike Rogers) & Mike Rogers signs in front yards everywhere!
If my Dem neighbors are indicative of how Dems will vote-
@AbdulElSayed is going to LOSE BIGLY! https://t.co/11vGJXf0va
— PattyMI (@PattyLovesTruth) September 30, 2026

Now Michigan Democrats are openly going on CNN to say they voted Republican for the first time today!
Notice the man saying he voted for Mike Rogers, “Because I’m against hate.”
Via Ryan Fournier.

BREAKING: Lifelong Michigan Democrats are going on CNN admitting they just voted RED for the first time!
Even the base is walking away. The Democrat collapse is happening in real time! https://t.co/8OvRl9i0tF
— Ryan Fournier (@RyanAFournier) November 3, 2026

More…

MICHIGAN DEMOCRATS ARE JUMPING SHIP IN PUBLIC
Lifelong Democrat voters just stood at the podium with “DEMOCRATS FOR MIKE ROGERS” signs and said the quiet part out loud.
“I usually vote Democrat… but I’m gonna be voting for Mike Rogers.”
Why? Because Abdul El-Sayed has made one thing crystal clear:
We cannot let him anywhere near the U.S. Senate.
This isn’t a fringe protest. This is Democrats in Michigan watching their own nominee and deciding the radical is too far. They’re choosing country over party while the machine pretends nothing is wrong.
El-Sayed keeps bleeding his own base. Keep the pressure on. Michigan can still save the Senate if these defections turn into a flood.
The dam is cracking.
— QThestorm (@17QStorm) August 21, 2026

The post It’s Happening!… Lifelong Michigan Democrats Go on CNN to Say They are Voting Republican for FIRST TIME EVER! (Video) appeared first on The Gateway Pundit.

Houthis Launch Cross-Border Ground Raids On Saudi Territory

Fresh reporting in Mideast regional outlets suggesst a major escalation in Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia. While drones and missiles have been launched on Saudi territory almost daily since September, a new report says that Houthi militants are actually conducting ground force incursions.In a development that’s been largely unreported, “The Houthis have launched multiple cross-border raids into Saudi Arabia in recent months, in an expansion of the conflict beyond Yemen, a western and Arab official with direct knowledge of the raids told Middle East Eye.”

via AFP

“The small-scale raids have targeted border posts in Saudi Arabia’s rugged, mountainous southwest,” the report continues, citing that at least one of the raids occurred as recently as the end of October.The Houthis further “appear to have captured specific small arms that are known only to be used by Saudi border security forces” – the report adds.Surveillance equipment also appears to have been captured, observers say. This adds to the equipement already captured from the ground forces of the Saudi-backed government in Yemen, which is based out of Aden.Throughout the start of this week, Saudi authorities have continued to announce inbound interceptions of drones and at times missiles fired from Yemen.In the meantime, standard and high profile events hosted in the kingdom continue getting canceled, due to spillover from Yemen and the ever-present Houthi aerial attack threat.”The Asian Football Confederation postponed its flagship international tournament in Saudi Arabia until late 2027, with the Houthi militant attacks testing the kingdom’s ambitions to become a destination for major international events,” Bloomberg reports Tuesday. 

via Cardegie Endowment

According to more via Bloomberg:The decision to postpone the AFC Asian Cup — one of the most prominent international football competitions set to be hosted by Saudi Arabia to date — follows “exceptional circumstances arising from developments in the region,” the AFC said in a statement on Tuesday. It cited “substantial logistical complexities and travel disruptions.”Already dozens of major international events which were supposed to take place in September, and October and November have been suspended or else postponed. The war is likely to cost Saudi Arabia billions in losses, including given the attacks on Aramco facilities.
Tyler Durden
Tue, 11/03/2026 – 13:30

A resident of Yakima County, Washington, has died from complications of bird flu, public health officials confirmed, marking a rare fatal human case of the virus in the United States.The individual, who had underlying medical conditions, was hospitalized with severe illness after contracting avian influenza through exposure to infected livestock at a local dairy facility.Local officials declined to release the person’s name, age or gender, citing privacy concerns.H5N1 BIRD FLU CONFIRMED IN AUSTRALIA FOR THE FIRST TIME, MEANING VIRUS HAS NOW REACHED EVERY CONTINENT”Our hearts go out to the individual’s family and loved ones during this difficult time,” Dr. Dave Atteberry, health officer for the Yakima Health District, said in a statement.”Avian influenza can cause severe illness, particularly among people who have underlying health conditions,” he went on. “While this is a serious and heartbreaking outcome, the risk to the general public remains low.”Health officials on Monday also confirmed a third human case of avian influenza in Yakima County. That individual, who was also exposed to infected dairy cattle at a local farm, has not been hospitalized and has not experienced severe illness.Public health teams are actively tracing and monitoring close contacts of both individuals for potential symptoms.RARE TICK-BORNE VIRUS TURNS DEADLY FAST AS US CASES REACH RECORD HIGH, EXPERTS WARN”People at greater risk include dairy workers and others who have close or prolonged contact with infected animals or environments contaminated with the virus,” the health district said in an advisory.”If you work on a dairy farm and develop symptoms after potential exposure to infected cattle, contact your health care provider or the Yakima Health District.”Avian influenza, or bird flu, is a disease caused by influenza type A viruses that typically spread among wild aquatic birds and domestic poultry, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.In recent years, an outbreak of the H5N1 strain has expanded beyond birds to infect various mammals, including domestic dairy cows and outdoor livestock.Federal and state health officials emphasize that the overall risk to the general public remains low.Person-to-person spread of bird flu is extremely rare and has not been identified in the U.S., according to the CDC.CLICK HERE FOR MORE HEALTH STORIESAgricultural workers, veterinarians and people in close, prolonged contact with infected animals, raw milk or contaminated manure are at the greatest risk of exposure, the above agency states.Commercial pasteurized milk and properly cooked poultry remain safe to consume, as heat kills the virus.TEST YOURSELF WITH OUR LATEST LIFESTYLE QUIZBird flu infections in humans can range from mild to severe. The most common symptoms reported in recent farm-related cases include the following.Health authorities advise the public to avoid handling sick or dead wild birds and livestock.CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP FOR OUR HEALTH NEWSLETTERFarm personnel and dairy workers should wear recommended personal protective equipment — such as N95 respirators, eye goggles and fluid-resistant gloves — whenever handling potentially infected livestock or contaminated surfaces.Anyone developing respiratory or eye symptoms after animal exposure should seek medical evaluation promptly.The Yakima Health District updates its local avian influenza case figures and guidance twice weekly, on Mondays and Thursdays at 2 p.m.

Missouri state troopers have recaptured an escaped murderer who broke free from a Tennessee prison last week, a highway patrol spokesperson told Fox News Digital Tuesday.Jacob Allen Morley broke out of the Northwest Correctional Complex in Tiptonville, Tennessee, on Oct. 25, officials there said previously.Details about his capture were not immediately available, but the spokesperson said more information would be forthcoming.TENNESSEE INMATE CONVICTED OF MURDER ESCAPES FROM PRISON, STEALS PICKUP TRUCK, MANHUNT UNDERWAY: OFFICIALS”This just happened, so we’re still getting all the details,” he said.SEND US A TIPCONVICTED MURDERER GOT OVER 5-HOUR HEAD START AFTER PRISON ESCAPE BEFORE LOCAL POLICE WERE NOTIFIED: OFFICIALLISTEN TO THE NEW ‘CRIME & JUSTICE WITH DONNA ROTUNNO’ PODCASTStaff at the prison noticed Morley was unaccounted for at around 11:30 p.m., and a review of surveillance footage subsequently revealed him crossing through the prison’s perimeter fence. According to Tennessee Highway Patrol dispatch audio, Morley was last seen at the prison around 4 p.m. Sunday.GET BREAKING NEWS BY EMAILThis is a breaking news story.Fox News’ Adam Sabes contributed to this report.

An Idaho deer hunter out on an evening hunt a couple of weeks ago in the mountains near St. Maries has now heard the knocks and smelled the smell of what had to be a Bigfoot.The hunter was minding his own business and walking down a trail on Tuesday, Oct. 20, around 5 p.m. when he first heard what he described to the Bigfoot Field Researchers Organization as “loud knocking on a tree.”THE CRAIG CARTON SHOW–UNFILTERED, UNAPOLOGETIC AND UNMISSABLE. DOWNLOAD HIS DAILY PODCAST NOW!The noises were coming from a creek bed about 200 to 300 yards away from him. While he didn’t catch a glimpse of who or what was responsible for the knocking, he says it was “immediately followed by a super strong smell of death.”CLICK HERE FOR MORE COVERAGE FROM OUTKICK OUTDOORS”The knocking persisted for 5-10 minutes, and upon searching for any carcasses producing the smell, nothing was found. I also heard briefly what sounded like a really deep voice but I couldn’t make out what it was saying, sort of gibberish,” the hunter reported to BFRO.”I did not see any human footprints or any signs of people on that trail or in the general area. I was the only truck I saw all day on the road leading to the drainage I was in.”COUNTRY BOYS IN KENTUCKY HEAR KNOCKS IN WOODS AT NIGHT BEFORE ONE CATCHES GLIMPSE OF BIGFOOT WITH SPOTLIGHTWhat else could it have been, but a Bigfoot? I’ve never seen a deep voice speaking in gibberish be reported before, but this is a veteran outdoorsman with no prior incidents of an encounter like this before.He knows the woods. He knows the signs of a dead animal nearby, and he couldn’t explain what he encountered alone at dusk last month.”The smell of decay was extremely strong, as if you were standing right on top of a carcass. It was overpowering,” he added. “I could not even find a single sign of a dead animal near me.”